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to win a gold cup you got to be able to have either of the following:
THE CLASS or the ability to stay over 3m5f if you dont have the class, and he has neither! his last run where it looked like he was staying on was becasue he was carrying 10st, he will be pulled up in Gold Cup! end of |
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Get real...
Why is the horse as short as 8/1 then... |
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beacuse to intice knobs like yourself you sheep, again ...end of
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because even...
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Sober up...
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you could ask why cooldine was 12s and tricky trickser 12s last year, you see bbs its to get all the sheeps money.
so you emptied your account then on Diamond??? if you have then say goodbye to it, because you aint getting it back! |
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Apology accepted,lol.
I think the majority of the better jumpers have top class flat sires nowdays,just that class translating to the jumps |
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Just comical that people think Kempes could win a Gold Cup.
Would love a match bet Diamond Harry over Kempes |
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Dont drink BBS, so try another, tell me why Diamond will win GC?
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I wouldnt empty my account on any one horse.
I have bet Imperial Commander-Diamond Harry and Kempes Kempes @ 75/1 I give all three a chance.. Just my opinion same as we all have an opinion... Thats what racings all about. Just the way you spout off and chat on here like a halfwit spoils this forum.... |
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Haaa,hes a card that rozel,but he is right.
If youve emptied your hard earned on diamond harry,you wont be seeing it again. Those prices are to attract the sheep,make it look like it has a chance,when in reality,diamond harry is a 33/1 shot. Denman gave harry 26 lbs,now your not telling me harry will beat him at levels,i doubt it,and denman could only finish 2nd in last years gold cup,beaten 7 lths. So where does harry stand,i think theyde probably say he has a good stone to find to be anywhere near the best. |
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well dont put losing tips on here then, novice punters come on here and id hate to think that they'd be taking your advice which is based on absolutley nothing, you shouldnt put your selections on forums without any reasoning as its just a waste of time.
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Kempes on his 3 mile runs this year can be considered a 161/162+ horse(improver),but thats some way off the gold cup standard required as it stands.
Diamond harry is officially rated 168,i think thats spot on. So in a match on a flat track,Harry could be considered favourite,if it was at 3 miles,but it would be interesting,kempes is a very decent improving horse with a turn of foot. So its not that comical.[;)] |
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agree with kempes, some savers at 100s..[:D][;)][:D] you know what i mean harry?
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barnesy Date Joined: 24 Jun 05
Add contact | Send message When: 13 Feb 11 21:17 Just comical that people think Kempes could win a Gold Cup. Would love a match bet Diamond Harry over Kempes It's not commical IMO. He may be a year early but he is clearly on the upgrade, ground wont be an issue and he will be shorter on the day than he is now. That alone makes him a viable antepost bet. The money for Kempes on the day could be huge, AP mug punters and the possibility of the Irish piling on make him an obvious shortener on the day of the race. |
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This horse is just clearly not cut out for 3 mile 2 furlongs at Cheltenham. I was stunned when I saw quotes of 20/1 yesterday and even more surprised to see it had been cut across the board to a best price 16s this morning. I had assumed they would wait for Punchestown where he won a novice chase last year (after being kept fresh).
Apart from almost definetly not being suited by the track the only piece of form that even puts him in the Gold Cup ball park is yesterdays race. It was run at a crawl with China Rock's jockey ruining his chance by setting sail for home far too early. Joncol is a decent enough yardstick but obviously well short of Gold Cup class and you could make a solid case that he is going backwards this year. Of the others Made In Taipan who wants good ground and is essentially a handicapper was right in behind jumping the last. Although there is no standout contender for the Gold Cup there are now several contenders that have shown they could run to a mark in the 170s. I'll be stunned if this horse is even placed. In a sad reflection on Joe Public, I concede that the point about the price is probably well made and he could well be a solid trade if he is confirmed for the race(?) |
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Whilst I've not checked since I looked yesterday from the price when compared to standard was one of the better ones of the day wasn't it.
You are taking a leap of faith in what Kempes can do at Chelts come March but I was impressed yesterday and the extra 2f and better ground are worth half a stone IMO on what he achieved yesterday. I know that isn't enough to win a GC but thats assuming Kempes ran the race of his life yesterday. It looked easy enough to me and I've watched it back a few times, he won that cosily yesterday. He could have a live chance at a reasonable price. The only one above him that I'm even thinking about putting my money on at the moment is Denman. I have serious doubts about the others. |
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Whilst I've not checked since I looked yesterday the time when compared to standard was one of the better ones of the day wasn't it?
You are taking a leap of faith in what Kempes can do at Chelts come March but I was impressed yesterday and the extra 2f and better ground are worth half a stone IMO on what he achieved yesterday. I know that isn't enough to win a GC but thats assuming Kempes ran the race of his life yesterday. It looked easy enough to me and I've watched it back a few times, he won that cosily. He could have a live chance at a reasonable price. The only one above him that I'm even thinking about putting my money on at the moment is Denman. I have serious doubts about the others. |
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yesterdays race was a grade2 as a grade 1 247 lol.if you cant see that your blind mate
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glencove proved that.
