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Thebas
08 Aug 15 21:43
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Date Joined: 30 Jan 05
| Topic/replies: 8,452 | Blogger: Thebas's blog
some great racing coming up today

ive been around for an hour now and had 4 bets with no probs getting set at all

I usually bet around the 2mins to post time when some value is around .. after that the plunges come and the traders (not punters) are either exposed or don't know what to do

they then wait until the very last minute trying to extract that 0.01 of extra odds and often miss the race altogether

such is the life of a trader (not punter) Sad

all the best for a great day today
Pause Switch to Standard View Sat 8th in the good ol US of A
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Report Thebas August 8, 2015 9:45 PM BST
only watching the maiden in Lad2 as many are first timers .. the #2 hasn't done any flash work on the track but has had a consistent pattern lead up so i'll have a look at it in-race for the future
Report Thebas August 8, 2015 9:49 PM BST
#2 broke the gates cleanly but couldn't match it with the slick speedsters

did enough around the turn to be in a shooting position .. before the jock put the whip away a furlong out

did enough for me to watch its track work for an improvement leading into its 2nd race start and maybe a solid placing
Report Thebas August 8, 2015 10:07 PM BST
The Longines G1 coming up at SAR8 .. so I guess they will run some 'time' in it  Wink

#1 had a good win a G3 at Belmont first up drawing clear at the end and stepping up a grade here
#2 lightly raced and in the market but wanna see it again first
#3 lovely filly better suited at the mile maybe but fresh today and has done the work for them to be having a go here for sure
#4 this race gets harder as you go through them lol with #4 fresh after 7 months off might be hard pressed but hey has won 5 from 9
#5 looks outclassed but might be ridiculous odds also
#6 has been running in nothing but G1's and G2's though over a bit mire ground than today .. 3rd up and should be primed if the speed pans out for it
#7 freshened and stepping up a few grades into this
#8 another fresh but with solid G1 form - this race not getting any easier
#9 & #10 look outgraded and from tough draws

I dunno lol

maybe the #3 win & place for me but treading carefully as anything could happen here .. a great watch though
Report Horts August 8, 2015 10:09 PM BST
I have backed both 3 and 6 GL
Report Thebas August 8, 2015 10:10 PM BST
all the best today Horts
Report Horts August 8, 2015 10:15 PM BST
wd on your place
Report Thebas August 8, 2015 10:18 PM BST
cheers Horts yes got something out of the race .. what a terrific win by Cavorting that's 4 wins from 6 starts her and had run a big here over 6½f in the Adironack G2 so I needed to look closer at that pre-race lol

the #9 was a revelation to me and they have a nice filly there also

onwards
Report Thebas August 8, 2015 10:24 PM BST
Monmouth R10 late in the day and a 5f stakes dash on the turf

#3  and #9  have the form on the board going in .. but will they be bloused out late who knows

watching only here
Report Thebas August 8, 2015 10:25 PM BST
well ill be watching the #3 NEXT start of course (SCR) and #9 is harsh value - definite watch only me
Report Thebas August 8, 2015 10:31 PM BST
#9 goes straight to the front and leaves itself a sitting shot .. though dug in again 1 furlong out but clearly bloused late

the winner is a prolific winner was 2nd up and having its first shot in a Stakes race so the connections will be rapt in the performance .. well done

7.30am where I am .. off for a shower and some brekky and back in an hour or so .. good fortunes all
Report Horts August 8, 2015 10:40 PM BST
LAD is interesting in the next
Favourite is dodgy and at odds on I am laying it
backed the 5 and 7 as well at big odds
Report Horts August 8, 2015 10:43 PM BST
the 3 has gone from 1.7ish when i laid out to 2.5 now
It is not all my money !
Report Horts August 8, 2015 10:49 PM BST
6-7-4 will do for me
fav unplaced
They knew Wink
Report Horts August 8, 2015 10:51 PM BST
Mon 7 for me
Report Horts August 8, 2015 10:56 PM BST
8-7-3
Report Horts August 8, 2015 11:00 PM BST
Penn backed 1
Report Horts August 8, 2015 11:05 PM BST
fav hacked up Sad
Report Horts August 8, 2015 11:12 PM BST
Lad 3 at decent odds
Report Horts August 8, 2015 11:17 PM BST
2-10-3
the 3 was blocked about 3 times Cry
Report Horts August 8, 2015 11:29 PM BST
Em 5 should have no problem winning this now the 6 is scratched
Report pmbets August 8, 2015 11:31 PM BST
INSIDER INFO:-  CALE'ES GOLD NO1 RACE 6 LOUISIANA DOWNS has been primed to win this race.Working very well at home and has come on leaps and bounds I'm told.Expect to win by 10 lengths.
Report pmbets August 8, 2015 11:32 PM BST
1.8 is a great price.Unload now.
Report Horts August 8, 2015 11:33 PM BST
Em 5 had no problem winning by a nose Scared
Report Horts August 8, 2015 11:35 PM BST
Lol pmbets
Ive been waiting for your insider info all night !!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Report Horts August 8, 2015 11:38 PM BST
I have unloaded as instructed laid at 1.4
Or did you mean to back ?
Report Cork Langer August 8, 2015 11:40 PM BST
Good evening all, best of luck to anyone playing tonight.

