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X Factor 2010

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captainnumber9
26 Oct 10 23:49
Joined:
Date Joined: 27 May 02
| Topic/replies: 190 | Blogger: captainnumber9's blog
Just wanna see who the old forum classics are backing on this one? We've had a lot of fun over the years...

The winner's market ofcourse. Blush
Pause Switch to Standard View Who's backing who?
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Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B October 26, 2010 11:57 PM BST
All the others will have backed whoever wins because as you know no one loses on Betfair.  I however nail my colours to one mast.  Said it from the very start ..... Matt.
Report stroodle October 27, 2010 12:10 AM BST
Rebecca from start, class will prevail;
Report deejayric October 27, 2010 12:16 AM BST
Mainly Matt and Rebecca at big prices pre-show on HS. John Sad and Wagner since show started (now happily layed my Wagner green). V small amounts on FYD and Nicolo after opening show Laugh. These are my colours nailed to my mast Lou [;)]

I think Rebecca will win.
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B October 27, 2010 12:19 AM BST
deejay

Fair enough.  I'm strongly with Matt and I'm confident he's the one to beat.

Good luck
Report deejayric October 27, 2010 12:32 AM BST
Lou, from what I can work out you tend to back one runner and let it ride, whereas a lot of specials regulars trade well, and back/lay most runners. Books are constantly changing and good trading theoretically means you have  'backed whoever wins'. Hope this doesn't come across as patronising, but I know that the decent sorts on here will freely admit when they have made a loss. Your 23.57 post just sounds bitter.
Report jack12321 October 27, 2010 8:03 AM BST
Cher, 1 Direction and Wagner Grin

But yes for some of us it's going to change on an almost daily basis. If you're trading well you need never back the winner in order to make a substantial profit.
Report GeorgeBrush October 27, 2010 9:14 AM BST
Show me yours and I'll show you mine captain [;)]
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B October 27, 2010 9:32 AM BST
deejay

Oh I know that they're trading all the time, hopefully buying high and selling low ...... look at Wagner for instance.  No one actually thinks he can win but to buy at say 150/1 and sell at 50/1 can't be bad.

What I'm saying though is everything is done to a 100% here so in theory there's no profit or loss if you backed them all type of thing.  I don't understand how they can all pick out the ones that are going to go lower and back them, at the same time laying all the ones that they know will drift higher?  Crystal ball perhaps.  They will never come on and admit that they've backed one and they've drifted or laid one who's now much lower.

Look at last year for instance.  Who came on aftwerwards and said by Joe winning they'd lost?  Very very very few and they'd probably say they lost £40 or something.  Everyone wins on Betfair?
Report layprofessional October 27, 2010 9:46 AM BST
rebecca different class of voice
Report captainnumber9 October 27, 2010 9:55 AM BST
GeorgeBrush
27 Oct 10 09:14   
Show me yours and I'll show you mine captain 


Matt
and I think Mary is value.
Report polkoi October 27, 2010 10:34 AM BST
Stop posting a load of sh1te Lou
You never nailed your colours to the mast from the start, You flaffed around saying you had laid some and hadnt decided who you were backing

Then you posted that you backed Nicolo.

Stop trying to make out that your some sort of messiah, your just as clueless as the rest

And stop throwing your toys out of your pram too, very very childish
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B October 27, 2010 10:46 AM BST
polkoi

I clearly have said from the start of the live finals that Matt is my bet.  I initially laid four girls because IMO they wouldn't win it.  They may well do of course.  I also, because of the high odds backed Nicolo and Aiden at 38 and 12 respectivly.  All these bets were placed BEFORE THE ACTUAL TV FINALS BEGAN.

I backed Matt who was the one I had my eye on during the bootcamp, judges houses stage all along after his first performance on the live finals three weeks ago.

I'm not 'some sort of messiah' I'm merely giving my opinion.

