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Live_in_Hope
28 Feb 14 21:20
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Date Joined: 02 Jan 09
| Topic/replies: 12,592 | Blogger: Live_in_Hope's blog
if you go by stats.
26 of the last 28 winners either won or ran second at their last start

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Replies: 18
By:
VeryLTU
When: 01 Mar 14 00:12
some long standing trends are being broken into twigs in recent years though Cry...... what happened last week with fiorente first up at caulfield 1800m ??? ..... and its' no champion (which usually are the horses that break all sorts of trends) i'll be backing its a dunnnybrush to knock it off in the big one, at this stage anyway. Good stat though, i like it ... but don't think you could use it to assign only a 2 out of 28 chance for shamus award... imo.
By:
wombleoz
When: 01 Mar 14 00:17
obviously a very good horse but i'll be on Eurozone and Rock Hero
By:
VeryLTU
When: 01 Mar 14 00:34
here's another cracker for you hopeful ......  the last ten listed races at flemington (excluding spring races) at 2500, 2600 or 2800 meters have been won by a horse coming out of either barrier 1 or 2 !!! figure that one out without probability theory LaughLaugh   and you can't used field size either because the median field size was 16 horses Shocked
By:
VeryLTU
When: 01 Mar 14 00:35
correction: 6 of the last 10 races Blush
By:
Live_in_Hope
When: 01 Mar 14 02:00
that's really interesting Very - hard to believe hey
By:
starofthemagi
When: 01 Mar 14 03:18
I reckon he is a good thing on his work last Tuesday.!
By:
Live_in_Hope
When: 01 Mar 14 03:23
good luck to yah star - not bad a bad way to break his maiden status last start but ill stick with the Cummings horse
By:
BJT
When: 01 Mar 14 03:39
Has a maiden ever won the cox plate?

Stats are always good, but some just really aren't very relevant, while others need a lot more digging to get the real meaning behind them.
By:
VeryLTU
When: 01 Mar 14 04:01
and everything changes (quantum mechanices) ... even in racing.....changes to handicapping rules, vests, drugs and medications, track replacements, track gradings....... you name something it'll change.
By:
VeryLTU
When: 01 Mar 14 04:04
did i mention female riders Wink
By:
BJT
When: 01 Mar 14 04:48
Question marks on Eurozone through the week, Shamus Award the clear value and will be tough to beat imo.  I am on.
By:
Live_in_Hope
When: 01 Mar 14 05:22
oh well on a plate for a plate winnerWhoops
By:
therhino
When: 01 Mar 14 05:24
Well done BJ. Nice to see you back. Not that your return was ever in question Cool
By:
starofthemagi
When: 01 Mar 14 05:31
thank you $8 fixed odds was lovely,
you were told.!
couldn't get beaten on his work.!!
By:
Lets Elope
When: 01 Mar 14 11:21
Well done sotm. Oh and by the way get farked.
By:
Joel
When: 01 Mar 14 12:29
Can you drive a bus, Lets Elope?
By:
Lets Elope
When: 01 Mar 14 12:31
I wouldnt have thought so as am not licensed to do so, if I absolutely had to I suppose I could.
By:
Joel
When: 01 Mar 14 20:37
Good stuff, see you in Ulaanbaatar then
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