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3y colt: unraced in US/Can in 2014: 0 wins/2 runs, $15k 2015: 0.5/1, 7 lengths 2nd of 9 to Unbridled Juan in $45k mdn (8f dirt) at Gulfstream Park, 28 days ago: front-runner: stands out in this company.
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and so it proved, wd if you backed it, but i don't regret laying at odds on
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2+6 def have a good chance of beating the fav. 1/2 is no value AT all for this one.. or THEY know ;)
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guessing you were talking tampa there, psvfan? THEY knew. I think that might have been perhams nap but he got mixed up and i switched over earlier.
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keen r4 laid the 3, gl
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8 won keen r4
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Tamps r5
World Approval (5) 6/4 1/2 1/10 2. Jakob's Way (2) 17/10 7/10 3. Prince Vincenzo (7) |
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USA / Keenl (US) 4th Apr / 19:53 R5 7f Allw 8. Yockeys Warrior Lay 48502590657 04-Apr-15
19:53 This will hurt if it delivers. gl |
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7 wins Keenland.
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Off now .GL rb.
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wd and gnight towf, laid 6 aq 6, gl
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5 wins aq
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keen r6, laid the 2, gl
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6 wins keen
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horrendous ride velazquez.
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how many favourites have won today. More or less every favourite evens or shorter has won today.
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not true. and if a horse is evens or odds on in a race of 2+ runners, you have every right to expect it to win. otherwise we could all just blindly lay the favourites
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If you look for a beatable fav Ostrolenka is one. However it's not odds on (yet) ;)
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3/5 track. 2.60 here...
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then tell me how many evens or odds on favourites have lost today?
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Fav loses to 60/1 shot. :) (9)
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but was not evens or shorter. Was 7/4
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have a look at aq r2, that went odds on but if odds on winners win, then that is what should happen, most people want odds on winners to win. not many have lost admittedly which is why you can't blindly lay them
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i am talking about today. A lot of favourites win. Of course long term about 500 of 1000 evens favourites win.
But today it is about 80 percent of 6/4 or shorter favourites win. |
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ok but you initially said evens or shorter, which is what piqued my interest, as i quite often lay at sub evens out of principle and got one notably wrong, above but the aq one i dodged
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i'll reckon the one at next aQUE should win. So wouldn't lay it! Stands above rest and is def not worth the (lay)risk..
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laying the 1 at tam, gl. I didn't express that quite correctly re aq when i said 'dodged', i meant i bottled the laying of it, as i thought it would win. whereas i got that wrong later at keenland when i laid an odds on favourite - and that is what towf has copied and paseted TFs writeup on above
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successful at tam
, onto keen r8, laid the 13, gl |
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4-9-13-10 keen result
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laid 3 tam r10, gl
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10-5 tam
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Woodbine
Race 2 betting e/w #1 Leading Wild |
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BBBOOOOMMMMM
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wd bsmith
unbelievable this woodbine favourite 1/3 ran over 8 furlong more than 1 year since last run |
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Keeneland
Race 3 having a punt on #5 King of Broadway |
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Tampa Bay Downs
Race 3 trying #3 Shebegone |
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ty dom too many 1st time runners in that race for an odds on fav
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Wolverhampton 1850
betting Picks Pinta @ 9.0 |
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