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X Factor 2010

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GymTanLaundry
08 Dec 10 17:49
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Date Joined: 14 Jun 10
| Topic/replies: 2,319 | Blogger: GymTanLaundry's blog
given that there's been a bit of market movement over the last day or so, what do people think the SPs will be on saturday night?

i'll go with:

matt                2.06
rebecca           3.35
one direction   5.1
cher                 46
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Report laughing gravy December 8, 2010 5:58 PM GMT
For me, everything depends on performance. The one exception is One Direction who I feel 'are what they are' and will deliver what they have consistently done throughout the series. However, unless the other three seriously under-perform it is hard to see One Direction's performance being enough.
Cher has a mountain to climb, but despite the intense dislike of her she could produce a knock your socks off performance which will garner her grudging admiration, but probably not enough to support to win.
The upshot is that if Rebecca is brilliant, if she sparkles and if she retains the genuine warmth viewers feel for her, there could easily be a flip-flop (and this comes from someone who has always questioned whether she has the X-Factor).
Because I like her more than Matt and because winning X-F would mean so much to her, personally, I hope she wins.
Report GymTanLaundry December 8, 2010 6:00 PM GMT
pre-show though lg - i can see a sustained rebecca gamble all the way up to the start of the show on saturday.  it's already well under way.

once the performances start then all bets are off!
Report Henry VIII December 8, 2010 6:08 PM GMT
I'll go with your prices Gym.
Report laughing gravy December 8, 2010 6:12 PM GMT
In that case:

Matt: 2.1
Rebecca 3.1
One Direction 5.8
Cher 50
Report mach December 8, 2010 6:35 PM GMT
matt 1.7
becca 3
1D    5.7
cher 50
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B December 8, 2010 6:39 PM GMT
MATT:  1.77

REBECCA:  4.6

ONE D:    4.6

CHER:  55
Report GymTanLaundry December 8, 2010 6:39 PM GMT
111.7% book mach?
Report J.O.TOBIN. December 8, 2010 6:44 PM GMT
You might have this right by midnight GTL suprised its taken so long tbh, a couple of value bets I think the matt-rebecca f/c at 11/4 and rebecca to finish 2nd at 9/4 both a touch too big for me.
Report mach December 8, 2010 6:44 PM GMT
used this site to calculate
http://www.sportsbettingin
dex.com/SBI-overround-calculator.html
said 100.7%
Report stringerbell December 8, 2010 6:45 PM GMT
i'd be really surprised if there was a big enough gamble to see her into the 3.0, 3.1 stage, but definitely wouldnt surprise me to see her joint 2nd fave
Report stringerbell December 8, 2010 6:45 PM GMT
i mean, it's not like she is duetting with prince
Report stringerbell December 8, 2010 6:51 PM GMT
ignore my 2nd last post, not on the ball, flip flopped already.....ok, not got much credibility left here on this matter, she'll contract to 3.4 ish
Report layprofessional December 9, 2010 8:40 AM GMT
rebecca 1.9;matt 3;one d'6;cher any price u want
Report Patb December 9, 2010 10:26 AM GMT
more important to me, the prices when it's down to Reb and Mat, too close to call IMHO and time to green out on both for a small but satisfying conclusion
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