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New Sires 2017

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Replies: 103
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 06 Nov 16 17:51
Sorry if this has been covered before but I'm interested in why a breeder would use a new and unproven sire to cover a mare?

Obviously there are bloodline compatability issues which may be solved by using a new stallion.

Price?  Seems to be not a massive amount of value out there?

Availability?  I guess we'd all like to be able to afford a cover by Galileo/Dubawi but its not just the covering fee, its having the mare too...

Apologies for being a simpleton, but it seems a bit like buying a vintage of Bordeaux wine En primeur at a price, hoping to get a good score off Mr Parker when he reviews it?
By:
truehoncho
When: 06 Nov 16 17:57
I suggest you attend the sales BBC. That will explain why 1st season sires are king!!
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 06 Nov 16 18:41
I'd love to truehoncho-but I would only be window shopping!
By:
Formtwist
When: 06 Nov 16 20:24
Truehoncho, I'd strongly advise inspecting both yourself. CB turns out both fore, or did when I saw him. Mayson wrong a bit off-fore out of training might have improved by now. BBC the attraction of a first -season sire is twofold. The racing career of sire is fresher in the memory of a buyer, and no progeny have failed to win......
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 06 Nov 16 21:51
Absolutely Formtwist, but I'm a sensible sort of chap and I'd like to see a few years solid results either on the racetrack or at the sales before I shell out that fee......

I'm presuming that Frankel was very popular more for the fact he had a stellar race record and a good page rather than because he was the new kid on the block?
By:
Formtwist
When: 06 Nov 16 22:13
In a way different price bracket but yes, the same rationale. If a breeder uses proven and basically correct with race and pedigree they have to have a top class mare to justify it. Stallions can have progeny in thousands. Mares have 10 to 16 so economic decisions absolutely critical. Only after three foals on ground does the first get tested on course. Selling for profit in the commercial basement is a calculated lottery.
By:
Formtwist
When: 06 Nov 16 23:36
Actually, BBC you are indeed such a sensible sort of chap that you have enjoyed to the full an Elite life at the top table of racing and breeding without much financial risk. Just for fun pretend you are in the position of owning one mare to breed from - say a 75 rated winning mare just retired from racing with form at 5f - 7f over four years on track and worth roughly £15,000. Assume no pedigree inhibitions regarding mating, which stallions would you use for this first year and what financial result would you envisage, colt or filly? Sort of virtual breeding?
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 07 Nov 16 23:36
So this one's going to the sales then Formtwist-I had myself down as an owner breeder :-)

OK Challenge accepted-let me put my thinking cap on and see what I can come up with...
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 08 Nov 16 13:32
OK Formtwist-here we go.  May I apologise in advance for my amateurish ramblings you are about to subject yourselves to!

Giving I am paying the nomination myself, I decided that I was going to pick a stallion from GB (less transport costs) and for £10K or under.  As I will be selling the progeny I decided I'd like the best chance of getting the 'Biggest Bang For My Buck' and so have come up with the following stallions:

HELMET-seems great value-seems very commercial-has a G1 winner already-median price for both colts and fillies seems that I'd have a chance of making a profit.
EQUIANO-much as the above-lots of group horses-decent medians for both sexes-plenty of speed

MEDICEAN-lots of group horses-decent medians for both sexes-genuine chance to make some money-more stoutly bred but gets good 2 yo as well-sire of sires too.  I was shocked at his fee to be honest-seems good value-I'm obviously missing something!

MOUNT NELSON-he would be 4th choice-seems good value-gets staying 2yo's who seem to progress with age. Medians for both sexes look pretty decent so I may make a quid or two.

So kind of a mixture of sexy and not so sexy stallions there-I guess some stallions are hot and some are not but unless you have a mare and can afford the fee that can get in to a top stallion (my 75 rated mare wouldn't get a look in at the top boys)then these are not bad options.

I did consider several other stallions but was put off by lots of things like unproven stud records/poor medians for colts and especially fillies and record of progeny at the track.  I did look at some stallions who have had no progeny hit the track and just couldn't bring myself to do it.......BlushBlushBlush

Standing by for incoming-tin hat firmly on Grin
By:
neill d
When: 08 Nov 16 14:22
aren't Mount Nelson and Medicean pretty uncool these days?

