Grand National
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Probable - BAIE DES ILES WARRIORS TALE ALPHA DES OBEAUX THE LAST SAMURAI
Possible - MINELLO ROCCO BLAKLION PLEASANT COMPANY ANIBALE FLY MILANSBAR
VIRGILIO VALSEUR LIDO TOTAL RECALL VINCENTE REGAL ENCORE
CHASE THE SPUD CAPTAIN REDBEARD FINAL NUDGE
Unlikely - BLESS THE WINGS SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT GAS LINE BOY PENDRA
CHILDRENS LIST TIGER ROLL THE DUTCHMAN PERFECT CANDIDATE
GOLD PRESENT CARLINGFORD LOUGH RAZ DE MAREE BUYWISE
I JUST KNOW HOUBLON DES OBEAUX SHANTOU FLYER BEEVES
VIEUX LION ROUGE UCELLO CONTI
No Chance -MAGGIO DOUBLE ROSS SAINT ARE TENOR NIVERNAIS LORD WINDERMERE
Possible - MINELLO ROCCO BLAKLION PLEASANT COMPANY ANIBALE FLY MILANSBAR
VIRGILIO VALSEUR LIDO TOTAL RECALL VINCENTE REGAL ENCORE
CHASE THE SPUD CAPTAIN REDBEARD FINAL NUDGE
Unlikely - BLESS THE WINGS SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT GAS LINE BOY PENDRA
CHILDRENS LIST TIGER ROLL THE DUTCHMAN PERFECT CANDIDATE
GOLD PRESENT CARLINGFORD LOUGH RAZ DE MAREE BUYWISE
I JUST KNOW HOUBLON DES OBEAUX SHANTOU FLYER BEEVES
VIEUX LION ROUGE UCELLO CONTI
No Chance -MAGGIO DOUBLE ROSS SAINT ARE TENOR NIVERNAIS LORD WINDERMERE
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Replies: 12
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Would love to know how you put horses in Probables and Possibles (Baie Des Iles, The Last Samurai, Captain Redbeard, Final Nudge etc) and yet horses that have beat them out of sight you put in as unlikely !!
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Unlikely.....Anything carrying 11st or over....That narrows it down a tad
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Oh no I've only got 1 probable, 1 possible and 4 unlikelies
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Would have to agree with that under the likely conditions.
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Unlikely
Anibale Fly - he was staying on when Might Bite and Native River were both cooked . Far too short a price . Blaklion - doesn't stay , has too much weight . Vieux Lion Rouge - doesn't stay Double Ross - doesn't stay . Seeyouatmidnight - would they have sold him if he was flying at home? |
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Dunlaying, good logical assessment.
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A revisit to this thread, post race, will be interesting !
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Facts, that's why it's best not to stick your neck out too far !! lol. Best to say none of them have a chance then you're only wrong once and have a 97.5% success rate..
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Probable - BAIE DES ILES WARRIORS TALE ALPHA DES OBEAUX THE LAST SAMURAI
Possible - DELUSIONSOFGRANDEUR BLAKLION PLEASANT COMPANY ANIBALE FLY MILANSBAR VIRGILIO VALSEUR LIDO TOTAL RECALL REGAL ENCORE CHASE THE SPUD CAPTAIN REDBEARD FINAL NUDGE Unlikely - BLESS THE WINGS SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT GAS LINE BOY PENDRA CHILDRENS LIST TIGER ROLL THE DUTCHMAN PERFECT CANDIDATE ROAD TO RICHES CARLINGFORD LOUGH RAZ DE MAREE BUYWISE I JUST KNOW HOUBLON DES OBEAUX SHANTOU FLYER BEEVES VIEUX LION ROUGE UCELLO CONTI No Chance -MAGGIO DOUBLE ROSS SAINT ARE TENOR NIVERNAIS LORD WINDERMERE THUNDER AND ROSES At least I can't be accused of aftertiming or fencesitting |
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You might get a lot of stick though !! Not from me BTW because you're brave putting your opinion out front and if you're wrong, well we all know how horses can run below the level we can reasonably expect them to.
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I do this each year , in 2015 Many Clouds was a probable , in 2016 Rule The World , 2017 One For Arthur , 2018 feck all
Let's see how 2019 goes PROBABLE LAKE VIEW LAD MAGIC OF LIGHT VINTAGE CLOUDS ROCK THE KASBAH TEA FOR TWO SINGLEFARMPAYMENT RAMSES DE TEILLEE POSSIBLE ANIBALE FLY VALTOR GO CONQUER STEP BACK WALK IN THE PARK BALLYOPTIC PLEASANT COMPANY RATHVINDEN TIGER ROLL JURY DUTY UP FOR REVIEW JOE FARRELL UNLIKELY LIVELOVELAUGH VIEUX LION ROUGE VALSEUR LIDO GENERAL PRINCIPLE MALA BEACH OUTLANDER BLESS THE WINGS FOLSOM BLUE REGAL ENCORE DOUNIKOS ONE FOR ARTHUR WARRIORS TALE A TOI PHIL MONBEG NOTORIOUS NOBLE ENDEAVOUR CAPTAIN REDBEARD ULTRAGOLD BLOW BY BLOW NO CHANCE JUST A PAR MINELLA ROCCO DON POLI |
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Close but no cigar with Magic Of Light ......at least all the first five were not in the two bottom categories.
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