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the bloob
15 Mar 15 15:39
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Date Joined: 11 Jul 02
| Topic/replies: 6,127 | Blogger: the bloob's blog
always difficult to work out at this stage but does anyone have an idea where the cut-off point will be for getting in? I'm hoping Theatircal Star gets in and he's currently number 63 on 10-2
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Report Fabulous March 15, 2015 7:06 PM GMT
Bloob, normally between 77 and 82 from the original entries..............from Gallant Oscar to Mountainous.
Report GallopWatcher21 March 15, 2015 7:20 PM GMT
Why didn't Theartrical Star run at Cheltenham?
Is there a problem!!!!
Report the bloob March 15, 2015 8:25 PM GMT
if Goonyella gets in it could be an interesting one, I don't think it will though
Report Can't Catch Me March 18, 2015 4:14 PM GMT
Harry Viking is the one that really interests me... currently 78 so not that hopeful.
Report Fabulous March 18, 2015 6:14 PM GMT
Doesn't look like Shotgun Paddy's going, so one down for you CCM.
Report Can't Catch Me March 18, 2015 7:43 PM GMT
Nice one mate Grin

100/1 NRNB.... Only 37 more to go!
Report Fabulous March 18, 2015 7:53 PM GMT
I think you can also rule out Carlingford Lough, Lord Windermere, and Theatrical Star...........getting there Laugh
Report Can't Catch Me March 18, 2015 8:44 PM GMT
Why Theatrical Star?
Report the bloob March 18, 2015 9:36 PM GMT
betfair have taken Theatrical Star out of the betting Sad
Report Can't Catch Me March 18, 2015 10:19 PM GMT
Ah right, cheers. Thought he had a chance myself.
Report Fabulous March 23, 2015 3:03 PM GMT
Alderwood scratched, and Rolling Aces looks doubtful.
Report GallopWatcher21 March 24, 2015 1:47 PM GMT
8 further out
Boston Bob
Roi Du Mee
Katenko
Living Next Door
Make A Track
Prince De Beauchene
Cedre Bleu
Buddy Bolero
Report DHB March 24, 2015 9:59 PM GMT
I'm not writing off Rocky Creek being top weight at this rate.
Report marychain1 March 26, 2015 12:50 PM GMT
What order do the 10st2 horses get in? I'm hoping for Royale Knight.
Report Fabulous March 26, 2015 1:39 PM GMT
MC, Soll would be first in, off his highest present rating. I think (though not certain) it goes to a draw for those currently on the same rating, being Royale Knight, and Ely Brown.

I think that would make RK 46, or 47 on the list, and I reckon more than a fortnight from the race, you'd feel pretty sure he'd get in from there......well I hope so anyway as I've bet both RK, and Ely Brown Laugh
Report Alkeyhole March 26, 2015 7:31 PM GMT
Arguably all 15 of these are priced as if they're unlikely to run (BF price & best bookmaker price)

1    1-373P    Lord Windermere        100    50/1   
2    4-1116    Many Clouds         90    50/1   
8    P-1F7P    Home Farm        120    40/1
10    B3UR60    Double Ross        260    66/1
20    545211    Rubi Light        200    100/1
24    32-42P    Benvolio        120    50/1
27    10-33P    Corrin Wood        130    66/1
32    31P0-5    Tranquil Sea        270    100/1
35    120P1P    Bob Ford        220    100/1
36    P2-67    Super Duty        120    66/1
37    P16-2F    Wyck Hill        140    50/1
42    3-8256    Owega Star        170    66/1
43    U58P14    River Choice        640    150/1
45    0115-P    Ely Brown        210    100/1
46    72624P    Renard            260    66/1

