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gm10
15 May 10 13:31
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Date Joined: 17 Jul 03
| Topic/replies: 605 | Blogger: gm10's blog
Race 12 at Pimlico tonight.

Based on historical trends, we should look for the winner of the Preakness amongst the horses coming out of the Derby. This narrows the field down to five horses: Dublin, Jackson Bend, Lookin At Lucky, Paddy O'Prado and Super Saver. I expect a good effort from Dublin (having experienced the Derby, he could be a bit more relaxed this time). Jackson Bend has had too many chances. Paddy O'Prado is a good horse and it would be very interesting if Desormeaux tried to grab the lead. It's not an impossible scenario to envisage now that Super Saver has shown that he can win from a stalking position. Paddy is one of the better horses, but it's hard to imagine him winning from off the pace. Super Saver has obvious appeal and is likely to run another good race. Lucky will have a chance in every race that he enters, but probably isn't that good.

First Dude and Yawanna Twist seem to be the more progressive horses of the other group. Schoolyard Dreams, Pleasant Prince and Aikenite are a bit more exposed but are capable of running a good race. Caracortado and Northern Giant look like also-rans.

It won't be a magnum edition of the Preakness, but this looks like a well-balanced field once again. Super Saver will be my final selection. The horse won a below-par Derby but has the best pace in a relatively paceless race, and stays the distance. I expect First Dude to be up close with the pace and run a good race. Lookin At Lucky, Paddy O'Prado and especially Dublin all look like they could run in the money. Of the new faces, I prefer Yawanna Twist at 30/1.

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Report Shiekh Me Hand May 15, 2010 5:28 PM BST
Well hello there GM ! My preakness thoughts are below :- Truth be told what a mediocre field... don't see any of these being prominent come the Breeders Cup Classic !! As for today...

Lay Super Saver for me, appears to have a lot of things in his favor, possibly only pace of the race but I am prepared to let that be, think Looking at Lucky gets a great trip for once, sit behind the derby and explode in the straight.
Really do not like a lot of the others, think Carocatardo has a great ew chance..but for the top spot Looking at Lucky.
Report markeypd May 15, 2010 6:17 PM BST
Agree, Sheikh.  Weak field.  Unlikely any of these ruffle any feathers come Classic time. I have not seen a more wide open GR 1 race in a long time.  I am laying 1 horse - Looking at Lucky (I am sure you will be pleased given my current poor streak of lays..lol) and then I will simply place a couple of small bets on the hot riders at the moment aboard First Dude, Dublin, and Pleasant Prince....

I think Looking at Lucky has not progressed from 2 (maybe he won't need to, I dunno)  - but I just had to lay at 4.4 earlier when I don't believe he has any real advantage in this lineup...  So...its s head to head.  Good luck!
Report ricky butcher May 15, 2010 6:52 PM BST
Pleasant Prince e/w.
Report rink rat May 15, 2010 11:40 PM BST
Hindsight 20-20, but Super Saver was lucky in the derby. Nice picks Game 10 , 2 in the super under the best stalking closer.
Report Prescription Drugs May 15, 2010 11:51 PM BST
Dublin ran some sort of race considering he was 10 lengths behind the rest early in the back straight due to his start.

Iceman surely will be the one for Belmont though
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