Hope that clears everything up.
Report polkoi October 27, 2010 10:49 AM BST
All the others will have backed whoever wins because as you know no one loses on Betfair.  I however nail my colours to one mast.  Said it from the very start ..... Matt.


no it doesnt
Report polkoi October 27, 2010 10:50 AM BST
Laying 4 and backing 3 isnt 1 mast

IMO
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B October 27, 2010 10:54 AM BST
polkoi

I'm very much with Matt as my biggest bet and it's even moreso as I've laid the four girls so I'm desperate for him to win!

What I'm saying is if we all picked ONE ACT.  Mine would be Matt.  Very few will single out ONE ACT and stand by it.  Whoever wins ......... they'd be on them.  Strange that.
Report GymTanLaundry October 27, 2010 10:56 AM BST
gamu
Report polkoi October 27, 2010 11:03 AM BST
Well your doing exactly what you accuse others of doing

If Matt loses you wil say you covered your bets with the lays of the others

If Nicolo or aiden won you would say you were on the winner

Dont accuse others of doing exactly what your doing
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B October 27, 2010 11:07 AM BST
Polkoi

READ CAREFULLY:

If you had to pick ONE ACT to win as I have done, who would it be?

ALSO:

Yes I'd win with three acts, much moreso if it's Matt, NOT THE WHOLE FIELD and I clearly state I WILL LOSE ABOUT £1800 ODD IF ONE OF CHERYL'S GIRLS WINS.

Phew this is hard work!
Report polkoi October 27, 2010 11:07 AM BST
Most people will have a favourite act and back it

fortunately for them they're not as stubborn as you are and can change their minds when they see fit.

No need to reply to this, I dont particularly enjoy your posts because they;re usually just ego filled claptrap and I cant be arsed with the likes of you anymore.
Report GymTanLaundry October 27, 2010 11:08 AM BST
lou is on polkoi's ignore list!!
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B October 27, 2010 11:09 AM BST
polkoi

So you STILL won't name ONE ACT as the winner .................. unlike me.  I MAY be wrong but at least I clearly say.

hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
Report polkoi October 27, 2010 11:09 AM BST
READ CAREFULLY:

If you had to pick ONE ACT to win as I have done, who would it be?


Which part of you backing nicolo and Aiden dont you understand ?
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B October 27, 2010 11:11 AM BST
polkoi

READ VERY CAREFULLY:

By far my biggest win is on MATT.  I'm singling him out as my one act I think will win it and have said so from the start.

WHO IS YOURS????????????
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B October 27, 2010 11:13 AM BST
Suddenly you've gone silent?

That speaks a thousand words.

Forget it.
Report polkoi October 27, 2010 11:15 AM BST
Just because he's your biggest win doesn't mean hes your only win

You stated that you nailed your colours to 1 mast

Why do you not understand that you're contradicting yourself?

I'm wary of posting anymore in case you do genuinly do have learning difficulties and I dont want to be seen as mocking a retard
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B October 27, 2010 11:17 AM BST
Why do you kep avoiding the question?  I've even given you exact figures!!

I'll try again ................


polkoi

READ VERY CAREFULLY:

By far my biggest win is on MATT.  I'm singling him out as my one act I think will win it and have said so from the start.

WHO IS YOURS????????????
Report polkoi October 27, 2010 11:18 AM BST
Ok post your bets
Report polkoi October 27, 2010 11:20 AM BST
I think your full of sh1te Lou

and for that reason im ignoring you from now on
Report GymTanLaundry October 27, 2010 11:20 AM BST
in fairness to polkoi, having a few saver bets on a couple of other acts isn't exactly "nailing your colours to the mast"....
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B October 27, 2010 11:22 AM BST
polkoi

Ok that's fine.  I won't answer you again.

I see you STILL won't name ONE ACT and have avoided the question a few times?

hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm!

