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jacob_TA
18 Feb 10 11:32
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Date Joined: 05 Apr 03
| Topic/replies: 307 | Blogger: jacob_TA's blog
This could be an interesting race

Vonn hasn't won a major medal in this event before, but if she's 1.5 seconds better than anyone after the Downhill, she has a decent chance
Riesch performance in the downhill is a big worry, especially as her training runs weren't that good. She's normally a much better slalom skiier than Vonn, so if she's within a second, she should be favourite (also she failed to finish in St Moritz)
Paerson, I assume isn't competing after yesterdays fall
Zettel won the worlds last year, but her downhill form has to be a worry. She needs to stay really competitive
Goergel, if she puts in a good downhill, will be in with a great shout as she can make up time on the slalom

A lot will depend for me on how tough the downhill course if for this. Also I'd be worried about Vonns ankle, having 2 races in a day, with a very tough on the ankle slalom

Goergel and Riesch for me I think
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Report chiefdog February 18, 2010 11:45 AM GMT
suter at 28's a massive price for me. made loads of errors yesterday and still came 5th. hopefully will improve her downhill enough and ski a decent slalom
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 11:49 AM GMT
suter isn't going to make anytime on the slalom though, thats what would worry me about her
Report steparkes February 18, 2010 12:12 PM GMT
im pretty sure its not a downhill, its a super g run
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 12:21 PM GMT
http://www.vancouver2010.com/olympic-alpine-skiing/additional-information/about-the-sport_144454QC.html

not according to the official website

"Super Combined

The combined event consists of one downhill run followed by one slalom run using a shorter course. The times are added together. The fastest total time determines the winner."
Report steparkes February 18, 2010 12:21 PM GMT
aaah, wasnt sure
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 12:26 PM GMT
the "super" is a bit misleading in the event name
Report JOSE93 February 18, 2010 2:36 PM GMT
I'm laying Reisch. I'm backing Vonn against her on another site's hth market. Vonn will go for everything, and knowing what she's like with failing to complete slalom runs over this winter, it will probably cost me. But I've seen Reisch fail far too often for being cautious and for me she's way under the odds. I could be wrong....
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 2:52 PM GMT
If Reisch puts together 2 runs she's capable of though, I don't think anyone will beat her - but agree on recent form she's a lay at that price.
Vonn has won the odd event on the world cup for combined, but she'll likely find at least one too good for her. The h2h for Vonn is a good bet
Report jamesbeckton. February 18, 2010 4:41 PM GMT
Go Chemmy!
Report Don No1 February 18, 2010 4:49 PM GMT
8th :(
Report jamesbeckton. February 18, 2010 4:49 PM GMT
Not the best from Chemmy
Report caramba February 18, 2010 4:52 PM GMT
Paerson, I assume isn't competing after yesterdays fall

She is.
Report jamesbeckton. February 18, 2010 4:52 PM GMT
Furthemore she looks fine
Report lkel February 18, 2010 4:53 PM GMT
anja paerson for me
Report JOSE93 February 18, 2010 5:01 PM GMT
Vonn leads by 0.8, I would have liked 1 second but that will do.
Report Don No1 February 18, 2010 5:02 PM GMT
Great time considering the mistake
Report JOSE93 February 18, 2010 5:02 PM GMT
Ok, I'm in trouble now....
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 5:04 PM GMT
Riesch will make that up in the slalom easily, Vonn to get a medal might be in trouble, I've laid that
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 5:07 PM GMT
no doubt that tumble will have taken a toll on her, didn't look her best

Balls of steel to compete though, hats off to her
Report Don No1 February 18, 2010 5:07 PM GMT
Shame about the 2nd half, seems a bit too much ask for Anja now
Report chiefdog February 18, 2010 5:12 PM GMT
zettel at 33's worth a shout?
Report JOSE93 February 18, 2010 5:16 PM GMT
If the course organisers are interested, please take 20 seconds off the Slalom run as well just like the standard shortened Downhill to make it fair!
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 5:20 PM GMT
she's 1.85 behind, she's a very good slalom skier and can make that up, but Vonn isn't the mug she was and Riesch likely to go faster. Not a terrible bet, but its 33s for a reason
Mancuso will drop well away (she will lose at least 2 seconds on most in slalom), and Vonn will need a very good run (no straddling!) to hang onto a medal imo. Some good medal chances behind the 2 americans
So look at 4-9 positions as medal chances
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 5:21 PM GMT
jose, neither course is the full course in the combined
Report JOSE93 February 18, 2010 5:25 PM GMT
I know, I was just going over the top as to how much I want taken off. With the different format from Torino, they're bound to take less off the one run Slalom run.
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 5:32 PM GMT
In turin, they had 2 slalom runs though. They only have 1 now, so it won't be too short
Report chiefdog February 18, 2010 5:37 PM GMT
went to get some food and the 33's i wanted on zettel is now 20's with sj and 14's with pp. only 2 accounts i have money in
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 5:43 PM GMT
sorry chief :(
She's probably the best slalom skier near the top, def medal chance

I like Goergel, she's handy enough on the slalom. I fancy a couple of runners to DNF
Report MrNibbs February 18, 2010 7:33 PM GMT
ttt starting again.
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 7:50 PM GMT
nearly getting to the contenders now
Report hhssaspi1 February 18, 2010 7:50 PM GMT
got some butt cheeks these skiiers!
Report johnnyrant February 18, 2010 7:51 PM GMT
OT, but anyone know what time Shelly Rudman goes tonight in Skeleton?
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 8:02 PM GMT
http://www.vancouver2010.com/olympic-skeleton/schedule-and-results/womens-heat-1_snw001101hl.html

2nd
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 8:05 PM GMT
I keep picking the skiers to back that crash!
Report elise February 18, 2010 8:09 PM GMT
i hope she wins this after yesterday, at least let her medal
Report the bloob February 18, 2010 8:11 PM GMT
that Anja Paerson has got some serious thighs on her, like tree trunks! get between those and there's no escape
Report elise February 18, 2010 8:11 PM GMT
hang on anja
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 8:13 PM GMT
thats an awesome ski by Mancuso, she's the star for me so far
Report elise February 18, 2010 8:15 PM GMT
vonn can't beat that surely
Report hhssaspi1 February 18, 2010 8:15 PM GMT
some mug just backed paerson to beat resich for £140 @ 1.02, ouch!!!
Report caramba February 18, 2010 8:16 PM GMT
Anja Pärson wins bronze
Report Gutless Wonder February 18, 2010 8:16 PM GMT
whoops
Report elise February 18, 2010 8:17 PM GMT
sorry she fell but i'm glad ap got a medal
Report caramba February 18, 2010 8:17 PM GMT
my feelings exactly, elise
Report Don No1 February 18, 2010 8:18 PM GMT
Great stuff anja :D
Report jacob_TA February 18, 2010 8:26 PM GMT
:) good result for me
Report Chitchat February 18, 2010 8:34 PM GMT
settle please :)
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