Some of those discrepencies may be down to the ew aspect but I can see there being at least 10 withdrawals from that lot.
Report Steamship March 26, 2015 11:26 PM GMT
Pretty sure after seeing Greatrex on ATR that Tranquil Sea runs
Report Fabulous March 27, 2015 1:18 PM GMT
Teaforthree out with an old injury.
Report Can't Catch Me March 27, 2015 1:26 PM GMT
Harry The Viking.... inching closer to that magic 40 Grin
Report paulo47 March 27, 2015 4:36 PM GMT
Just got matched at 110 Corrin Wood in rubbish ,but am  happy to have got out as expected it would have had a run by now when I backed it , but someone must think its a runner .
Report saxon farm March 27, 2015 9:06 PM GMT
Anyone know why Wyck Hill is doubtful?
Report Fabulous March 28, 2015 10:45 AM GMT
Double Ross out as well now.
Report Meat Loaf March 29, 2015 9:40 AM BST
Will Raz De Maree get in?
Report Fabulous March 29, 2015 11:04 AM BST
He's 49 on the list at the moment Loaf, with Double Ross, and Teaforthree out, you'd have to be hopeful with a fortnight to go.
Report shockster March 30, 2015 1:46 PM BST
I've just backed Raz De Maree 66/1 NRNB. Trouble is that he's also in the Irish National.  Could have a chance if it goes soft 66/1 is fair.
Report sixtwosix March 30, 2015 7:16 PM BST
All this continuous race in the north would see Goonyella disputing favouritism come race day ......if he can only get in .
Report Can't Catch Me March 30, 2015 7:47 PM BST
My sentiments exactly six!
Report the bloob March 30, 2015 8:00 PM BST
I agree about Raz de Maree, if it goes soft then it's got a great chance. Got to be a big question about it turning up though, it would be a gamble to skip the Irish national and then get balloted out. Deffo worth a bet at 66/1 NRNB with the weather forecast
Report jasey March 31, 2015 12:02 AM BST
Forecast i looked at today says dry and sunshine from Wednesday next week.
Report shockster March 31, 2015 11:03 AM BST
I backed Goonyella last year and ended up being reserve and missing out.  Not a lot between Him and Raz De Maree but the latter is higher up the list and double the price.  If (and it's a big if) they both get in then I'd give them both a decent shout.
Report Fabulous March 31, 2015 11:27 AM BST
Hadrians Approach looking doubtful, having knocked a hind leg joint in his box.
Report winga March 31, 2015 3:31 PM BST
merry king out!
Report winga March 31, 2015 3:32 PM BST
Goonyella getting closer...if only..
Report Ming_the_Merciless March 31, 2015 4:13 PM BST
How far are we down the list now?

47?


NO.    HORSE    AGE    WGT    TRAINER RTF%    JOCKEY    OR    TS    RPR
1    1-373P    Lord Windermere29    9    11-10    J H Culloty        161    144    165
2    4-1116    Many Clouds29    8    11-9    Oliver Sherwood        160    150    171
3    P-113P    Sam Winner29    8    11-8    Paul Nicholls        159    140    172
4    38-613    Unioniste63    7    11-6    Paul Nicholls        157    154    170
5    25-2P1    Rocky Creek49    9    11-3    Paul Nicholls        154    147    179
6    24683    First Lieutenant23      10    11-3    M F Morris        154    149    173
7    12-F11    Balthazar King148    11    11-2    Philip Hobbs        153    134    162
8    P-1F7P    Home Farm29    8    11-2    Henry De Bromhead        153    107    165
9    2461-1    Shutthefrontdoor152    8    11-2    Jonjo O´Neill        153    122    169
10    B3UR60    Double Ross30    9    11-1    Nigel Twiston-Davies    -    152    139    172
11    101-6P    Hadrian´s Approach70    8    11-0    Nicky Henderson        151    142    167
12    1-0P80    Pineau De Re30      12    11-0    Dr Richard Newland        151    —    —
13    2173P    Ballycasey30    8    10-13    W P Mullins        150    146    169
14    015-44    Spring Heeled49    8    10-12    J H Culloty        149    149    167
15    454121    Rebel Rebellion21      10    10-12    Paul Nicholls        149    159    176
16    028180    Dolatulo30    8    10-11    Warren Greatrex        148    139    165
17    1-P015    Mon Parrain42    9    10-11    Paul Nicholls        148    133    169
18    32213    Carlito Brigante42    9    10-10    Karen McLintock        147    122    170
19    40233    Night In Milan42    9    10-9    Keith Reveley        146    150    168
20    545211    Rubi Light25    10    10-9    Robert Alan Hennessy        146    161    175
21    12751    The Druids Nephew32    8    10-9    Neil Mulholland        146    136    177
22    20-751    Cause Of Causes32    7    10-9    Gordon Elliott        146    118    170
23    23-P50    Godsmejudge21    9    10-8    Alan King        145    144    173
24    32-42P    Benvolio56    8    10-8    Paul Nicholls        145    118    172
25    1-0P33    Al Co21    10    10-8    Peter Bowen        145    99    171
26    24430    Monbeg Dude32    10    10-7    Michael Scudamore        144    147    171
27    10-33P    Corrin Wood84      8    10-7    Donald McCain        144    120    167
28    261U-P    The Rainbow Hunter49    11    10-7    Kim Bailey        144    —    —
29    28U-14    Teaforthree56      11    10-7    Rebecca Curtis        144    —    —
30    F-3331    Saint Are61    9    10-6    Tom George        143    138    167
31    0-800B    Across The Bay30    11    10-6    Donald McCain        143    104    121
32    31P0-5    Tranquil Sea42    13    10-5    Warren Greatrex        142    136    154
33    P4-33P    Merry King63    8    10-5    Jonjo O´Neill        142    152    169
34    111U14    Oscar Time52      14    10-5    Robert Waley-Cohen        142    152    168
35    120P1P    Bob Ford28    8    10-4    Rebecca Curtis        141    138    169
36    P2-67    Super Duty42    9    10-4    Ian Williams        141    102    138
37    P16-2F    Wyck Hill49    11    10-4    David Bridgwater        141    —    —
38    P11P4    Gas Line Boy56    9    10-4    Philip Hobbs        141    141    171
39    P46-55    Chance Du Roy62      11    10-4    Philip Hobbs        141    152    170
40    51P4-5    Alvarado52    10    10-3    Fergal O´Brien        140    125    152
41    8P1292    Portrait King25    10    10-3    M Phelan        140    107    165
42    3-8256    Owega Star34      8    10-3    Peter Fahey        140    89    169
43    U58P14    River Choice49    12    10-3    R Chotard        140    —    165
44    265-11    Court By Surprise154    10    10-3    Emma Lavelle        140    122    170
45    0115-P    Ely Brown70    10    10-2    Charlie Longsdon        139    —    —
46    72624P    Renard49    10    10-2    Venetia Williams        139    145    172
47    3-4132    Royale Knight23    9    10-2    Dr Richard Newland        139    107    166
48    5F57U8    Duke Of Lucca31    10    10-2    Philip Hobbs        139    99    167
49    50-P11    Soll42    10    10-2    David Pipe        139    162    178
50    113625    Baileys Concerto42    9    10-2    Dianne Sayer        139    150    169
51    38-842    Raz De Maree28    10    10-1    Ms Sandra Hughes        138    111    168
Report dunlaying March 31, 2015 6:04 PM BST
11 of the top 40 are doubtful so Raz De Maree looks pretty fair and perhaps The Package.
Report Ming_the_Merciless April 2, 2015 12:03 PM BST
when's the next new set of decs?
Report Fabulous April 2, 2015 12:28 PM BST
Ming, It'll be Monday, 5 Day Decs
Report Penguin Keeper April 2, 2015 12:41 PM BST
Raz De Maree number 40 imo.
Report Ming_the_Merciless April 2, 2015 3:22 PM BST
Cheers, & the weather forecast might mean that a couple of mud-larks drop out too.

