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Can't Catch Me
18 Jan 12 12:11
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Date Joined: 02 Apr 03
| Topic/replies: 28,297 | Blogger: Can't Catch Me's blog
Only yesterday I was saying that the Triumph is my number one race to avoid for AP betting... and I am pretty sure it is....but I've buckled already and had a smidge on this at 33/1 before its run today.

Was a big fan of the horse on the flat and always felt he could be the perfect type to go over hurdles. Very informative Triumph trial today and if he can get anywhere nr Grumeti and give him a race I think his price will halve.

I've just got a feeling this horse could end up being fav for the race.
Pause Switch to Standard View Sud Pacifique - Triumph
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Report Stake & Chips January 18, 2012 12:18 PM GMT
Shocked
Report sintonian January 18, 2012 12:28 PM GMT
Shocked

I'd say, in receipt of 7lb, he would have to beat Grumeti in order for his price to halve tbh!
Report Can't Catch Me January 18, 2012 12:34 PM GMT
I reckon if he gets beaten a length or so, the pair well clear, Grumeti will shorten and Sud Pacifique will be 20's or 16's myself Sint. 7lbs is cancelled out by being first time up imo.

Cant believe I've talked myself into an AP bet in this race though!!
Report sintonian January 18, 2012 12:37 PM GMT
OK well hope he runs a cracker. Nothing really layed a strong marker for this race yet but then they dont usually until Februaury.

Hobbsy ' Saddlers Risk was very impressive at Kempton on Saturday but is priced accordingly.
Report sintonian January 18, 2012 12:38 PM GMT
There is only one other main rival in this race though CCM at around 7/1. The other 3 are 60/1 or bigger on here.
Report Can't Catch Me January 18, 2012 12:44 PM GMT
Yeah true mate. But think Art History is probably a decent enough tool.
Report Can't Catch Me January 18, 2012 12:45 PM GMT
Agree about Sadlers Risk. He was very impressive indeed, and Hobbs was absolutely gushing about him. I'd certainly rather back him thatn Grumeti at similar prices.... before this anyway!
Report sintonian January 18, 2012 12:46 PM GMT
yep in fariness we dont know much about the others today. Art History unlucky last time. good luck,
Report BJG January 18, 2012 1:13 PM GMT
Beat a long way out Sad
Report Can't Catch Me January 18, 2012 1:14 PM GMT
What a comical race Laugh

Now I remember why I dont bet AP on the Triumph.... Sad

Oh well, you win some, you lose some. Was really impressed with Grumeti until he came down.
Report sintonian January 18, 2012 1:16 PM GMT
Grumeti hurdled like an old pro before that slip. Very taking performane really.
Report duncan idaho January 18, 2012 6:12 PM GMT
hurdled fluently enough but just looks a bit soft for hurdling imo
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