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AQU R2
3 at 1.37. Class drop could be a negative, but if this is fit, it's hard to see it getting beat. |
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evening, not sure i can repeat last night's fortunes but will try a few. 3 is very short at aq r2, it's the class dropper i suppose
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Hi mate! It won't take a lot for the 3 to win at all. Even if it's half fit, it should do the job. It can beat, but then, you can afford to lose 27% of 1.37 shots (ignoring commission).
I feel pathetic saying this, but I was so close to backing the 1 at 17.5 in the first at Aqueduct, but couldn't bring myself to do it with it having been beaten by 10 lengths by the 4 on a fast track last time out. Just shows how much difference a different a muddy track can make. |
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TAM R2
3 at 3.7. Recent 5f workouts indicate this is ready. Oh yeah, let's hope you can repeat last night's fortunes! |
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yeah, i took the 4 on at aq r1, was just such a cheap lay, will try this one too
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Well done in the first at AQU. Good luck.
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3 won, makes sense, not too sorry about that one
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not sure about tam, have laid the 3 but not one of my confident ones, we'll see.
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3 definitely has a good chance of getting beat, but I see value at 3.9. Mainly because I think it's fit on the basis of its recent workouts.
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4 made it look easy!
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Good call. You nailed that.
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thanks, laying the 6 at aq r3, gl
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AQU
4 at 2.96 to go wire to wire for a 3rd consecutive time. Has a good early pace edge. |
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I probably agree with your lay of the 6. Bruce Levine has a good record 60 day layoffs, but it may be telling that the 6 was disappointing last time out, and Levine has put the 6 back up for sale at the same price he claimed it at in the last race.
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TAM R3
3 at 3.5. Wire to wire. Long layoff, but think this is fit. |
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Another comfortable lay for you. I feared the worst for the 4 when it failed to get the lead.
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tam r3, laid the 3 - the layoff is the question
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Good call. 3 looked unfit. I was swayed by the workouts.
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aq 4, laid the 9, gl
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HAW R1
3 at 1.74. Think this has the edge over the 5 with the step up in trip. |
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AQU R4
3 at 7.4. Expensive Dutrow newcommer against horses that haven't proven themselves at the grade. 1 is a wire to wire chance but think distance might be a bit long for it. 9 should improve second time out and with step up in trip, but unimpressive debut. |
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Backed the 3 again at 9.
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TAM
2 at 4.0. Churchill Downs shippers are good at TAM. |
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Think the cutback in trip suits the 2 at Tampa.
Well done with the lay at AQU. That was very comfortable again. |
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laid the 2 at tam, gl
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going v short though, so you are more likely right about this one..
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Good lay again!
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hello
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HAW R2
1 at 1.92. More like a 1.7 shot to me. The newcommers don't look too promissing. The soft ground might give the 2 a better chance against the 1, but 1 beat the 2 by a length on the mud 2 back and 2 has been poor last 2 times out. |
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wolves
trying Abbey Angel @ 10/1 |
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AQU
8 at 6.0. Stepping up in class, but should improve second time back off layoff. 7 could be dangerous, but may be unfit. 9 looks like a very dodgy class dropper. |
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Hi BSmith.
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aqu
e/w #11 Tsunami Night @ 50/1 |
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hello, laid 8 at aq, gl
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last |
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good shout rowan
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hi
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Thanks Risky.
TAM 3 at 6.2. Should go close if improves second time out off layoff. |