With you on Helmet and Equiano, awful name former, though.
By:
Formtwist
When: 08 Nov 16 14:55
Nice start there BBC, you have definitely got to grips with the issues. Helmet and Equiano, yes indeed though fees for a £15,000 mare may be a tad high, theory goes for a fee at about a third of value but marketability these days does tend to increase that proportion. Medicean perceived as a sire of fillies as well as a bit long in the tooth, and I think has had some fertility issues (apologies Cheveley if that is wrong) More an owner-breeder type these days. Mount Nelson has hoofed it to Ireland so cross off the list. Hope you are enjoying this!
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 08 Nov 16 14:56
Yes neill-pretty uncool but represent tremendous value it would seem

I would, if you nailed me down, use HELMET as my first choice.

Given my mare is a sprinter, then both Med/Mt Nelson would mean any progeny have a chance of staying a mile-just a thought as Equiano and Helmet would likely mean any progeny would be a pure sprinter.
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 08 Nov 16 14:59
Thanks Formtwist-I will look a bit lower down the scale for my 15K mare then.

I'll keep it to 5k and below for the covering fee and see what I come up with....
By:
Johnny_Mustang
When: 10 Nov 16 20:17
Fascinating Rock to Ballylinch.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 10 Nov 16 21:41
That fee has potential surely. Anyone clapped eyes on him? Is he pig awful?
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 11 Nov 16 20:03
OK Formtwist-I've had a look at the £5K and less market-here's my thoughts;

FAST COMPANY-decent median for colts-less so for fillies-however 8 horses rated 100+ and 3 group winners and 48% W/R  ratio is not too shabby

MAYSON-Again decent median for colts>fillies-33% W/R and horses rated 100+/listed winners.

I considered other established options including DELEGATOR, CASAMENTO and MONSEUIR BOND but was not overly impressed.

So I then looked at the first season sires.  Obviously, nothing much to go on here other than pedigree/looks but I think CITYSCAPE looks interesting at £4.5K (pretty decent animal and pretty decent page).  Likewise FOUNTAIN OF YOUTH (ironically ex ATTRACTION) was on I would look at too. 

I also looked at OUTSTRIP and SWISS SPIRIT and was none too impressed (SS is well related but has a pretty moderate record himself) and Outstrip (well he's a grey-don't greys only sell well to housewives????).

Awaiting incoming-tin hat on LaughLaugh
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 11 Nov 16 20:41
Another thing in CITYSCAPE's favour is the deal they are offering on his fee if your yearling sells poorly.
By:
truehoncho
When: 11 Nov 16 20:47
Hi BBC. I think CS price at £4.5K is too much even with a deal. Imagine getting the sale and getting £6k for a filly and the sale gets it's money there's £0 for you after all the work.You are just working for the vets, the sales company and the stallion keeper.....for nothing!!

Should be £2k for a filly at the sale.
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 11 Nov 16 20:54
Fair play truehoncho-the safe play here would be Fast Company I think-proven sire and decent record.  And a reasonable chance that I could get more than £0 for my efforts....
By:
Formtwist
When: 11 Nov 16 20:54
Well, BBC you can cross off Fast Company, the new Darley Club sire in Ireland. Spot on with Mayson and his fee this year will ensure a serious level of support. Fountain of Youth is gorgeous and with that nice Frankel half-brother runniing next year, do hope he throws good correct stock. Cityscape so honest and decent a horse I hope he makes it as a sire, but.?? Anyway, I hope you understand better the angsts of we commercial breeders at low to middle market as a result of your researches.
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 11 Nov 16 21:10
That a boo from me about Fast Company Formtwist.  Hey Ho. everything I seem to mention ends up over the Irish Sea (I see Champs Elysees is going too.)

FOY-well his mum had dodgy legs IIRC-didn't stop her from being pretty quick/good though.  I guess everyone wants correct foals/yearlings however....

I have to say, I do appreciate a little more what you all have to do for real, with real money, and with your futures depending on it in many cases.  Its scary to think that even if you seem to do it all right, this is not an exact science.

