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Valencia to Win or Draw

15 Feb 11 14:05
Hi All,

Looking at today's games it's quite difficult for me to pick out anything with great value, apart from a Championship game which I've tipped up for my subscribers.

Valencia v Schalke Champions League 15/2/11 7.45pm GMT

I think for a small to medium stakes bet, as in, 2-3% of bank, Valencia look good to break the curse of German teams against them. They should come away tonight after 90mins with either a win or draw. 

Raul returning to Spain as a Schalke player will add to the emotion, but I wouldn't get too caught up in this, as look at the fuss everyone made when Torres stepped out against Liverpool for Chelsea.  The reality was a lot less spectacular, although Raul is a great player and he will definitely add to Schalke's attacking options.  I still cannot see past a home win, or draw for Valencia.

I'll be trading the correct score market in this one, as the history between the two teams doesn't display particularly high scoring games, and also the tension will be high between these two with so much to lose, which could dampen the creative play.  Obviously I'm not Yoda and I could be totally wrong, but I think it's Valencia's day not to lose. They are performing really well in La Liga which is a really strong league this year, whereas Schalke are mid table in the Bundesliga putting in some average to good performances.

If I can get matched close to odds of 5.0 to lay Schalke I'll be laying them definitely, then hitting the hedge button to trade off if Valencia go ahead, or the odds move out enough to get close to 75% expected profit.  Thanks for reading.

Good luck!
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