Grand National
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Given there's no forum covering Aintree, here's as good a place as anywhere.
Will be posting up my trend ratings for the key (not all) races at the forthcoming Aintree Festival.
Will be posting up my trend ratings for the key (not all) races at the forthcoming Aintree Festival.
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Aintree Hurdle
Preliminary ratings of the existing field: Zarkandar 85% Countrywide Flame 71% Prospect Wells 70% The New One 70% Grandouet 66% Oscar Whisky 60% Cinders And Ashes 57% Binocular 56% Raya Star 46% Thousand Stars 41% Mad Moose 37% Saphir River 32% |
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Good work joci your threads are amongst the best on here. Hope you win plenty.
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Are you doing the Red Rum chase? My inital impressions are that Edgardo Sol could well win this again given how easily he won last year. Also think Stagecoach Pearl could be a live one given he's won from higher marks and has agood Aintree record. He probably went off too fast over a trip too far here in October. Hoping the btter ground will see a return to form.
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I like the look of West with the wind in that race. Well handicapped and likes this time of year on good ground
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Yes, the Red Rum Chase will be coming under scrutiny.
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Betfred Bowl
Preliminary ratings of the existing field: Quito De La Roque 84% Silviniaco Conti 73% First Lieutenant 70% Wayward Prince 63% Cape Tribulation 62% Menorah 60% The Giant Bolster 60% Whodoyouthink 28% |
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Aintree Hurdle
Latest ratings following withdrawals: Zarkandar 85% Countrywide Flame 71% The New One 70% Grandouet 66% Prospect Wells 61% Oscar Whisky 60% Raya Star 46% Thousand Stars 41% Saphir River 32% |
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Red Rum Handicap Chase
Preliminary ratings of the existing field: Viva Colonia20 87% Rebel Rebellion26 76% Marshal Zhukov20 72% Drumshambo20 72% Kid Cassidy20 71% 15 Pires27F 70% Astracad110 67% 12 Anquetta20 67% 14 Ballygarvey40 67% 4 Ciceron26 66% 3 Kie35 65% 9 Silver Roque34 63% 13 Far Away So Close60 63% 8 Donnas Palm130 63% 6 Swift Arrow60 62% Toubab33 60% Shooters Wood20 60% Kumbeshwar20 57% 11 Kings Grey96 55% 7 Eastlake61 55% Pepite Rose33 53% 1 Absolutlyfantastic55F 52% Edgardo Sol20 52% Stagecoach Pearl20 52% Petit Robin20 50% Dan Breen20 47% 10 Echo Bob116 46% Tanks For That20 41% West With The Wind124 40% 2 Barneys Honour17 39% Wishfull Thinking22 36% Oiseau De Nuit20 33% 5 Nozic41 23% A few more factors to be considered (whether there will be a rise in weights / likely SPs etc), but this is what I'm getting at this point. Clear leader in Viva Colonia. |
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how does Planet Of Sound come out in the Topham, really fancy it to run a big race
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Cheers. I'm guessing novices have a good record judging by the list. Similar to at Cheltenham.
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Planet Of Sound comes out around 'mid-table' for the Topham at 61%, which is some distance behind my top rated horse, Tartak on 88%.
Not final figures yet though, but a decent indication. |
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Yes, novice chasers havea decent record in the Red Rum.
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thanks JOCI
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Matalan Anniversary 4YO Novices’ Hurdle
Ruacana 60% Rolling Star 57% Flaxen Flare 53% L´Unique 51% Irish Saint 50% Hefner 46% Vasco Du Ronceray 44% Runswick Royal 44% Zamdy Man 39% Bob´s World 31% Selections: Ruacana @ 12.5 & Rolling Star @ 3.8 |
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Betfred Bowl Steeplechase
Quito De La Roque 92% Silviniaco Conti 80% First Lieutenant 78% Cape Tribulation 69% The Giant Bolster 68% Wayward Prince 62% Menorah 61% Whodoyouthink 31% Selections: Quito De La Roque @ 12 & Silviniaco Conti @ 2 |
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John Smith's Aintree Hurdle
Zarkandar 85% Countrywide Flame 71% The New One 70% Grandouet 66% Prospect Wells 61% Oscar Whisky 60% Raya Star 46% Thousand Stars 41% Saphir River 32% Selections: Zarkandar @ 6.4 & Countrywide Flame @ 5.5 |
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Foxhunters
Gwanako27 79% Cottage Oak20 76% Offshore Account13 75% Gentle George14 73% Tartan Snow18 73% Warne40 72% Bold Addition25 71% Silver Story78 65% Silverburn25 61% Battlefront40 60% Rebel Du Maquis24 60% Mourne Paddy19 59% Earth Dream20 55% Cool Friend35 54% Kildonnan18 52% Silver Adonis32P 49% Cloudy Lane47 48% Defying Gravity32P 40% Sizing America19P 40% Harps Counsel29 34% Rash Move27 34% Boxer Georg26 33% Emergency Cover18P 33% Keenan´s Future20 30% Fairwood Present21 27% Selections: Gwanako @ 6.4 & Cottage Oak @ 8.4 |