51    38-842    Raz De Maree28    10    10-1    Ms Sandra Hughes        138    111    168
52    30-6P1    The Package30    12    10-0    David Pipe        137    130    179
53    3515F2    Broadway Buffalo32    7    10-0    David Pipe        137    123    179
54    5-4323    Maggio54    10    10-0    Patrick Griffin        137    126    172
55    P-114F    Guess Again30    10    10-0    A J Martin        137    142    166
56    2U731    Goonyella28    8    9-13    J T R Dreaper        136    139    175
57    12243    Gallant Oscar32    9    9-13    A J Martin        136    139    168
58    1P5P-    Sydney Paget385    8    9-13    Donald McCain        136    —    —
59    2383P    Vintage Star30    9    9-13    Sue Smith        136    138    174
60    5F-5P6    Mountainous56    10    9-12    Richard Lee        135    109    152
61    P-442P    Alpha Victor49    10    9-12    William Kinsey        135    74    144
62    P-17PP    Mart Lane91    10    9-11    Sophie Leech        134    143    169
63    63F36    Ikorodu Road21    12    9-11    Graeme McPherson        134    143    164
64    PP-PP8    Rigadin De Beauchene28    10    9-9    Venetia Williams        132    70    128
65    036222    Harry The Viking21    10    9-9    Sandy Thomson        132    138    169
66    2-5412    Any Currency31    12    9-9    Martin Keighley        132    162    177
Report Meat Loaf April 2, 2015 6:04 PM BST
Is Raz De Maree being aimed at the Irish national?
Report Fabulous April 5, 2015 10:38 AM BST
Sam Winner looks as if he's out.
Report johnhanmerappreciationsociety April 5, 2015 11:26 AM BST
one that definitely will not get in is Neptune Equester but he has just been backed at 3/1  LaughLaughLaugh
Report johnhanmerappreciationsociety April 6, 2015 1:44 PM BST
Hadrian's Approach, Sam Winner, Renard, Home Farm, Sydney Paget and Benvolio all withdrawn at 5-day stage leaving 65 on the list.
Report dunlaying April 6, 2015 3:00 PM BST
There are still three that could defect which leaves anything under Raz De Maree looking pretty grim.
Report Mully April 6, 2015 6:12 PM BST
What are the three? I'm desperate for RDM to get in at 40.
Report winga April 6, 2015 7:01 PM BST
i do not think gas line boy will run.
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