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misha the russian
05 Jul 10 08:33
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Date Joined: 08 Sep 07
| Topic/replies: 20 | Blogger: misha the russian's blog
I need advice.

If I bet on top 4 goalscorers lets say 100 euros and there is a dead heat with two players with 5 goals and three with 4 goals.

Do I win anything from my 100?Or do I actually lose something?

Thanks for your help!

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Replies: 9
By:
MRGRUMPY1
When: 05 Jul 10 09:16
Think its something along the lines of -
stake x odds x (number of payouts divided by number of tied players
Full details should be somewhere in T&Cs.
By:
db1974
When: 05 Jul 10 09:27
If the player you back has scored 5 goals then you will win your bet with no deductions.

If your player is tied on 4 goals with 2 others then 2/3rds of your stake wins and the other 1/3 is a loser
By:
budgiebird.
When: 05 Jul 10 10:09
Hi-jacking this thread slightly, if I am betting on David Villa for top scorer and he finishes on five goals tied with two others, what price do I need to be backing him to ensure that my "winner" does not end up losing me money?
By:
Pythagoras
When: 05 Jul 10 10:16
2/1; then 2/3rds would lose and 1/3 win at 2/1 retruning your orginal unit stake. If you can find 2's Villa let me know and I'll get my wheelbarrow ready!
By:
budgiebird.
When: 05 Jul 10 10:19
Thanks Pythagoras. I will get back to you after the semi's to let you know where you can get 2/1. Happy
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 06 Jul 10 09:02
I attempted to mathematically price this up using a 5goal/4goal sliding scale (as one players chances of 5 goals went up the chances of the combined number of 4 goals went down by the same figure.

Villa 100%
Klose 75%
Schneider 67%
Muller 54%
Vittek/Higuain 40%
Forlan 19.6%
Suarez 8.6%
Podolski 2.5%
which came to 406.7% ..so obv a small error somewhere

Rebased to 400% and giving an ad hoc figure of 2.5% to the rest of the field (which is less than the market price) it came up with the following prices

Villa 1.00
Klose 1.36
Schneider 1.53
Muller 1.89
Vittek/Higuain 2.55
Forlan 5.2
Suarez 12
Podski 40

so the market looks quite accurate to me although partly will be due to my money betting to those prices
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 06 Jul 10 09:04
Of course I should be talking about Wesley Sneijder the Dutch footballer and not Roy Schneider from Jaws
By:
Steeeeeeeeeevo
When: 09 Jul 10 17:31
In a golf tournament, Tiger Woods wins, Vijay Singh finishes second, Phil Mickelson third, but five players tie for fourth. This creates a multiple dead-heat for fourth and fifth place.

So in this case, if you backed Luke Donald for £5 at 10.0 for a Top 5 finish and he finished in the tied group of players, you would receive

Stake x Odds x No. of Payouts / No. of Tied runners = £5 x 10.0 x 2 / 5 = £20
By:
cunnybobbler
When: 09 Jul 10 17:43
how much would i have got back on ernie els?
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