Thats 29 points up after 11 days and 23 bets. If anyone is interested I'm to be found on the Pricewise challenge on a site called tipsterform.
I'm called Form-Pro.
he Irish Grand National either goes to classy 3 milers like last years first two home Bluesea Cracker and Oscar Time or real stayers like Butlers Cabin and Nine De Sivola.
I'll take 3 each way, 5 places with 365, Boyle & Power. Fortune favours the brave so I'll start with 33-1
shot A NEW STORY, ( 44 on betfair ) 13 years old only he doesn't seem to know it. Age blunts speed but not stamina. I'll take a 12 year old in the Grand National but 13 too old. This horse is the exception that proves the rule, he loves it here and good ground is right up his street. Next is WESTERN CHARMER 20-1. ( 28 on betfair ) A classy type who has been finishing well over 3 miles. Second last time up to course specialist Mr Cracker at Limerick. The ground is an unknown but a class horse with a low weight at 20-1 is worth taking a chance with. Finally WHATYOUTHINK 14-1 ( 20 on betfair ) another with class and stamina who once beat Forpadydeplasterer on good ground, was third in this last year and ran a race full of promise last time over too short a distance.
11 POINTS UP TODAY. Thats 21 including last week thanks to Genki and Beshebar.I'll be looking at the Irish national and Chester Cup and the Guineas.I don't waste my time on rubbish racing.
You need something that stays Its 50/50 that those who have only been 3 miles will fade. The stayers are: 5 places on 365 with only 18 runners.
Church Island 18-1
Poker de Sivola 10-1
Triggerman 12-1
Gentle Ranger 11-1
Getting excited about going to Newmarket next week. Last October I did an ew treble Noble Storm 2nd 14-1, Monets Garden won 4-1 and Pathfork for the 2000gns 20-1. Fingers crossed he's as good a 3yo as he was at 2.
I've also got an ew saver on Roderick. Frankel may be the most likely winner but he's not 12 times more likely to win then my two, plus he pulls hard early. I'm staying for the 1000gns I had a bit on Hooray last year @ 16-1 but Hypnotize seems to throw good 2yo's who lose the plot at 3, it may just be a coincidence. Misty for Me is the main hope she showed guts last year and is the form horse. Laughing Lashes is value, I've got her at 14's. Also a saver on the Frenchie Moonlight Cloud.Not keen on Havent, Memory or White Moonstone.
Getting excited about going to Newmarket next week. Last October I did a pony ew treble Noble Storm 2nd 14-1, Monets Garden won 4-1 and Pathfork for the 2000gns 20-1. Fingers crossed he's as good a 3yo as he was at 2.
I've also got an ew saver on Roderick. Frankel may be the most likely winner but he's not 12 times more likely to win then my two, plus he pulls hard early. I'm staying for the 1000gns I had a bit on Hooray last year @ 16-1 but Hypnotize seems to throw good 2yo's who lose the plot at 3, it may just be a coincidence. Misty for Me is the main hope she showed guts last year and is the form horse. Laughing Lashes is value, I've got her at 14's. Also a saver on the Frenchie Moonlight Cloud.Not keen on Havent, Memory or White Moonstone.
Yesterday was a **** up. My top rated in the first 2 races won but I cleverly rejected them. Then Bygones of Brid 16-1 ran into a rejuvenated Sanctuaire. Then Halla San was a good finishing 4th 25-1 which was uselass.He's hoping for a low draw in the Chester Cup.Beshabar saved the day 8-1. The other 2 from the Cheltenham 4 miler goofed though. It's always 50/50 whether the long distance races finish a horse off for a couple of months or set them up for another good run. Then some more mistakes, Brave Echo is best left to the AW, High Standing was too short a price to risk first time up Dunelight goofed and I'm Delilah is untrustworthy. after the first week we are 10 points up. Next bets possibly Epsom wed,otherwise Sandown Sat.If you bet in poor races or on horses where you are guessing you will lose.In the Guineas Pathfork and Misty for Me are the best bets. Someone is laying Misty on betfair I'd be glad to get some positive news on her wellbeing.
205 newb allied powers
240 newb pontenuevo
250 ayr bygones of brid ew
300 rip halla san ew
315 leic high standing, dunelight ew
325 ayr chicago grey, beshebar, be there in five ew
3.45 newb brave echo ew
430 ayr I'm delilah
GENKI got us off to a good start. We're 9 points up after day 1, though it was 16 on betfair sp!
The 4.55 is the interesting race today. The fav Courageous is weak as it hasn't won since its maiden 17 races ago! Add to that Fortune has never ridden a winner for the stable.
I like 5 in the race, Morehouse Lad but he usually takes a run to get the juices flowing.
Noble Storm,might take till the summer to hit best. Striking Spirit 2nd in the Wokingham to Laddies Poker Two, goes well fresh, only 2 runs over 5f but they were both good seconds,missed the 11-1 last night oops! The 2 we know are fit are Secret Asset and five Star Junior who ran behind Iver Bridge Lad who was 2nd to Genki yeaterday. At the odds maybe Five star is the EW but win bets on Secret Asset or Striking Spirit are advised if they hit 10-1.