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X Factor 2010

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mugptr
28 Nov 10 02:34
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Date Joined: 02 Nov 02
| Topic/replies: 2,061 | Blogger: mugptr's blog
last weeks figures-


final figures

cher-14
katie-12
paige-11
wag-7
mary- 4
reb-6
matt-1
1d-1


This week two 2 go

Katie & Wag

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Replies: 72
By:
Panther65
When: 28 Nov 10 10:15
katie & mary...cher saved in the sing off
By:
Helmuthian Folds
When: 28 Nov 10 10:17
Mary bottom and goes.

Katie v Waggy sing off and katie survives but this time to cheers! Silly
By:
Henry VIII
When: 28 Nov 10 10:18
I just started a thread that should have been added to this, sorry.

What are your figures based on mugptr?
By:
five leaves left
When: 28 Nov 10 10:25
Katie, Mary, 1D
By:
squares
When: 28 Nov 10 10:32
copied this over from elsewhere

Very difficult this week.  Much prefer it when there is a single elimination with the bottom two.  Had a good series of predictions and getting decent odds, esp Aiden and Cher.

With Matt looking likely to have a large portion of the vote, it's a bit of a scrap for the others.  Cher and Wagner probably enough support to keep them from bottom.  Maybe Katie's support to keep her out of the bottom last week is short lived like Rachel last year.

If I had to call it.  Katie first out.

Mary and Cher sing off.  Mary sings better than Cher.
Louise and Dannii send Cher home.
Cheryl and SCowell send Mary home.
Deadlock - Mary goes.
By:
Dizzy42
When: 28 Nov 10 11:01
I think you're spot on with Katie, Squares.  Last week was a temporary reprieve...  I expect normal service to be resumed and the Weasel will be back in the danger zone this week, probably gone first.  She simply hasn't got enough support.
By:
mugptr
When: 28 Nov 10 12:32
henry - it was just based on the forum putting up 2 names,quite accurate last week.
By:
George Bailey
When: 28 Nov 10 12:45
katie bottom, mary loses out to cher in sing off (assuming there is one).
By:
.¸¸.·´¯`·.¸¸.·´¯`·.¸ ><((((º>
When: 28 Nov 10 13:27
Bottom 3
Katie goes 1st with lowest votes

sing off
Mary
Rebecca

Rebecca is saved over Mary in sing off
By:
grendel
When: 28 Nov 10 13:43
Just some food for thought:-

At last 7 last year, the voting figures for the 7 remaining acts were:-

Stacey 26%
Joe    16%
Danyl  16%
Jedward 15%
Olly    10%
Lloyd   10%
Jamie    8%

Olly, the eventual runner up would've been in bottom 3
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 28 Nov 10 13:43
grendel

Interesting.  Good stuff.
By:
grendel
When: 28 Nov 10 13:47
The previous year Alexandra Burke polled 4th bottom with 7 left and was 3rd bottom with 6 left a week later
By:
topgun123
When: 28 Nov 10 13:49
never count ur money till result is in OFFICIALY as previous years show shocks in store;watch matt drift over the next week and certain others shorten
By:
George Bailey
When: 28 Nov 10 14:20
Yes interesting post grendel. Gives me hope for Rebecca who I now see as clear with Matt though as is obvious things can change quickly.

For me the most interesting % there is Jedward. Comfortably outside bottom 3. With more acts in this year wagner has had to swim against the tide of panel negativity further/harder to get this far. If anything I think the pro wagner momentum is growing plus his Creep came out well in terms of viewer polls so even on the none anti cowell measure he would do ok this week I think.

2/1 him to avoid bottom 3 looks value to me.
By:
ghatroonh
When: 28 Nov 10 14:46
Katie bottom

Cher and 1D in sing-off - cher goes.

Purely on the basis that I think we're reaching that point in the show when the teen vote starts to get squeezed and the acts that get 97% of their votes from them start to struggle.

Mary is still a bit of an unknown given that she hasn't actually hit the bottom 2 before and could be down there - but I can see her appeal with the older demographics that aren't well represented on twitter and there isn't much competition for votes with her sort of act.
By:
ghatroonh
When: 28 Nov 10 14:48
Having said that, any combination of Mary / 1D / Rebecca / Cher in the sing-off wouldn't surprise me.
By:
squares
When: 28 Nov 10 14:52
I was just wondering whether those figures and the subsequent movements are so relevant with the situation we have this year with the 4 extra contestants and double eliminations.

