zerohype

Hi,

Well it's the last day of the month, and I'm hoping this tip will make it 10 out of 10 Betfair blog wins to end a very profitable February.  In my opinion this should be the case, and we will hopefully be able to trade off before the end of play to lock in profits.

Stoke v West Brom

English Premier League

Kick Off 8pm GMT

Lay West Brom away to Stoke @4.8.  This may drift out, or even move in, but don't lay any higher than 6.

Analysis

Stoke are very strong at the Britania and West Brom don't travel well. I expect a home win or draw, but with more than one goal scored!  Roy Hodgson is now in charge of West Brom, who in my opinion isn't what you would call an away win specialist. When in charge of Fulham and Liverpool, both really struggled with away form. West Brom's away record reads W2D2L9, scoring 13 but conceding 29.  They are 5 games since a win, and in all competitions their away record reads they have a run of 7 losses, scoring just one goal.

Stoke are the team to give West Brom a good humping. They fight, scrap and bully their way to goals and points.  Stoke seem to love playing West Brom, only losing 4 times out of 38 fixtures at Stoke, so hopefully history will repeat itself today!

What I find interesting about this game is West Brom's set piece record, they are hopeless at defending them, whereas Stoke are set piece experts. A lot of Stoke's goals come from set pieces, so this should cause some danger around the West Brom goal. Stoke's home form reads W7D2L4, scoring 19 and conceding 14, and are undefeated since the end of last year.  They have been up and down this season, but played really well against Arsenal last week, losing by only a goal to nil.

So I think Stoke should be in good mental and physical shape for this one, and West Brom surely must be very low in confidence.  Stoke to Win or Draw this game.

Remember, if the home team goes ahead at any point in the game, and you can make around 60 to 70% original profit by hitting the hedge button, then I recommend trading off and locking in guaranteed profits.  This is what I will be doing given the opportunity, and has meant out of all 35 games I've traded this year I've been able to go green in all of them.  It's up to you of course, and I have no reason to think West Brom will win if you stay on until the end.  I just prefer to trade and keep growing my bank at every opportunity.

Good luck today whatever you're trading or having a punt on!