Betting.Betfair

Match Odds

Despite not winning at White Hart Lane between 1985 and 2006, Everton have a superb recent record against Tottenham, Opta stats reveal. They have lost just once in the last eight league matches between the two and just once in their last five trips to White Hart Lane. Everton won three of the other four in north London by the way. Damning stats that make you instantly come to the conclusion that the Toffees are great value at 7.2 to win the match.

The problem with historical stats is just that, they don't necessary reflect the here and now. Spurs are a far better team this year than at any stage of that five-year study and Everton are perhaps at their lowest point. If it's not financial problems meaning they have to sell their best players (Mikel Arteta, Yakubu) without getting anyone in that's stalling their progress, it's injuries. Phil Jagielka is out, while Tim Cahill, Leon Osman, Jack Rodwell and Tony Hibbert are all doubtful.

Spurs are almost certain to have to make do without Scott Parker (who as rated as "very doubtful" by Harry Redknapp) whilst the man who would normally deputise for him if injured, Sandro, is definitely out. There's no Ledley King or William Gallas either so Michael Dawson, who returned from a four-month layoff at the weekend, is likely to partner Younes Kaboul.

This may be a good time for Everton to be playing Spurs. A nervous 1-0 home win over West Brom and dropping two points at Swansea following a late equaliser are perhaps an indication that some of the key players like Rafael van der Vaart, Gareth Bale and Luka Modric are a little tired after starting virtually every league match so far this campaign. And the more we think about the head-to-head record between these two and the effect of Parker missing this match will have, the more we're convinced that Spurs look a little short at 1.58. Lay Spurs pre-match with a view to get out at around 2.2.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

This market should be a lot easier to crack than the one above. Eight of Everton's last nine matches have been under 2.5 goals and the one that wasn't, a 2-1 defeat to Bolton, included a slight anomaly in that Tim Howard scored a goal . The stats aren't quite as convincing involving Spurs' recent matches but it's still four from the last five that finished with less than three goals. Under 2.5 goals screams out as value at 1.95.

To Score

Emmanuel Adebayor has scored just once in his last five Premier League outings. Having scored eight in his first 12 matches this season, this is a trend that we've been accustomed to with the former Togo international. He starts the season brightly but seems to hit a wall mid-season, the performances go down and the goals dry up. Yet he's still just around the 2.3 mark to score at anytime ahead of this match. A match we fancy to be low-scoring. He's definitely worth laying at that price.

Best Bet

Back under 2.5 goals in Spurs v Everton @ 1.95

Recommended Bet

Lay Emmanuel Adebayor to score at anytime @ 2.3

For more football betting articles, go to http://betting.betfair.com/football/