Just so you are aware, the most successful mating in the history of the Elite Racing Club, (Sending the mare Kalinka to Marju resulting in Soviet Song) was initiated for no other reason than the gentleman who organised it had another client who used Marju, and he seemed to be a decent, solid, winning getting sire.....so a fair degree of luck really....

Good luck to you all for  your 2017 coverings...

BBC
By:
Johnny_Mustang
When: 07 Dec 16 10:02
All now more or less full:

Markaz
Awtaad
Dariyan
Harzand
Twilight Son
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 10 Jan 17 17:33
I'm using Adaay. There I said it. No pedigree but what the hell.

I thought not much happening so I'd pop my head above the parapet.
By:
Formtwist
When: 10 Jan 17 20:24
Phew, now my decision likewise seems SO much more sensible! Let's hope he is fertile......
By:
proxygene
When: 10 Jan 17 21:04
Maybe next year for me.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 10 Jan 17 22:12
Blimey that's a conundrum. If, Formtwist, you are barking enough to take comfort in my choices then I think you are perhaps   totally off your trolley and surely I shouldn't want to board this bus?!  What now, should I not sign on the dotted line? Devil
By:
Formtwist
When: 11 Jan 17 09:16
I'll happily admit to barking and being a curmudgeonly old dog averse to new tricks. Personally, I'd quite understand your not signing on that dotted line knowing I'm in that very long list of Adaay users! For me though I have observed that annually you get hearty congratulations on prolific sales of foals and, though I'd never be swayed by anyone's opinions from following my own, I am thus modestly encouraged that we have headed at least one mare each in the same direction. You will of course get a perfect colt that will take Tatts 2018 by storm and I will get a fault-ridden filly..
By:
Wilycayote
When: 11 Jan 17 20:11
I like your thinking, he looks a commercial sort and Shadwell will at least be looking at his stock at the sales.

I'd love to use Mehmas as I thought he was such a tough horse, but they'll probably cover a mountain of mares with him.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 13 Jan 17 19:00
As you infer FT., it's the nice colt v ordinary filly equation hat has all the bearing here.

I thought that Adaay could do likeable when I saw him. Whether he can do us colt is quite another matter.

I like Mehmas too Wily but like you I have not had to examine my conscience as to whether I would use a 2yo retiree.

I was horrified at the size of Gutaifan's first book and as the connections are so implicit I don't see the likelihood of very much different this time around either.
By:
ElT
When: 15 Jan 17 05:47
Meandre standing for €900 in his first season. Must be worth a try for some on a 4 time Gr.1 winner.
By:
proxygene
When: 15 Jan 17 11:09
How much is a return ticket to Czech?
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 15 Jan 17 15:38
Mikhail Glinka has a very nice pedigree if you are off the Czech proxygene-if you want to breed a NH horse that is.

By Galileo out of a  full sister to Sir Percy.  But won the Queens Vase.

Not screaming early 2 yos though :-)
By:
yer ma
When: 11 Feb 17 11:51
Toormore's been pulled.  Home of the Brave or Hawkbill would be nice if they are taking suggestions.
By:
Wilycayote
When: 11 Feb 17 15:47
yer ma, what do you mean "been pulled"?
By:
yer ma
When: 11 Feb 17 20:13
Dont know reason but isnt going to cover.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 11 Feb 17 20:31
Lack of interest?
By:
yer ma
When: 13 Feb 17 21:15
Yes not enough clubbers, some poor decision-making from Darley - how unlike them.   Ever sent mare to France, I'm taken by Exosphere and the 'my' family has a Lohnro winner? Complicated?
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 13 Feb 17 22:15
I am sure someone will know better than me yer ma, but if they stay silent I would suggest you ring a regular transporter - Weyhill, LRT etc. who will advise, as there is a slight complication if memory serves.
By:
Wilycayote
When: 17 Feb 17 20:44
good call yer ma, heard confirmation today that Toormore's tapped out. Careful not to wish for Home of The Brave though, he's built like a hungry whippet!

anyone got a particularly nice foal yet?
By:
Off the toe
When: 21 Feb 17 06:28
Single digit nomination for Toormore hence the reason he has.been relieved of his duties.
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