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X Factor 2010

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Cider
28 Nov 10 22:49
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Date Joined: 29 Aug 02
| Topic/replies: 69,136 | Blogger: Cider's blog
Slybet Matt/Bex forecast 3-1.

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Replies: 53
By:
Speculation
When: 28 Nov 10 22:51
Can anybody still get a bet on with them bigger than £1.87Cry
By:
Dizzy42
When: 28 Nov 10 22:52
Good spot.
By:
mugptr
When: 28 Nov 10 23:00
cheers cider im on[;)]
By:
Benjy
When: 28 Nov 10 23:39
10/3 now. [;)]
By:
Cider
When: 28 Nov 10 23:40
Indeed, clueless wouldn't do it justice !
By:
George Bailey
When: 28 Nov 10 23:42
Hope that's reverse forecast odds [;)]
By:
bardo
When: 28 Nov 10 23:42
its either One D or Rebecca for 2nd.

bookies might aswell pay out on Matt now[:)]
By:
LendUsAFiver
When: 28 Nov 10 23:42
That is a truly awful bet
By:
onthehushhush
When: 28 Nov 10 23:57
great spot, Cider. I've emptied my balance onto it. And it's now 100/30!
By:
five leaves left
When: 29 Nov 10 00:01
yep, cheers cider. Only allowed £15 but it all helps
By:
seanvice
When: 29 Nov 10 00:19
cheers cider, decent value that i reckon
By:
J.O.TOBIN.
When: 29 Nov 10 09:16
Im with tutunka cant see why its value on the maths it slightly below the true odds by my reckoning.
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 29 Nov 10 10:33
should be at least 7/2 imo
By:
shrewdbury
When: 29 Nov 10 10:52
Bex/Matt for me, [;)]
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 29 Nov 10 10:55
stu

Do you think she'll beat him?
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 29 Nov 10 11:06
lou - is that not implied in his post or are you deliberately being an idiot?
By:
shrewdbury
When: 29 Nov 10 11:08
lol GTL

Lou - yes.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 29 Nov 10 11:10
stu

Fair enough.  I think it's all over myself in Matt's favour but she's a nice price.  I'm trying to back her myself (got some on) just to make her a taker so I'm level if she wins.  Don't fancy One D at all myself.
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 29 Nov 10 11:13
you think it's all over, but you're backing the 3rd favourite?

you are a TOTAL FANTASIST lou.
By:
George Bailey
When: 29 Nov 10 11:30
But she's a false 3rd favourite GTL [;)]
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 29 Nov 10 11:37
George

Yes I'd have her second in of what's left now.  Don't think she'll win it but just in case rather than lose I'll make her a taker.  Laid her at 4.53 all in, 90% of that before the finals started on the TV so not a bad ploy.  I'll have about £330 on her to cover me but I do begrudge it I must admit as I don't think she'll win ............... but you never know of course.
By:
George Bailey
When: 29 Nov 10 11:39
I wouldn't begrudge it Lou I'd just call it a shrewd move [;)]
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 29 Nov 10 11:50
Oh yes it is shrewd as she could well win it so rather than me end up doing about £1700 if she did win at least I'd end up level devils.
By:
George Bailey
When: 29 Nov 10 11:54
Lou after nailing your colours so doggedly to the matt mast for so long what pray has caused this doubt to set in?Surely a singing candlestick can't threaten the Special One Confused
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 29 Nov 10 11:56
George

No I don't think she will but I'm over 3k green on Matt so £330 is worth it just in case.  I do honestly THINK though that it's giving away £330 I really do.  Obviously if any of the others win I've lost £330 more!
By:
George Bailey
When: 29 Nov 10 12:09
Lou with gambling you either take a stand or play it safe. With a £3k green on matt greening up on Rebecca is a no brainer. I'd be begrudging it if I felt the need to green up on 1D Laugh
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 29 Nov 10 12:11
One D could win it though George to be fair.  I'll almost certainly leave it at that though with just Rebecca as a 'taker'.
By:
George Bailey
When: 29 Nov 10 12:17
They could Lou but I don't think they have the broad appeal to win this. The 30/40 year old women in my office don't even mention them in their chat. In fact I think they are bottom 2 material this week which is ironic given Cher's apparent unpopularity.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 29 Nov 10 12:19
Prolly no bottom 2 this week GB2

Although, always a chance of change ;-)
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 29 Nov 10 12:25
90% of your rebecca lays were pre-show and your average lay is 4.53?

hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
By:
George Bailey
When: 29 Nov 10 12:26
The polls are starting to not show the love for 1D GB and there's just something about Cher that makes me think she could pip them.

Kicking myself a bit with my poll stats this week. Called katie bottom and mary in b3 but then had wagner/cher tied next. Called it about 6 hours early as there was a measurable move against wagner on twitter later on compared to the huge support for him post Biffagate. Biffa probably kept him safe last week.

Also didn't factor in the usual b2 bounce that cher clearly got.

Spotting when the novelty act's bubble has burst is very hard but with hindsight it was a big ask for wagner to avoid b3 this week.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 29 Nov 10 12:28
George bailey

An office............. what do you do for a living may I ask?
By:
George Bailey
When: 29 Nov 10 12:37
I work in an office [;)]
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 29 Nov 10 12:40
george, are you in "the industry"?
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 29 Nov 10 12:42
Where exactly did you do this pre-show laying Lou? Confused
By:
A1 Bionic
When: 29 Nov 10 12:42
Hopefully not a Tea boy if your bags keep splittingSad
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 29 Nov 10 12:43
Ah, ok, first week before 1st live show I guess
By:
George Bailey
When: 29 Nov 10 12:45
Yes I'm in "the industry" GMT I'm katie's grandma's "agent" [;)]

A1 we used to use industrial strength tea bags but what with the cuts we now use them really cheap thin ones...fortunately for me Laugh
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 29 Nov 10 12:47
I use tea bags twice in my office GB2

But you must remember to take them out before the milk goes in

Using the money saved to pile on Cher to win
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