Good luck with your bets.
Report polkoi October 27, 2010 11:26 AM BST
Why shouold I name ONE ACT ?

this is betfair, its all about trading and making the most profit that you can

If you cant see that thens theres no point me talking to you

And why do you feel the need to post  hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm in half of your posts ?
Report Imperialista October 27, 2010 11:34 AM BST
got wagner at 200 and treyc at 19.5

hoping to lay treyc next week, even at a bit of a loss, doubt she will ever come under 30s now
Report GymTanLaundry October 27, 2010 11:34 AM BST
another grown-up day on the betfair forum.

lou - polkoi isn't interested in naming one act, he's trying to make money by trading multiple acts.

polkoi - lou likes to name one act and stick to that, although in an open year this year, he's had a couple of saver bets.

now hug and make up.
Report polkoi October 27, 2010 11:36 AM BST
thanks Gym

hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
Report captainnumber9 October 27, 2010 11:52 AM BST
let's throw the can of worms into the river!
Report theking486 October 27, 2010 1:26 PM BST
cardle since the auditions - different gravy will edge out rebecca in a photo finish
Report onthehushhush October 27, 2010 1:48 PM BST
I've backed One Direction, Mary and Rebecca. Of those, I'm happiest with Rebecca at the moment. Missed the boat on Matt, he's the one to beat right now but it's very early days and I think someone will.
Report Angela Rebecchi October 27, 2010 2:04 PM BST
Cardle and Ferguson and Waissel LOL. Just waiting to be paid out now.
Report robster October 27, 2010 2:21 PM BST
Ive backed Katie Waissel after the audition show and her price is still bigger now help!.  If she doesnt win i think Matt will beat Rebecca in the final
Report Henry VIII October 27, 2010 2:47 PM BST
I backed Katie too unfortunately. She had been the most prolific and successful singer of all pre competition. But she has a particular style which doesn't always lend itself to the song choices of others and, most of all, what was unknown pre competition, is that she has a catastrophic over eager personality.

I don’t nail to the mast but I think Rebecca will win atm.
Report five leaves left October 27, 2010 2:50 PM BST
I've backed them all bar Nicolo, Storm and FYD.
Report GymTanLaundry October 27, 2010 2:53 PM BST
i've layed them all.

except gamu.

Cry
Report Johnny`Honk`Fartpants October 27, 2010 3:42 PM BST
Anyone know who Lou or Polkoi backed?
Report stringerbell October 27, 2010 3:55 PM BST
i've been on one direction heavily and publicly since before they existed on the show, and i have backed matt and rebecca to decent greens too. no point even bothering considering any others as its a three horse race....
Report Helmuthian Folds October 27, 2010 4:08 PM BST
Another day another person for Lou to fall out with. Laugh

hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
Report stringerbell October 27, 2010 4:09 PM BST
lou's fine but f uck me he's a bit pious
Report GeorgeBrush October 27, 2010 5:14 PM BST
fao Captain

I am healthy on Matt, Waggy and 1d, very healthy on Mary and Aiden. Level on Rebecca.  Red on the rest
Report A1 Bionic October 27, 2010 5:16 PM BST
Your only allowed 1 Sad
Report laughing gravy October 27, 2010 6:02 PM BST
If my life depended on it I would back One Direction. But it doesn't. so pre-Saturday's show I backed the act that most excites me and the one I look forward to seeing the most - Katie. She may not be everybody's cup of beef tea, but to my limited eyes she has something about her. Obviously she needs the despised - admired - liked - loved journey (and this is certainly not going to be easy), but at around 55 I thought she was worth a small play.

Regards to All
Report Helmuthian Folds October 27, 2010 6:43 PM BST
My one is Rebecca, a rolls royce of a voice against a load of lada's! [;)]

Having said that she is only by 3rd biggest green after Wagner and Mary (Cry)
Report limited ability October 27, 2010 6:47 PM BST
I am massive GREEN on REBECCA.

With savers on MATT and CHER.

