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Live_in_Hope
28 Feb 14 21:20
Joined:
Date Joined: 02 Jan 09
| Topic/replies: 12,592 | Blogger: Live_in_Hope's blog
if you go by stats.
26 of the last 28 winners either won or ran second at their last start
Pause Switch to Standard View Shamus Award cant win the Guineas
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Report VeryLTU March 1, 2014 12:12 AM GMT
some long standing trends are being broken into twigs in recent years though Cry...... what happened last week with fiorente first up at caulfield 1800m ??? ..... and its' no champion (which usually are the horses that break all sorts of trends) i'll be backing its a dunnnybrush to knock it off in the big one, at this stage anyway. Good stat though, i like it ... but don't think you could use it to assign only a 2 out of 28 chance for shamus award... imo.
Report wombleoz March 1, 2014 12:17 AM GMT
obviously a very good horse but i'll be on Eurozone and Rock Hero
Report VeryLTU March 1, 2014 12:34 AM GMT
here's another cracker for you hopeful ......  the last ten listed races at flemington (excluding spring races) at 2500, 2600 or 2800 meters have been won by a horse coming out of either barrier 1 or 2 !!! figure that one out without probability theory LaughLaugh   and you can't used field size either because the median field size was 16 horses Shocked
Report VeryLTU March 1, 2014 12:35 AM GMT
correction: 6 of the last 10 races Blush
Report Live_in_Hope March 1, 2014 2:00 AM GMT
that's really interesting Very - hard to believe hey
Report starofthemagi March 1, 2014 3:18 AM GMT
I reckon he is a good thing on his work last Tuesday.!
Report Live_in_Hope March 1, 2014 3:23 AM GMT
good luck to yah star - not bad a bad way to break his maiden status last start but ill stick with the Cummings horse
Report BJT March 1, 2014 3:39 AM GMT
Has a maiden ever won the cox plate?

Stats are always good, but some just really aren't very relevant, while others need a lot more digging to get the real meaning behind them.
Report VeryLTU March 1, 2014 4:01 AM GMT
and everything changes (quantum mechanices) ... even in racing.....changes to handicapping rules, vests, drugs and medications, track replacements, track gradings....... you name something it'll change.
Report VeryLTU March 1, 2014 4:04 AM GMT
did i mention female riders Wink
Report BJT March 1, 2014 4:48 AM GMT
Question marks on Eurozone through the week, Shamus Award the clear value and will be tough to beat imo.  I am on.
Report Live_in_Hope March 1, 2014 5:22 AM GMT
oh well on a plate for a plate winnerWhoops
Report therhino March 1, 2014 5:24 AM GMT
Well done BJ. Nice to see you back. Not that your return was ever in question Cool
Report starofthemagi March 1, 2014 5:31 AM GMT
thank you $8 fixed odds was lovely,
you were told.!
couldn't get beaten on his work.!!
Report Lets Elope March 1, 2014 11:21 AM GMT
Well done sotm. Oh and by the way get farked.
Report Joel March 1, 2014 12:29 PM GMT
Can you drive a bus, Lets Elope?
Report Lets Elope March 1, 2014 12:31 PM GMT
I wouldnt have thought so as am not licensed to do so, if I absolutely had to I suppose I could.
Report Joel March 1, 2014 8:37 PM GMT
Good stuff, see you in Ulaanbaatar then
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