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Dry morning at Aintree with only a small possibility of showers later,
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I would much rather take the going stick reading over the "going desciption" as an indication of the ground
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the going stick is highly confusing
not surprising when you consider the bias that can creep into the readings a they navigate the course |
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Aintree Racecourse
The Randox Health Grand National Festival Next Race Meeting 11/04/2018 23:00:00 Report Date 11/04/2018 14:32:00 Official Going Mildmay: Good to Soft, Soft in places Hurdle: Good to Soft, Soft Stand side National: Soft GoingStick Mildmay 5.4 Hurdle 5 National 4.2 on Wednesday at 1400 Rails Rail on outer line - distances tbc. Rail will be moved in each day to provide fresh ground Weather: 13mm Saturday, 8mm Tuesday. Dry overnight Wednesday - cloudy, breezy with drizzle overnight 13C Thursday - dry with sunny spells. Poss shower overnight 12C Friday - cloudy, poss showers through afternoon 12C Saturday - cloudy am, showers pm 12C |
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So it won't be the heavy old slog some are assuming?
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woudnt be too sure yet paul Fridays forecast is uncertain
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well the going stick reading today is 4.3
in the past Aintree readings have given 3.6/4.0 as "heavy" and 4.8/5.2 as "soft" apparently the course is "quietly drying out" it will be fascinating to see what its like in the foxhunters |
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slow time in the 1st race on the mildmay course which is normally the quickest ground of the 3 tracks
looks soft ground on the mildmay national course must be borderline heavy |
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Good to soft .
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there's no evidence whatsoever pointing to g/s
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time of the foxhunters should tell us more. though treat the time with caution as imo these amatuers not the best judges of pace. sectional times would be handy to have.
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Good to soft on Saturday .
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Getting worse on a dry day. Who'd have thought it?
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5'32" last year on good to soft
around 5'45" this year make of that what you will but didnt look too soft to me |
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5 49 suggests to me it’s genuine soft nowhere near heavy with only a few mm’s of rain forecast until Saturday
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Did expect a far slower time to be honest...
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Disney said very soft down far side and that confirms turftrax saying canal turn is heavy
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Been looking forward to this race for months with a specific few horses in mind. With Vintage Clouds not running and the ground likely to be fair to most come Saturday I’m honestly struggling to find a bet
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2016 was a very similar time (5'47") on good to soft, soft in places
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I still think Raz de Maree will run a big race
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Might save my money for Scotland, Missed Approach and Vintage Clouds were the 2 stayers with light weights I wanted in at Aintree. They won’t have light weights at Ayr mind you
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Sewter, according to Racingpost results it was soft in 2016.
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national course looked soft at worst imo, although was obviously virgin ground for the foxhunters, not raced on since december
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Still slowest time for about 10 years.
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most years its good or g/s
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looks like this evening's forecast rain is going to miss Aintree
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We are forecast heavy rain tonight so it will be at least soft ground if it is correct.
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By tonight I mean early tomorrow morning, forecast heavy rain for 4 hours.
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It forecasting 6 hours of heavy rain now 4am-10am 80-90% chance. Been checking every hour or so and it seems different every time. But like you say if it hits then all talk of g/s will be gone.
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Rain should be stopping by 10 am but looks like they will have had maybe 4 or 5 mms. They have officially gone to soft with heavy patches on the canal turn again just now.
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Just listened to Radio Wales talking to Bowen snr and he reckoned James had the choice between RazDM and Shantou Flyer.
Same report said that it was hammering down and was likely to be heavy in ground description. The unasked question was would James have made the same decision if he knew it was going to be "heavy" |
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If thats true then its a very brave desicion to desert a horse whose given him his biggest win. For what its worth i think he chosen bang WRONG but highsight a wonderful thing re ground and i wish him all the best.
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yes a massive decision for a 17 year old starting his career
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Lucy from the Veraswami put us away with her talk of 1mm .
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ATR racing news just said no change in going strange given that theyve had about 10mm overnight
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Minella Roco out due to ground
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So who am i looking at as mudlarks and one paced plodders, got two kids and the miss looking for their annual punt, any input appreciated thx.
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rained all night just stopped soft heavy in places according to ruk
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Just looking for a couple of plodders who will jump round and might pick up a bit of place money, come on people dont be shy my kids are relying on you.
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