How comforting to see pmbets hasn't yet changed his game plan, some never learn, win at 1/5 and he'll be back of course, lose and he'll disappear for six months without an explanation...!
Report Horts August 8, 2015 11:41 PM BST
Ive backed a few at over 100/1 so got some value
Report Cork Langer August 8, 2015 11:42 PM BST
A whole 2 euro traded at 1.8 vwd pmbets...!
Report pmbets August 8, 2015 11:44 PM BST
Insider info is back folks.Insider info everyday for the next 7 days ExcitedSurprised
Report pmbets August 8, 2015 11:45 PM BST
Insider info is back folks.Insider info everyday for the next 7 days ExcitedSurprised
Report pmbets August 8, 2015 11:45 PM BST
got 1.77-1.98 range
Report pmbets August 8, 2015 11:48 PM BST
lost by a nose he was trapped behind 5 horses.
Report Horts August 8, 2015 11:48 PM BST
thank you pm
got a lovely lay
Report Cork Langer August 8, 2015 11:49 PM BST
Trapped yes, but had ample time to pick up and failed, just admit it was duff and an awful play, we have all done it.
Report kpskips August 8, 2015 11:53 PM BST
evening all - no insider info but having a punt on the scott gelner newbie @ EvangD - gl
Report Cork Langer August 8, 2015 11:53 PM BST
wd on the lay horts
Report pmbets August 8, 2015 11:54 PM BST
I have never known this place with such poor liquidity .It gets worse every day.
Report Thebas August 8, 2015 11:56 PM BST
hi guys good to see the fire is still burning here

nice work Horts .. I went back and see that lay at lad didn't run a place well done

SAR11 coming up always tough at their meets ... but fun

hard races the 5½f sprints on the grass .. I know that from where I come from too  Wink

the #3 is so well bred and the young filly looks to be now starting her plays .. so maybe she doesn't go ballistic up front but is kept to a nice gait .. and maybe the win-place is the way .. treading carefull tho
Report Horts August 8, 2015 11:56 PM BST
PMSL
I just got lucky, meant to back the 1 at EM and backed the 1 at EV by mistake !
Report Thebas August 8, 2015 11:57 PM BST
place odds just tumbled ... and I missed them ouch .. leaves it risky now .. but hey
Report Thebas August 8, 2015 11:59 PM BST
didn't matter in the end and they rode her off the pace and wide .. but were still having a go I think .. maybe she aint that good .. oh well
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 12:04 AM BST
was gonna be all over the #1 next at PEN but scratched lol

rethinking .. but prob stay out now ...

Cork likes PEN .. any thoughts in the 4th ?
Report pmbets August 9, 2015 12:04 AM BST
Insider info:-  Jackey's nation no4 race 1 charles town. 3/1 morning line to win.
Report pmbets August 9, 2015 12:05 AM BST
it's about evens shade less/Lumped on £400.
Report pmbets August 9, 2015 12:05 AM BST
it's 11/8 now.
Report pmbets August 9, 2015 12:06 AM BST
suspended 3 mins b4 the off.
Report Horts August 9, 2015 12:08 AM BST
any more insider lays for me pm ?
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 12:09 AM BST
looked to have every chance pmbets

ive noticed Charles Town have been starting their races (yes jumping from the gates) about 2-3 mins earlier than their scheduled off time .. not sure why this is a recent occurrence .. be wary that track and get set earlier maybe
Report A touch of class. August 9, 2015 12:12 AM BST
Unlucky pmbets. Jockey was trying.
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 12:12 AM BST
another (late this time) scratch at PEN4

not sure what they're doing with #3 Sara .. as she had work prior to starting this campaign .. but has on the pace and tiring .. maybe she's fitted up and ready today .. but a long place market 1-2-3 the place still but shorter odds ... so I don't know
Report Horts August 9, 2015 12:13 AM BST
Thebas
pmbets has been posting INSIDER INFO on this forum for years, usually 1/5 shots that get beat !
Report Cork Langer August 9, 2015 12:13 AM BST
Thebas, take no notice of pmbets, he has been on here years and is still to have a bet, visits every couple of months with his usual inside info claim and quickly departs when the 1/5's he puts up get beat, a complete bluffer, by all means humour him if you wish, I'll let you decide
Report Horts August 9, 2015 12:15 AM BST
Cork Laugh
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 12:15 AM BST
cheers Horts ... ive noticed that pattern the last few races today

as long as PM's playing his 'insider' bets and not selling or 'spamming' them then its a tuff game the shorties in the USA