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this is a comical thread for two reasons
1. some people think kempes can actually win a gold cup 2. some ppl dont understand the meaning of flat bred. if you are such a person, dont get into breeding. kauto star, denman and imperial commander are NOT flat bred. they are out of jumps sires who ran on the flat, as do 99% or more of british stallions. enough said. if you dont understand then google the meaning of "gelding" which will give you a greater understanding of why the above is necessary. its a wonder the likes of kauto star arent retired to stud already ![]() |
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cannot win a gold cup. ever. should be 66/1.
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this 247lol sounds like a shrewdie,
YDC |
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Everbody seems to know it all on here. Kempes for me is speculative but an improving horse that will be shorter on the day and wont mind pretty much any ground. That makes him a great antepost bet in my book.
How anyone can be so sure that Diamond Harry would thrash Kempes in a match bet is also beyond me, there looks very little in it. DH beat a 157 rated horse just over a length in receipt of a pound in the Henessey whilst Kempes beat a host of mid to high 150s horses by a pulling away 4.5 to 16 lengths off levels. There is simply not a lot in it and the prices of the two horses at the time the thread was started did not reflect their respective chances IMO. |
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barry geraghty said in his blog for atr..."The winner, Diamond Harry, was still travelling really well two out and my horse had to work hard to get near him.
People have said that we might have beaten him but for the mistake but I think we’d have needed another half dozen lengths up our sleeve to get past him. The winner’s gone up 16lb and Burton Port’s up 14lb". |
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anybody care to mention a decent horse that would entitle kempes to win a gold cup??
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wot u mean ste?
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War Of Attrition was rated just 157 when he tackled his last race before winning the Gold Cup. He was completely unexposed over 3miles plus and went on to win the GC. I appreciate he wasn't going on to tackle Imperial Commander et al but it still makes a valid point. Kempes has won two good but not great 3mile chases and unfortunatly unseated in the one race that could have told us a bit more about how good he is. He is without doubt unexposed at 3miles plus and anybody that just wants to discount him is welcome to their opinion but I don't share it.
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The Gold Cup is wide open, but it's not that wide open. This thread is one of the more ridiculous i've seen on here. There are question marks over all of the runners, but most don't have the question mark of track, trip and ability. 4/1 a place is such poor value it makes me want to vom.
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Where's this 190 Kauto Star then??, He's now a 174 and lower with Timeform
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and your point is?
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Anyone that writes the word vom makes me want to do exactly that![;)]
To be serious for a second, I think the weakness of the leading contenders is going to point people in the direction of runners like Kempes, Pandorama (if it gets there), Diamond Harry etc Gashboy. It looks exactly like last years race in that it's ripe for one of the lesser lights to take up the reigns and become the next star. It's a race to have a small bet on something at a fair price, sit back and enjoy. If Denman or Kauto win I'll be cheering just the same as if something I've backed wins and if IC wins whilst it wont have the same feeling it'll still be a good spectacle. I just dont think I could take the stress of backing any of them. That said if I'm having a good week and IC or Denman look good in the paddock I could see myself backing one of them. It's a long time until GC day yet and still plenty of thinking time ahead. |
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Well saying that all these horses have so much to find for a start
Kauto's not a 190 oss Denmans won one race in two years Imperial Commanders had one run in a year beating Tidal Bay a couple of lengths |
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247lol
Hold on,flat bred,wtf you on about?wasnt denmans sire,presenting 3rd in the derby?. Wasnt kauto stars sire,village star 5th in the arc de triomphe?. Didnt flemensfirth,imperial commanders sire,win the group 2 prix dollar twice?.!!!!!!! Would you like to elaborate on what you mean FLAT bred,or shall i send you a tee shirt with the words emblazened on it"please god help me to keep my big mouth shut till i actually know wehat im talking about"!!!!! the boys in the breeding forum would have a good laugh at this post. |
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vinnie...22.44 post. thoroughly comical he is. tbh i dont find it surprising that people who dont understand the concept of breeding also think kempes has a good chance in the gold cup
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^^^^
You seem to know everthing revedesivola. Breeding is one angle on any given race but it's not the be all and end all. Horses with unfashionable or unsuitable breeding can and do win big races. It's worth pointing out that highlighting a horse as a decent antepost bet is different to saying a horse will win the race. |
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Did Kauto Star have the breeding to do what he did?
