outrights make no sense

germany more likely than spain to beat holland but spain more likely to beat germany than vice versa?

this is the funny thing. if you take outrighs of 3.15 and divide it by qualifying price. spain will be 1.65 to win final.

if you take germany price of 3.4 and divide by 2.1 , germany will be 1.61.

so spain will be a bigger price in final, yet spain are shorter to win tital.. makes no sense

outright prices have made no sense for a while.

Germany were 3.1 on Sat after beating Arg.

Then Spain go through against Paraguay (something that was still only 78% likely) and their price doesnt budge at all. Basically German backers on sat got a free roll at Paraguay beating spain.

if holland play germany in the final i cant c them being bigger than 2.20 and if they play spain 2.35... so they must b a bet now at 2.54. no brainer!!!

The thinking is that if Germany win today, punters will be lumping on at any price thinking they are unbeatable having already disposed of Ghana, England, Argentina and now Spain.

will go into the final around 1.7 imo. possibly less if they look good tonight

Want Spain to beat em though and have bet accordingly.