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Red Rum Chase
Kid Cassidy20 81% Viva Colonia20 80% Rebel Rebellion26 77% Astracad110 70% 3 Kie35 70% 4 Ciceron26 70% Toubab33 65% 15 Pires27F 64% 12 Anquetta20 61% 9 Silver Roque34 60% 8 Donnas Palm130 60% 11 Kings Grey96 59% 10 Echo Bob116 48% Tanks For That20 46% Stagecoach Pearl20 41% Oiseau De Nuit20 39% West With The Wind124 38% 5 Nozic41 30% Selections: Kid Cassidy @ 8.4, Viva Colonia @ 19.5 & Rebel Rebellion @ 8.6 |
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Aintree Day 1 Summary
2:00 Ruacana & Rolling Star 2:30 Quito De La Roque & Silviniaco Conti 3:05 Zarkandar & Countrywide Flame 3:40 Gwanako & Cottage Oak 4:15 Kid Cassidy & Viva Colonia & Rebel Rebellion Own (non trend) fancies for last 2 races: 4:40 Captain Conan 5:25 Ericht |
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Melling Chase
Sprinter Sacre 81% Cue Card 75% Flemenstar 66% For Non Stop 60% Finian´s Rainbow 43% Mad Moose 43% Selections: Sprinter Sacre @ 1.35 and reverse forecast Sprinter Sacre / Cue Card |
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I strongly fancy Captain Conan and Ericht was my after seeing the Battle group price. Hopefully a good day for us!
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If you're correct Joci, I'm going to have a bad day!!!!!
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Tartan Snow was quite high for a 100/1 shot!
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Cottage Oak actually ran very well also given how much he lost at the start.
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Think this thread just proves trends are bollox
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Why come on here then?
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I read the thread to see how much bollox it actually was, now I know its complete bollox
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I am sick off these kind of morons
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Done your money have you jasey
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joci went through the card at cheltenham on day 1, and had loads of winners the other days, i'm sure he's in significant profit since he's started posting these picks
don't like it, don't read, but plenty of us do find his work interesting |
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Tucho agreed - and he did pull Zarkandar out today so didn't draw a complete blank.
I'll always respect anyone who puts in the effort to produce a strategy and then put their views out there for us to read |
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I had a read of this fred, and JOCI kindly sent me his stats.
He will be well up over time by putting in this work. The odd one will come from nowhere but if there's any 100& foolproof betting strategy it hasnt been found by anyone on this forum. |
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Best just to ignore idiots like Rankine
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Joci (and judo).
I am not a major punter (far from it!) but I really enjoy and appreciate the work you have put in when you post your analysis here. Please be assured (and I am sure I speak for the vast majority) that your posts are eagerly looked forward to. Thank you. |
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An ok, but not a great day today. Managed to get 2 winners, with Zarkandar coming up trumps, and Captain Conan posting an impressive win.
A couple of shock wins from my perspective (Oiseau de Nuit for example) and my 4th top rated winning the Foxhunters at 100/1 (but going unbacked). Them's the breaks. Good luck tomorrow! |
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Top Novices Hurdle
Art Of Logistics37 92% Zuider Zee28 92% Brick Red34 70% Forgotten Voice41 59% My Tent Or Yours24 41% Selection: Art of Logistics @ 29 & Zuider Zee @ 14 |
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Mildmay
Rocky Creek48 88% Dynaste22 86% Vino Griego22 69% Super Duty22 62% Third Intention22 52% Sea Of Thunder139 45% Selection: Rocky Creek |
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Melling Chase
Sprinter Sacre23 81% Cue Card22 75% Flemenstar55 66% For Non Stop22 60% Finian´s Rainbow48 43% Mad Moose22 43% |
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Topham Chase
Tartak22 88% Hector´s Choice22 79% Fistral Beach357 77% Gonebeyondrecall201 76% Chance Du Roy42 75% Arctic Ben35 74% Montoya´s Son57 74% Gus Macrae21 71% Giorgio Quercus22 71% Gullible Gordon90 69% Pacha Du Polder34 67% Renard21 67% Little Josh42 66% Gansey62 66% Walkon22 61% Dashing George42 61% Jamsie Hall140 59% Mister First29 59% Dunowen Point41 59% Last Time D´Albain99 56% Criqtonic37 54% Bennys Mist14 54% Tranquil Sea57 54% Billy Cuckoo31 52% There´s No Panic27 51% Triolo D´Alene90 51% Sizing Santiago69 51% State Benefit56 50% Regal D´Estruval20 48% Lambro36 47% |