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itcanbedone
18 May 12 09:39
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Date Joined: 11 Mar 03
| Topic/replies: 2,436 | Blogger: itcanbedone's blog
Have a sizeable cash pile denominated in Euro's.  Any thoughts on what I should do?
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Report FINE AS FROG HAIR May 18, 2012 9:48 AM BST
Keep doing whatever made it " sizable" in the first place.
I presume that was not speculating in currencies,
So why change a winning formula ?
Report Mrben May 18, 2012 9:48 AM BST
dont give it to melly.
Report itcanbedone May 18, 2012 10:00 AM BST
I don't have many liabilities in any currency so no need to match them by holding onto that particular currency.
Report itcanbedone May 18, 2012 10:39 AM BST
So many imponderables...

Is the political will still there to hold the Euro together?  Less so you would imagine with the recent Socialist electoral successes.  Can they risk the huge downsides of the Greek exit?  And who ultimately decides if the Greeks stay or go?

Sterling's strength largely down to Euro weakness.  How does a Greek exit and the follow on issues affect Sterling?  Is the safe haven the Dollar or elsewhere?
Report polybot May 18, 2012 11:15 AM BST
like you say, a lot of unknowns. depends on your risk profile and what you want to do with the money. you'd want some sort of yield on the money, apart from currency speculation.
Report itcanbedone May 18, 2012 11:24 AM BST
Risk profile where this money is concerned is conservative.
Report polybot May 18, 2012 11:41 AM BST
there's always term deposit rates for around 5 percent, risk is relative though.
Report itcanbedone May 18, 2012 11:44 AM BST
Have more or less convinced myself at this stage to remove a large chunk from Euro denomination.

My next query is; which is the safer haven, dollar or sterling?
Report polybot May 18, 2012 12:02 PM BST
being conservative you could alway split it
Report itcanbedone May 18, 2012 12:41 PM BST
yeah, that's what I am coming round to, thanks
Report FINE AS FROG HAIR May 18, 2012 1:54 PM BST
Don't forget the swissy also.
Maybe a bit of aussie dollar if you want to up the yield a bit and want some ( indirect) China exposure .
Best of luck if you start going down this route of trying to second guess the currency markets.
Personally if  are not heavily into the financial markets on a day to day basis, I would just stick your surplus funds in a local bank interest bearing deposit account, wherever you live, earn and spend, and get on with doing whatever you are really good at.
Report Mrben May 18, 2012 2:07 PM BST
dont buy the aussie dollar!

the economy here is cactus.

resources are on the nose and if china has a hard landing LOOK OUT BEEEELLLLOOOWWWW!
Report Menelaus May 18, 2012 2:15 PM BST
Mrben 18 May 12 14:07 
dont buy the aussie dollar!


Oh really???

When did you clue in???

When you posted it was "poised" to go to 1.10, or when you read my post at the same time in FEBRUARY, close to 1,000 bps ago, that it was the short of the year???

What a clown....Laugh
Report Mrben May 18, 2012 2:35 PM BST
for the last time you dumbell- the are called PIPS not bps

you are an a class moron.

hey **** - haul up my 700 pip winning trade on the AUD from last year and post that one.
Report Menelaus May 18, 2012 2:38 PM BST
What's a fecking PIP????

Seriously, is it an Australian bubble gum????

What a clown Laugh
Report itcanbedone May 18, 2012 2:41 PM BST
I would just stick your surplus funds in a local bank interest bearing deposit account, wherever you live, earn and spend,

Even if I was Greek?  Which I'm not, thankfully.  But I am Irish, and if Greek did exit, who knows what is next.

I do take your point about not trying to second guess currency markets though. However, I am finding the worst case scenario surrounding the euro quite frightening.
Report Mrben May 18, 2012 2:47 PM BST
get into the USD, if all implodes it will skyrocket
Report The Magic Flea May 18, 2012 3:23 PM BST
Don't forget the swissy also.

Isn't the franc pegged to the euro?
Report FINE AS FROG HAIR May 18, 2012 4:27 PM BST
Not irrevocably flea to my knowledge.
The SCB has stated it will intervene to prevent it appreciating above 1.20 Euros, but the op is talking about a complete meltdown of the Euro I think. Exceptional circumstances in which the Swissy would be a good hold ?
He might consider the Norwegian crown as a good investment too ?
Report Menelaus May 18, 2012 4:37 PM BST
People debating what worthless fiat paper backed by nothing other than blind faith and thin air to keep their "savings" in to manage risk.

And then they say gold is a bubble....

Oh the humanity.......
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