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X Factor 2010

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GlenCullen
16 Nov 10 16:45
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Date Joined: 09 Feb 08
| Topic/replies: 307 | Blogger: GlenCullen's blog
Anything at around 1.50 seems like it's a very good bet here.  Last year the breakdown was 500k vs 450k in favour of killing in the name.  I can't believe there is likely to be as strong a campaign for "bird is the word" this year. Firstly the novelty value of beating x factor won't be there, it's a very annoying song (which won't help, although some people are liklely to disagree) and the X Factor this year is much stronger at the front end than last year and has generated a lot more interest.  There may also be alternative campaigns that could hinder the stronger "Bird is the Word" campaign.  All in all, at the current prices I'd say you've probably got yourself a very good bet.
Pause Switch to Standard View X Factor cracking bet for Xmas number 1?
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Report mach November 16, 2010 4:53 PM GMT
not a great price if x-factor is a non runner
Report GlenCullen November 16, 2010 5:17 PM GMT
Do you think it's likely Cowell will admit defeat against the campaigns to stop X factor being number 1, and also not give the winning contestant the opportunity for the coveted position?
Report mach November 16, 2010 7:16 PM GMT
or can Cowell get a number 1 tv show on x-mas day and boxing day, and make the cash himself and fck the winner
nothing is sure so there is risk with x-factor number 1 x-mas market
Report mach November 16, 2010 7:21 PM GMT
it was reported today on the news that a x-factor tv advert is £200,000 for a 30 second slot, the winners record sales are not the money earner its the tv show
Report Asparagus Man November 16, 2010 7:22 PM GMT
Isn't Take That going to be a major challenger for this?

Not the free money it was in some years?
Report George Bailey November 16, 2010 7:23 PM GMT
I'd have thought 1.5 was value. Last year's RATM campaign had a freshness and momentum that I'd be surprised if it was to be repeated (good luck though!). Why would it be a non runner mach?
Report mach November 16, 2010 7:28 PM GMT
its a non runner if the winners  song is not put out till after x-mas
Report George Bailey November 16, 2010 7:31 PM GMT
Sorry missed that. Is that confirmed or just a theory? Can't see Cowell throwing in the towel publicly like that.
Report mach November 16, 2010 7:55 PM GMT
i have now inside knowledge, only the S Cowell greed factor to go on
i can imagine him saying "you know what there is to much talent to finish this so soon we need 1 more weekend"
Report mach November 16, 2010 8:00 PM GMT
*now = no
Report George Bailey November 16, 2010 8:57 PM GMT
Ah postulation. 1.5 a steal I'd say...hang on though isn't there a take that single.  I'll hang on to my cash for now.
Report Dizzy42 November 16, 2010 9:43 PM GMT
Article in the Daily Mail yesterday insinuated that the final would be the weekend before Christmas this year (i.e. 18th / 19th December), which would mean NOT going for the Christmas Number One.  By my reckoning the Christmas Number One is announced the same day on Sunday 19th, with Christmas Day the following Saturday.

If this is correct, then it could make sense that we're two double eliminations short to keep the final to three acts (for a 11/ 12th December final weekend).

All very confusing.  Does anyone have the inside track on this?
Report Henry VIII November 16, 2010 10:53 PM GMT
Are you sure Dizzy? I've just had a look through Daily Mail XF 15/11 articles, couldn't find anything.
Report Dizzy42 November 16, 2010 11:21 PM GMT
It was this comment:

Producers need to stage a double elimination soon if they are to end up with three contestants in the finale show before Christmas - her axeing would conveniently take away such a need.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-1329772/X-FACTOR-2010-Katie-Waissels-US-song-release-breach-shows-rules.html#ixzz15UTTqhHT

By my reckoning we still need two double eliminations to even out the numbers - therefore suggesting that the finals are the weekend before Christmas, rather than two weeks.

Perhaps I'm reading way too much into this!
Report Dizzy42 November 16, 2010 11:23 PM GMT
This article seems to completely contradict that theory, however, so maybe I'm just talking utter b*ll*cks!!!

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-1329929/X-Factor-winner-Yeo-Valleys-advert-rap-Christmas-Number-One.html?ito=feeds-newsxml
Report Henry VIII November 16, 2010 11:36 PM GMT
Thanks Dizzy. I think the "Producers need to stage a double elimination soon" is correct, but doesn't negate a 12/12 finish.

Also the "her axeing would conveniently take away such a need" shows that the journo is ignorant or inventive if he thinks her axeing is likely.
Report Dizzy42 November 16, 2010 11:39 PM GMT
True - it was another non-story of course, so take it with a pinch of salt.
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