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World Cup 2014

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kincsem
11 Jun 14 19:18
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Date Joined: 12 Apr 04
| Topic/replies: 10,864 | Blogger: kincsem's blog
Spain ... 51 ... Group B
Italy ... 13 ... Group D
Argentina... 67 ... Group F
Germany ... 21 ... Group G
Belgium ... 17 ... Group H

ten doubles, ten trebles, five 4 folds, one 5 fold x €1 = €26

Fail, you over-rated prima donnas, fail. Cool
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Report iprefertolay June 11, 2014 7:21 PM BST
There will be shocks,count on it.
The rock bottom markets WILL surprise.
Report Rory B. Bellows June 11, 2014 7:34 PM BST
Germany a good shout, on it myself.
Report iprefertolay June 11, 2014 7:35 PM BST
I hope so Rory,Germany bombed my grandads chip shop.
Report iprefertolay June 11, 2014 7:42 PM BST
Surprisingly there has been heavy money on fair for Portugal,Russia and Croatia to be bottom of there respective groups.
One things for sure there will be shocks.
Report Can't Catch Me June 11, 2014 10:21 PM BST
Croatia and England my two at decent prices here. Russia a good chance as well.
Report marychain1 June 12, 2014 12:01 AM BST
Croatia, Italy and Germany would be a nice trixie
Report Rory B. Bellows June 12, 2014 12:13 AM BST
where did you place this bet?
Report kincsem June 12, 2014 12:31 AM BST
Here, Betfair Multiples.  But I have no idea of the payout limit, probably €100. Laugh
Report Rory B. Bellows June 12, 2014 12:39 AM BST
I thought that, but cant find the market? Only seeing fixtures.

Thought id have a go myself, deposited with you win (as was biggest payout) but then read their payout limit is 100,000 Euros- nowhere near enough Crazy

Deposited with baldys, and it then wouldn't let me put them as multiples. Id jack the whole thing in if I wasn't so confident of my selections Cool
Report kincsem June 12, 2014 2:40 AM BST
Go to
World Cup 2014/Group A/Rock Bottom/Betslip/Click Brazil Back (85s)/Click Multiples/
then
Group Rock Bottom/Betslip/Click Spain Back (50s)/Click Multiples/
and continue group by group

Just pick your selections, and at the end click Multiples, then enter the amount you want to bet in the “stake per bet” box.
Remember that stake is multiplied by the number of bets (in my case 10 doubles x €1, 10 trebles x €1, 5 4 folds x €1, 1 5 fold x €1 = €26)

I learned from the Rules a few minutes ago
“The maximum payout limit for Exchange Multiples is £1,000,000.”
Report kincsem June 12, 2014 2:51 AM BST
*then
Group Rock Bottom/Group B/Betslip/Click Spain Back (50s)/Click Multiples/
Report kincsem June 12, 2014 7:57 AM BST
My bet might be crazy but reading the analysis on the web I find things like
" We generate a probability distribution for the outcome of each game using a Monte Carlo simulation with 100,000 draws, using the parameters estimated in the regression analysis described above."

But they are not playing games/taking free kicks/corners/shots/saves 100,000 times.  There is plenty of once-off events in football.  Mistakes happen, luck good and bad too.
Covering their asses they say "However, the predictions shown in Exhibits 1 and 2 are very uncertain because football is a low-scoring and unpredictable game."  I agree.
Report Rory B. Bellows June 12, 2014 2:31 PM BST
Found it mate, cheers
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