Hi,
I'm really pleased with the positive start to Betfair blogging my free tips, 5 out of 5 WINS! I just have to keep up the winning streak then, no pressure! lol.
Good day today though, going exactly to plan with two confident wins.
Bochum 2 - 0 Dusseldorf Predicted Bochum Win/Draw to Lay Dusseldorf around odds of 4.00
Girona 3 - 1 Alcorcon Predicted Girona Win/Draw to Lay Alcorcon around odds of 4.00
So we got some real value there. As you may have read, I trade off around 75% of profit when I can, and recommend this as part the strategy with my selections.
I will post my trade off details once I've been matched, so you can follow if it suits. On the flip side though, if you've been following my tips all year through my website, Twitter or Faceache feed, out of the 28 selections you would have only lost once. Which was at lay odds of around 4.00.
If you just left all the lay bets until the end of play, I understand the profit I would have made so far this year would be greater, with the strike being around 99% for left in play tips.
Trading the Palermo v Fiorentina game which lost, it meant when Palermo went ahead I locked in my profit and avoided the upset. Keeping a winning run. So in the Long Term I think given some games will lose, it keeps you ahead by trading off at that point.
Information and opinions drive the market, and if people think a team is going to win and it goes ahead, obviously if you're laying the other team, at that point the market will shoot up giving great trade off opportunities. With my selections this is always the case, if the home team goes ahead first, or at any stage. So I either take the hit if I have no opportunity to trade, or get out when it's good.
I could be completely wrong, but at least I'm still winning! ;o)
I will have more selections over the weekend, and possibly post one before bed.
Thanks for following.