U.S. Horse Racing
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Somethink I've noticed over the past week during the boredom of Tier 4 is that it appears that there is a disproportionate number of false faves in the US. They're inevitably getting beat. The secret is in deciding how they are false. Just thought I'd post in the backwater that is the US racing forum. With the amounts bet on US racing it's a bit surprising to me that there's not more posting on the forum, At least the jokers are staying away.
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Replies: 90
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How do you define a false favourite though? Not so long ago there was a chap posting on here declaring he was winnings $$$s by just backing all the favs in every race!
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3 selections last night- 2 lays successful. Just watching for the time being. Anything statististically significent will be reported here.
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Slicer, when you've got the recipe right and baked the cake be sure to save me a slice.
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Definitely Mr Nifty. I will give a piece to all who enjoy & partake in the discussion on this thread. None of the plebs are interested enough to come over to this BetFair Backwater so we'll keep it to ourselves. Deciding the FFs is plain to see using this method, the work is already done for you. Just a matter of if it actually works. I'll have another look this evening.
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Looking forward to seeing the results!
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I'll be looking at races 1-7 at Delta Downs this evening.
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R1 6 is the qualifier.
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R1 6 lay successful. R2 9 is the qualifier.
btw I'm posting like this for 1 night only. |
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Slicer , to confirm ,are we talking about US tote favourites or Betfair favourites?
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BF faves or a horse in very close proximity in the betting on BF eg race 2 where the 9 was 2.8 & the fave was 2.5. R2 9 successful lay. R! 6 was priced at 4. btw THERE WILL BE POSITIVELY NO AFTERTIMING as we only cheat ourselves. This might well be the Holy Grill of Horse Race Laying. We shall see. Again, I got nothing to do this evening so this posting in this way on this thread is for 1 night only!
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R3 1 is the qualifier priced at 4.1.
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Pity there's no place markets at Delta ,but the music is good in between races...
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Just played More than a woman by the BeeGees from Saturday Night Fever!
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 WD |
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Even sweeter as the 1 was backed heavily before the off. R3 Lay successful.
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No qualifier in race 4, so that leaves just 3 left this evening for potential lays.
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R5 7 is a qualifier priced 2.54. If this gets beat I think I might really be on to something!
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R5 successful lay. No qualifier in R6.
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Well done, so far!
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Thanks. Just R 7 to consider this evening.
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Slicer, you're cooking on gas!
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But I mustn't spoil the stake & spill the gravy!!
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No qualifier in race 7 so that's it from me this evening. I won't be posting in this way again. 4 from 4 is quite good but at this early stage it could be luck & the results are not yet statistististically significant. I'll let you know how this progresses.
Thank you for your interest, good luck and good night. |
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4/4 fav lays is pretty good going in my book. Maybe Delta Downs is the graveyard of false favs. Well done Doctor.
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Thanx. We shall see. Goodnight.
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I'll be looking at Tampa & DD tonight. Probably about 15 races starting with 17.42 Tampa. Should give a better idea of success rate of The LFFUS Systim. Wouldn't it be a great end to a horribel year to come up with something to give we small band of US Racing Forumites a bit of hope for the New Year!
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I'm gonna post the selections on hear tonight as there's not much else for me to do & the tv is dire. I'm not available tomorrow night & will only post the stats not the selections in the New Year. Let's see how long the lucky streak continues.
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R1 Tampa no qualifier.
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Tampa R2 4 is the qualifier. I'm a bit dubious about this one BUT the The LFFUS Systim gives it so it must be a selection.
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Wins at 2.18. Not the end of the world to win at that price. So 0/1 this evening. btw The operation of this Systim is at level steaks so as not to spill the gravy if a losing run is encountered. Don't want to end up like Martin Gale, sleeping on a bench under newspaper in Hyde Park!
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Tampa R3 2 is the selection at 3.6
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T R3 Lay Successful
DD R1 No qualifier |
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Tampa R4 5 is the selection at 2.76
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Wins at 2.76. 1/3 for the evening. Not so good. Down 1.94 points for the evening. No real damage & a little way to go.
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DD R2 5 is the selection at 3.7.
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DD R2 successful lay 2/4 down 0.94 points.
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T R5 5 is the selection at 4.5
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T R5 Lay successful. 3/5 RT this evening plus 0.16 points so far.
Due to lack of interest I'm stopping posting although I'll be continuing this Systim. Good luck all- here endeth the monologue. |
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I'm interested. With three US cards running concurrently I'm just busy keeping up with the trading!
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