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you ill notice on closer inspection that i said "has a good chance" as opposed to winning which is what you thought i said. i didnt and dont question that unfashionable or flat bred horses win big races. i apologise as you seem to take offence from my words. the purpose of highlighting the breeding was that a poster reacted confrontationally to someone suggesting that flat bred horses hadnt won the gold cup in a long time. this was of course correct and 247 tried to belittle it with incorrect information, namely that denman, kauto star and imperial commander are flat bred
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ffs,zilzal,kauto was fkin rated 190 going into the king george,ffs,fkin read,its since dropped 16 lb to 174.
cruise d,you couldnt read the handicap if it came up and smacked you in the head ,ffs,denman was rated 182 going into the hennessy,it finished ahead of three 156 rated horses,so it appears he ran up to somewhere near his best,as the first 2 who were 15 lengths ahead(approx),in receipt of 26 lb & 25 lb were obviously better than their marks of 156&157,indeed diamond harry has a new assessment of 168(not good enough to win a gold cup,unless he improves significantly again,but he looked flat to the boards to me,but maybe he could be the 1st horse ever to improve 14lbs in a field) ![]() BREESDING AND GELDING FOR THE UNINITIATED.[;)] Jump racing is only taken seriously in Britain, Ireland and France. In Ireland the sport is far more popular than flat racing, while in England it is more balanced, but the different seasons mean that most fans of the sport can enjoy both forms of racing. The horses come from a variety of sources, with many being former FLAT horses, while others are BRED for jumping. National Hunt horses do not have to be thoroughbreds, but MOST are, and the ones who are not tend to be FRENCH. Many of the future stars of the sport come through Point-to-Pointing. The name reflects its hunting origins, from which the sport developed. The same skills of jumping ability and speed are required to succeed at both. All modern Thoroughbreds trace back to three stallions imported into England from the Middle East in the late 17th and early 18th centuries: the Byerley Turk (1680s), the Darley Arabian (1704), and the Godolphin Arabian (1729).[17][18] Other stallions of oriental breeding were less influential, but still made noteworthy contributions to the breed. These included the Alcock Arabian,[19] D'Arcy's White Turk, Leedes Arabian, and Curwen's Bay Barb.[20][21][notes 1] Another was the Brownlow Turk, who, among other attributes, is thought to be largely responsible for the gray coat color in Thoroughbreds.[19] The addition of Arabian bloodlines to the native English mares ultimately led to the creation of the General Stud Book (GSB) in 1791 and the practice of official registration of horses. Each of the three major foundation sires was, coincidentally, the ancestor of a grandson or great-great-grandson who was the only male descendant to perpetuate each respective horse's male line: Matchem was the only descendant of his grandsire, the Godolphin Arabian, to maintain a male line to the present;[22] the Byerly Turk's male line was preserved by Herod (or King Herod), a great-great-grandson;[23] and the male line of the Darley Arabian owes its existence to great-great-grandson Eclipse, who was the dominant racehorse of his day and never defeated.[20][24] One genetic study indicates that 95% of all male Thoroughbreds trace their direct male line (via the Y chromosome) to the Darley Arabian.[25] However, in modern Thoroughbred pedigrees, most horses have more crosses to the Godolphin Arabian (13.8%) than to the Darley Arabian (6.5%) when all lines of descent (maternal and paternal) are considered. Further, as a percentage of contributions to current Thoroughbred bloodlines, Curwen's Bay Barb (4.2%) appears more often than the Byerly Turk (3.3%). The majority of modern Thoroughbreds alive today trace to a total of only 27 or 28 stallions from the 18th and 19th centuries.[25][26] Although the Thoroughbred is primarily bred for racing, the breed is also used for show jumping and combined training because of its athleticism, and many retired and retrained race horses become fine family riding horses, dressage horses, and youth show horses. The larger horses are sought after for hunter/jumper and dressage competitions, whereas the smaller horses are in demand as polo ponies. Thoroughbreds are often crossed with horses of other breeds to create new breeds or improve existing ones. They have been influential on many modern breeds, including the American Quarter Horse,[111] the Standardbred,[112] and possibly the Morgan, a breed that went on to influence many of the gaited breeds in North America.[113] Other common crosses with the Thoroughbred include crossbreeding with Arabian bloodlines to produce the Anglo-Arabian[114] as well as with the Irish Draught to produce the Irish Sport Horse.[115] Thoroughbreds are often crossed with various Warmblood breeds due to their refinement and performance capabilities.[116] Although Thoroughbreds are SEEN in the HUNTER-JUMPER world and in other disciplines, modern Thoroughbreds are primarily bred for SPEED, and racehorses have a very high rate of accidents as well as other health problems. Under British National Hunt racing (i.e. Steeplechase) RULES, to minimize the health and safety risk for horses, riders, and spectators, nearly all participating horses are geldings.[12] On the other hand, in Europe, geldings are excluded from many of the most prestigious flat races including the Classics and the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe.[13] In North American Thoroughbred racing, geldings, if otherwise qualified by age, winnings, or experience, are allowed in races open to intact males. |