World Cup
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If you were to lay the draw every game, then as soon as the first goal goes in back the draw at the higher odds.
Obviously whenever a match ends in 0-0 you will lose. But every other time you should turn a small profit.
Anyone tried this?
Obviously whenever a match ends in 0-0 you will lose. But every other time you should turn a small profit.
Anyone tried this?
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the holy grail at last !!!!!!!!!!!
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Does a goal necessarily reduce the chance of a draw?
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Sounds a good idea and along something I was thinking about, do you think backing the 1-1 and then laying off after any team had scored would work in a similar way? Of course you would lose in the event of a 0-0, but maybe overall that could so a profit?
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As with all trading strategies done without specialist info/insight these are all zero-sum strategies i.e you will not make any profit in the long run. These trades always have implied bets. With the 'lay the draw' you are essentially hoping a goal is scored which will enable you to trade out at a profit so you are effectively laying the 0-0. Sometimes you will make lots (if the goal is scored in the 90th minute for example); other times you may make a loss (if the underdog scores reasonably late on in the game the odds of a draw may be even shorter than what you backed at).
With the 1-1 you are 'betting' that a goal is scored which will enable you to trade out at a profit. If you lay over 2.5 goals with a view to trading out after 20 mins you are effectively 'betting' that a goal will not be scored in the first 20 mins. Summary - there is no 'magic' trading strategy that is objectively profitable. If there was, everyone would be doing it! The only way you will make a profit is if you have special knowledge or facts that make your implied bets profitable. So for the lay over 2.5 goals and trade out after 20 mins trade, you must a good reason for believing a goal will not be scored in the first 20 mins. Some people think trading in this fashion isn't betting when in fact it is. |
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Everybody wins with the Football Cash Generator
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Yes, thanks temp. I had assumed that there was no particular "system" of course, I just assumed though that odds on the 1-1 would definitely lower in the event of one side scoring, allowing you to trade out "risk free" though you right, it was just a hopeful thought on my behalf.
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If you pick two evenly matched teams then price of the draw will always move out once the first goal is scored. It will move by say 10%. The problem is that for every ten of these you will pick a 0-0 and end up with zero profit (and infact a loss after commission).
The next question people ask is 'what if I also back 0-0 as a saver?' Then you just get well and truly hammered by commission and will occasionally have a big win with a late opening goal. No easy money here, sadly. |