I'd be with you Horts and laying them I think ... just watching them though myself
Report Horts August 9, 2015 12:16 AM BST
LAD backed 8 at 8ish
Report Cork Langer August 9, 2015 12:19 AM BST
Penn race 4

Looks a minefield with little real early pace, the 4/7 will possibly make it but not sure they will go enough of a clip for the closers, so chancing RA on the 7 to set fractions to suit himself and steal it from the front, gl all
Report Horts August 9, 2015 12:22 AM BST
4-6-8 LAD
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 12:24 AM BST
missed PEN watching LAD lol .. sara did nothing .. no good this campaign and off to the paddock maybe .. no value there either 1-2-3 place
Report Cork Langer August 9, 2015 12:24 AM BST
Poor read of the race, but a winner nonetheless...! Result 7-8-6
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 12:26 AM BST
nice work Cork .. matters not on the read .. as they mix up the racing patterns often once they jump ... the result is the true count Happy
Report Cork Langer August 9, 2015 12:28 AM BST
cheers Thebas, a couple more like that before close of play and I won't be complaining....!
Report Horts August 9, 2015 12:32 AM BST
CT 8 around 8ish
Having trouble getting money on anything, no liquidity
Report Horts August 9, 2015 12:35 AM BST
4-2-8
Report Cork Langer August 9, 2015 12:37 AM BST
Too many races close together and too few players, I find the tote is the better option on a Saturday
Report Horts August 9, 2015 12:46 AM BST
LAD 10 around 8s
Report kpskips August 9, 2015 12:50 AM BST
8 & 10 for me @ LAD - gl all
Report Horts August 9, 2015 12:54 AM BST
1 beat 10
Report kpskips August 9, 2015 12:56 AM BST
well, i couldn't even pick my nose tonight!! Crazy
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 1:11 AM BST
PEN6 a high dollar maiden .. and not that you can go on times .. but if that played out then the Smarty Jones offspring #7 has it in the bag ... but you cant just use times I know

interesting race nonetheless .. specially whenever a NON-maiden runs in a maiden with the #5 already having won a race but dis'qualed

the #4 also has its chance here ... but maybe watching them helps for their future prospects if not the ol bank account  Wink
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 1:14 AM BST
the only gear change in the next at PEN is the #7 with blinkers on the 1st time today
Report Cork Langer August 9, 2015 1:17 AM BST
The price on 7 seems generous, support for the 1 interesting, but no reason to believe 7 will regress and unless 1 or 3 hurry out the 7 should get a soft lead, have backed it accordingly, gl all
Report Horts August 9, 2015 1:18 AM BST
7 for me too
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 1:18 AM BST
and the first starter #1 in a smart stable also has admirers for its debut .. work times not swish but sometimes they don't extend them in the lead up gallops

going with the #7 but prob should stay out
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 1:18 AM BST
its carrying a lot of our weight lads .. good fortunes
Report kpskips August 9, 2015 1:21 AM BST
good call Thebas
Report Cork Langer August 9, 2015 1:22 AM BST
Lucky Flores wasn't interested in winning, wd guys...!
Report Horts August 9, 2015 1:22 AM BST
Forum Boom I think
wd everyone
Report kpskips August 9, 2015 1:22 AM BST
and everyone.....sorry, just noticed all on it! lol
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 1:25 AM BST
the #1 first starter the run of the race .. but money in the pockets so well done all

did it both ends ours .. sometimes the blinkers have them too keen .. be interested to see if they take them off next start .. or go back to a 5½f

cheers skips .. yep everyone
Report Horts August 9, 2015 1:31 AM BST
MP 3 for me
Report kpskips August 9, 2015 1:41 AM BST
that's it for me on the US, gonna wait for the Aus - gl all
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 1:41 AM BST
all the best skips
Report Horts August 9, 2015 1:43 AM BST
GN and GL  from me too
last bet EV 3
Report Thebas August 9, 2015 1:44 AM BST
I'm out too guys ... a bit of shopping then lunch for me .. been good fun ... cya again
Report Cork Langer August 9, 2015 1:48 AM BST
gn & gl all, gone with the 1 at Penn
Report Cork Langer August 9, 2015 1:50 AM BST
Eesult 3-1
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