zerohype

Hi,

My Football Lay Selection 26/2/11

Spain Primera Liga

Sporting Gijon v Real Zaragoza.  Lay Real Zaragoza @4.4.  It may drift out, but anywhere between 4 and 5 is value.  Never go higher than 6.0.

Kick off: 5pm GMT

Analysis

Real Zaragoza have been to the bottom of the table, but did get on a decent run lifting them up the league.  This is long forgotten as they have now dropped to 18th.  It's the away record of Zaragoza which makes this game appealing.

With a record of, W1D5L5, only scoring 7 away goals all season and conceding 15, gives me the feeling the confidence may be low.  Hercules grabbed a victory against them, scoring 2 very late goals, and then they lost at home to Athletico Madrid.

Sporting should be high in confidence after 2 excellent draws against Barca and Valencia, where they only conceded one goal in the 2 games. Their home form reads W4D4L4, scoring 14 and conceding 13. So they are fairly hard to beat.

I Wouldn't expect a lot of goals, so a correct score dutch may also be a good option for this, but Sporting should Win or Draw.

As always, if the home team goes ahead at any point in the game, and you can make around 60 to 70% original profit by hitting the hedge button, then I recommend trading off.

I hope you all have a great day with all your bets and trades.  I should have another tip up for Sunday so check back, or maybe later today for the evening games.

Good Luck!