Those 2 years, at the 7-act stage there were still 3 shows left to go before the final (final 3) whereas this year there is only one more weekend. 

And we're still unsure whether there will be 3 or 4 for the final weekend.  Perhaps one of those in the industry could tell us!!
By:
squares
When: 28 Nov 10 14:55
And, with this format, the judges' involvement has continued until a later stage.  There are normally 3 weeks before the final with PV only.
By:
stringerbell
When: 28 Nov 10 14:57
squares, my info is 4, and that the idea is for each to have an act in the final.
as of last week, even the production co wasn't 100 per cent sure of cowell's intentions.
By:
Daryl Revok
When: 28 Nov 10 15:00
Cher bottom. Weasel saved over Rebecca in sing off. Tantrums and tears before bedtime on forum.
By:
squares
When: 28 Nov 10 15:01
Cheers Nick.  That has always made most sense to me.

I wasn't including you as  a faux "insider" btw.
By:
stringerbell
When: 28 Nov 10 15:02
ha, no, thanks squares, i am not an insider but i have a small handle due to remaining contacts from the time when i was....
By:
stringerbell
When: 28 Nov 10 15:04
but of course, everyone connected is so cagey these days, impossible to get anything of real import, which is why i am 99 per cent sure all voting leaks this year are a pile of c rap
By:
grendel
When: 28 Nov 10 15:10
if voting leaks were genuine we'd have big brother eviction style favourites each week ... i.e. long odds on, but surprises have not materialised in betting movements
By:
stringerbell
When: 28 Nov 10 15:16
true dat
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 28 Nov 10 15:19
Tough one

Mary goes bottom

Katie vs 1d

Katie goes

Can I make it the magnificent seven?
By:
stringerbell
When: 28 Nov 10 15:36
interesting gb, mary  not katie bottom...on what grounds?
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 28 Nov 10 15:37
Toss up I think, equal green on both nick
By:
stringerbell
When: 28 Nov 10 15:38
yeah, i am double green on katie than mary, and i am thinking about putting mary profit on katie too. just really think she'll be bottom. should i, shouldnt i, that's the question...
By:
onthehushhush
When: 28 Nov 10 15:43
Wagner goes tonight. I'm heavily on him to go first, at half the odds I could have got if I'd waited Cry, with a cover bet on Mary 10th-out and a tenner on Waggy 11th.

So Wagner 1st, s/o between Katie and Mary and it's goodbye Mary.

But agree with FLL and GB that there's value backing OD for B3 but think it's a week too early to have any real hope of getting paid out.
By:
George Bailey
When: 28 Nov 10 15:47
So you have Cher in final othh?
By:
.¸¸.·´¯`·.¸¸.·´¯`·.¸ ><((((º>
When: 28 Nov 10 15:48
is that just your opinion or have you had wind of how they are doing in the voting ? It does seem as though they have thrown everything at getting Wagner out this week
By:
onthehushhush
When: 28 Nov 10 16:04
God knows who's in the final, George, formats of the semi finals and number of acts eliminated next week etc etc.

And fishloginman: just opinion. I think they've thrown the kitchen sink at getting rid of Wagner this week, right down to the faint praise. That's when you know they're getting serious!
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 28 Nov 10 16:23
I've taken what 2.62 365 would let me have on Waggy avoiding b3

But I do think it's interesting that it's a b3 and this was announced an hour after the lines opened
By:
.¸¸.·´¯`·.¸¸.·´¯`·.¸ ><((((º>
When: 28 Nov 10 16:30
cheers othh
By:
five leaves left
When: 28 Nov 10 16:35
Are we sure that there will be a sing off?

There's a rumour on the forums that it's just the B2 with the public who will get the chop.
By:
A1 Bionic
When: 28 Nov 10 16:40
Bottom 3, Mary, Katie and 1 of either Wagner or Rebecca

If Wagner has any type of support he could well avoid bottom 3 and that could mean a sing off

between Katie and Rebecca. I wouldnt trust Cowell and his puppets to do the right thing so

40's about Rebecca for 11th elimination looks a value bet
By:
stringerbell
When: 28 Nov 10 17:06
jesus fig that throws a spanner
By:
stringerbell
When: 28 Nov 10 17:07
how would that effect tenth elim as well? how would they know who would be tenth????
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