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Brampour entered at Sandown on Saturday.
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Cheers Mr Nicholls ^
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no mention of indian daudaie? backed it a few weeks ago for the triumph and dan skelton posted a video of it schooling today so guessing its ready to be unleashed soon? nicholls mentioned it in his column when he said to wait and see if brampour lives up to expectation before believing the hype. indian daudaie won an 18k hurdle in france and then was 2nd in 107k grade 1, sounds interesting...
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Nope
![]() Avoiding Comedy Act imo [>o] |
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Sam Loser tomorrow. Smad Place for the Triumph.
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Plenty 'the rocket' Pocket http://bit.ly/gIOFu3
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Brampour likely to run at Kempton on the 15th Jan. Also got an entry for Monday at Taunton but unlikely to take up the entry. This one is flying at home trust me.
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truimph hurdle market in turmoil
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Never have a decent bet on the Triumph, might chuck a hundred quid at it sometimes but no more ... lottery normally antepost.
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Farcical race though. No pace then a sprint up the home straight in testing ground. Nothing like what awaits them at Cheltenham.
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I'm inclined to believe Sam Winner and Smad Place are very equal horses after that and would not look to that form for anything imo. That race was a no race, slow pace, sprint. Don't be too dis-heartened if you have backed sam winner for the triumph though the race is looking more and more wide open the closer we get.
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totally agree R&W
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no truimph hurdle winners there though was there i had a feeling sam winner werent up to much when he was all out to bat pullyourfingerout last month hes first proper test and hes tailed off
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Unless its a newcomer not seen yet we prob did see the triumph hurdle winner today imo
![]() ![]() Looks like its gonna be a below par race this year |
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grandouet or indian daudaie would be mine at the moment, or possibly brampour
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hopefully its something we aint seen yet
MOOSE MORAN |
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oh yeh, that one aswel. have backed grandouet, indian daudaie, moose moran n dolatulo atm, and a small bet on trozulon after the bumper at cheltenham last week in case goes hurdling. a few covered but all at fair prices so all profit
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trozulon ran really well last week i was tempted to back him but i dont know if henderson will go jumping with him
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Is it not too late now to be talking about if a horse is going to go hurdling? Cheltenham is only 1 month away with respects to trainers wanting to get decent gaps in between runs and to go to a championship race on the back on one run over obstacles is a bit of a mine field imo! Especially a race like the triumph!
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Sam Winner for me. Put up the best performance of teh year on debut. Won twice round Cheltenham, I'm not gonna jusge him on a 3f sprint in heavy ground
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cant have sam winner on my mind id be very surprised if he even turned up at cheltenham dident nicholls say after his last win at cheltenham that he needs softer ground after making heavy weather of winning there recently on a decent surface
not really seathestars SOLDATINO dont it last season dident he trozulon = exactly the same connections |
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Nicholls was wrong. He doesnt need it soft at all. Has for not even turning up at Cheltenham? Jesus what has been better than Sam Winner this season on debut? Thats nonsense
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I still think Smad Place has a decent chance in the Triumph.
He looks a relentless galloper to me, who will love the Cheltenham hill. He just never had the turn of foot when it turned into a sprint today. |
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Ok sorry Alvarado i stand corrected.[:x] But what are the stats on this happening
? I know this race has a record of bottoming horses before their careers even get started, it can be a very rough race!For me the novices this season are not up to much. Cue Card on all known form (especially behind menorah over course and distance) should be imo much shorter than he currently is for the supreme and is by far and away the best novice we have seen out so far! Zaidpour is the clear danger but no one as yet knows the plans for this one, my hunch is he will take on CC in the supreme but i could well be wrong! I intend having a nibble on CC next week if the 5/2 currently available is still around, any shorter i am willing to wait until the day but will not play at anything shorter than 7/4 in a day of race market! |
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excuses excuses sj
sam winner makes impressive hurdling debut on SOFT ground then makes very hard work of it beating a 110 animal on good/soft nicholls stats after the race he NEEDS softer ground .then today on heavy ground and up against the toughest field hes faced hes found out NOT GOOD ENOUGH and his supports and the yard now say he wants good ground make up ya mnd |
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So you're taking a trainer's word as gospel rather than using your eyes and watching the race? If that horse runs better on heavy than on good or good to soft I'm a dutchman.
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Was hoping they might have pushed Smad Place out to neraer 20/1 - he was patently outpaced when the sprint began but stayed on wel, and a more robust test on better ground at Cheltenham will be much more to his liking. Might have a small bet at 14/1.
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Uncle
Corals did push Smad out to 20s and held the price for about half an hour. As he is my only bet so far in the race I find myself wondering what price he would be if he had lined up at Sandown instead where the truly run pace would have (IMO) been right up his street. |
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It was only Smads second run over hurdles, and he has just placed in a Grade 1.The others horse around him have more experience.
He was the first of the bridle yesterday but stayed on, and if there was one horse most unsuited by the slow early pace, it was him,imo. If you watch his Newbury win, he gets better and better the further he goes. The horse is more stamina laden, than speed, which is why King compared him to Franchoek, as opposed to his more speedier previous Triumph winners. A fast run race, and uphill finish will be right up his street at Cheltenham. I considered going in again yesterday, but do wonder if there maybe one or two others with a touch of class come March that will beat him, so refrained. I am far from downcast though and still happy with my bet at this stage. I expect Alan King will say something similar. |
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The winner did it well, though, and deserved it. But if the form is turned around at somestage i'd not be surprised.
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I wasnt convinced by Smad Place's first run. I didnt think he travelled as well as the pundits claimed after the race, and I felt he was flattered by the winning distance as Dolatulo stopped to a walk after clattering 2 out and SP just kept on galloping. After yday however I am coming round to him as a Triumph horse as a fast pace up the Cheltenham hill will suit his style imo. He looks more like a Zaynar than a Walkon, however I am still not sure whether he will have the ability to win at the festival.
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God knows what to make of the Triumph,i just backed a horse i have never seen its that desperate!!
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fwiw,i dont see any of those yesterday figuring
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Is 12/1 Sam Winner now a massive price? A Media Luz would have gone very close if not winning today, Grandouet mashed her lto, and SW mashed him the time before. In addition, SW's beating of G came over C&D and with conditions similar to as you would expect come march.
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Grandouet beat A media Luz fairly and with ease, what of the horse that won a listed race first time out by 9L, beating Grandouet by 15L.Moai Chinn Tire still the value in the Triumph,TWICE the odds of others with less form.
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truimph hurdle market is in turmoil surely the winner hasant run yet
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Grandouet ran with the choke totally out at Wetherby but seems to have got his act together now...think that line of form with Maoi Chin Tire is best avoided in calculations. Would be my main choice and next target appears to be the Adonis Hurdle at Kempton which has provided plenty of Triumph winners recently. Only worry would be McCoy's comments that he may prefer a flat track?? Third Intention and Local Hero haven't done much wrong for me and appear as the value outsiders...would both be priced less if with sexier stables but their connections are more than capable.
Alas all the books have given up with offering first four in this race now :( |
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Be interesting to see MCT back out, but I think taking the form literally is a bit folly. As Rod says Grandouet gave himself no chance of winning by racing so freely, and has since improved by a change of tactics and the more exoerience. I backed him at Cheltenham next time as I expected a bolder show as well as being ridden with more restaint, and Sam Winner completely blew him away.
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read somewhere that nicholls said cedre bleu was one to follow this season, might have said anthony bromley said to? cant remember, but is in triumph market, and based on all runs so far, i'd rather wait for that and indian daudaie to come out as think they could be special
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