RED on everyone else.
Report George Bailey October 27, 2010 8:32 PM BST
Rebecca to win. Big greens also on wagner and cher. Not a cent on Le Chapeau or Aiden.
Report Martin pipe returns October 27, 2010 10:48 PM BST
Mahoosive green on Paije, medium green Matt, level One D, rest all red.
Report mugptr October 27, 2010 10:55 PM BST
level matt ,
large green - rebecca , one
med green - mary ,katie
small green - miguel, belle

large red - cher, trey c,aiden

small red - paije
Report George Bailey October 27, 2010 11:01 PM BST
Swap your mary and cher mug and that's a well balanced book imo.
Report GeorgeBrush October 27, 2010 11:09 PM BST
Nooooooooooooo GB2 Laugh
Report mugptr October 27, 2010 11:09 PM BST
fair comment george - but dont see cher at all ,even taking into account you tube etc , (too chavy,with attitude to win overall vote), the irish vote does scare me and thats the only reason i have mary on-side(without that no chance)- thats the kiss of death for me (enjoy my money lol)
Report George Bailey October 27, 2010 11:12 PM BST
Mary no chance. Only hope is celtic vote which actually just may be enough to get her to final. Gawd knows it did for mcmanus and leon and now there's the Irish vote coming to the recue. This vote appears to be very loyal according to twitter. Still can't win.
Report mugptr October 27, 2010 11:19 PM BST
long story george but i use to know mcmanus after she wonLaugh
Report George Bailey October 27, 2010 11:23 PM BST
Ah Michelle...the ultimate Deputy Dawg.
Report Rugbyleaguer October 28, 2010 2:03 AM BST
Matt biggest winner, one direction second biggest due to listening to posts on here on opening night and Rachael 3rd biggest winner as her voice is incredible and was my biggest green but traded some off before last week as she was failing to spark.

Massive losers for me are Aiden and Cher and the main reason why my top 3 are soo good for me. Everyone else is a smallish loss.

Got stung to hell when I laid Ulrika at 25s for BB, so I never take anything for granted, but in a healthy position
Report layprofessional October 28, 2010 9:57 AM BST
rebecca to win 4k
Report crab patties October 28, 2010 10:05 AM BST
as it stands now CHER BACK [;)] REBBECA LAY[;)]ONE DIRECTION BET[;)] WAGNER LAY[;)]Laugh
Report crab patties October 28, 2010 10:06 AM BST
P.S MATT LAYLove
Report crab patties October 28, 2010 10:08 AM BST
OH AND KATIELove[;)]BET BET BET
Report NXRBL October 28, 2010 11:46 AM BST
Xmas champagne & caviar freeroll & New year skiing Green on Rebecca.
Xmas Santa freeroll Green on 1D.
Xmas still to be paid for, but no loss Green on Matt. (Roll on the Jungle!)
Dear Santa, PFO! My kids aint interested in toys this year Red on the rest! Laugh
Report Ashley_Young October 28, 2010 12:58 PM BST
rebecca@ 8's saver on cher the unpredictable unknown @ 15's
Report Angela Rebecchi October 28, 2010 1:50 PM BST
I'm laying Mary at 4.0 down at Mikeeeeys Exchanges.
Report captainnumber9 November 23, 2010 8:09 PM GMT
I'm still very much on Matt...winner! :)

Wagner backers make me laugh, defo the same crowd as the Jedward ones last year
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B November 23, 2010 8:10 PM GMT
Captain

Words straight from my lips.
Report mentality November 23, 2010 10:32 PM GMT
Katie all the way
Report GeorgeBrush November 23, 2010 10:48 PM GMT
Whatever happening to Angie?

Matt and Rebecca captain

No change for weeks, and not likely to be
Report GeorgeBrush November 23, 2010 10:48 PM GMT
happened*
Report Muppet1 November 23, 2010 11:02 PM GMT
I am long Wagner at 75s should I short him now at 11s or let it ride?

I have never covered a bet before on betfair.
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B November 23, 2010 11:04 PM GMT
Muppet

That's a great price in hindsight you backed him at.  I'd get out now personally.
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