zerohype

Hi All,

I'll keep this a brief analysis as the game starts soon and I want you all to get matched okay.  I've sent a selection to my members also, so check your email if you're registered! 

Today's selection:

German Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen v Schalke

Lay Schalke @4.8, try to get under 5's, no higher than 6's though.  Trade off if either Bayer Leverkusen go ahead at any stage, or Schalke's back price drifts out enough to hedge off for 60% original profit or more.  For example, if it remains a draw at around 50 to 70 mins onwards, the price will really move out rapidly.  Check what price is available if it’s a draw at this stage, and assess for yourself of course, but I’ll post to my blog if I trade off.

Kick off 2.30pm GMT

Analysis:

The reason I like this game so much is that Schalke have current managerial problems, I'm not sure they actually have a manager at the time of writing this, as Felix Magath has been sacked and now moved to Wolfsburg on Friday.  Which is a team he used to coach.  Schalke are a side with internal difficulties and they don't travel well anyway.  They sit 10th in the Bundesliga, with an away record reading, W3D3L6, scoring 9 and conceding 17.  With only two away games scoring two or more goals. 

Whereas Leverkusen are 2nd, and 18 out of their 26 games have scored 2 or more goals!  So for a leaky defence like Schalke's this will be a busy day.  The home form reads, W6D4L3, scoring 26 and conceding 21, but 9 out of 13 games scoring 2 or more home goals.  They are 5 games without a loss and 4 games since a home draw.  So they are strong at home and sitting in a good position in the Bundesliga.  I think they should be too much for a Schalke side not good on the road and rebuilding as a team.  Leverkusen to Win or Draw this one, or to go ahead at some point for us to trade off!

Good luck!