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27 Oct 11 19:18
Date Joined: 31 Aug 07
| Topic/replies: 1,408 | Blogger: PierreLaRogue's blog
Why did no-one on the forum predict this? why? Angry
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Report Menelaus October 27, 2011 7:32 PM BST
Start reading my posts. Evidently though I need to dumb them down for you since you don't seem to understand this, or did the word "correctly" throw you off?

"I think it's because the markets, with a lot of encouragement, jawboning and direct intervention from the FED, quite correctly are pricing in policy response and central bank intervention to these problems. Which inevitably always involves some kind of scheme with more debt, more leverage, more accommodation and easing. In other words the markets are pricing in.......INFLATION."

WTF do you think QE by the BoE really is? How about leveraging the EFSF? The BoJ increasing LSAPs by 33pc? China new "stimulative policies" scuttlebutt? And last and certainly the most important, the FED considering yet another round of LSAPs?

The question you should be asking yourself is "why was I so dumb to get caught off-side on this rally?". A little honesty and self-retrospection might serve you better.
Report Whippet October 27, 2011 7:55 PM BST
how much did you lose this time?

Oh well, guess you will have to wait a bit for the real crash. It's just a shame the perma bears all went bankrupt months ago so you won't be able to trade it when it actually comes. Laugh
Report PierreLaRogue October 27, 2011 8:32 PM BST
None of you predicted it, so you can't say anything, you both had ample time to predict, so i don't want to hear this aftertiming bollox. I lost my profits from the oct 4th rally, you said you was out the market melly burger, no-one on here predicted this if they did point me to the thread.
Report Menelaus October 27, 2011 8:50 PM BST
New Forum Rules: from this point on, anyone commenting on the markets should have the word PREDICTION explicitly in their post, caps and bolding an absolute must, and explain the expected direction of the market in monosyllabic words in order for PierreLaDouche to understand.

(Yes, of course you lost your profits, what gave you the impression that we thought you were taking a "beating"? )

Honestly.... LaughLaughLaugh
Report FINE AS FROG HAIR October 28, 2011 12:42 AM BST
I would defy anybody to read through all the posts on this forum and come up with any firm conclusions as to how or how not to trade these current highly volatile markets.
Menalaus explains how he thinks they are being highly Govt. manipulated, but really never offers any solutions as to how to benefit from this supposed fact.
I doubt in fact whether he has any solutions in fact. Why should he? Nobody else in the City or on Wall St. seems to be raking it in on a consistent basis.
Is there even one hedge fund out there doing amazingly well at the moment ?
I would think it's batten down the hatches time for most prudent investors, and conversely fill your boots time for imprudent speculators.
You just have to decide what you are .
Report PierreLaRogue October 28, 2011 8:41 AM BST
Exactly FAFH, anywon could post what he posts its common knowledge, this is one of the biggest 1 month rallies in 30 yrs, I was in it early but then i shorted it early too, which was my mistake and I learn from these mistakes.
Report polybot October 28, 2011 9:50 AM BST
polybot • August 10, 2011 3:42 PM BST
Aapl still well priced at 360, but like i say, i already own a ton at lower levels, will probably add to option positions to trade though. Should be on its way to to 430 by october unless the wider market is derailed by pre election politics.

went to 420 in OE week, close enough. Locked in a decent profit just prior earnings, took a risk on the remaining OCT options so took a haircut on the itms and let the rest expire worthless. Very pleased with this months returns, especially considering all the bad news.
with proceeds added to cash position, added to aapl options (in post earnings fall), added to dividend stocks.
Report Menelaus October 28, 2011 7:58 PM BST
"what he posts its common knowledge"

Well, if you already knew what I posted (common knowledge as you say) that the market was pricing in inflation from expected central bank monetization schemes and you were short, and still stayed short, you are either a complete idiot or have suicidal tendencies. You need to decide.

My guess, you are just another of the many small traders who are overwhelmed by the complexity and speed of these unfolding and unprecedented events, and with just enough knowledge of the markets to make you a danger to your own trading account. What's worse is that your bruised and battered ego doesn't allow you to open up your mind and ask for input in understanding what's really going on. You'll wake up and see the light one day, I just hope you are still solvent by then.
Report FINE AS FROG HAIR October 28, 2011 8:35 PM BST
I think also that most large traders are also overwhelmed by the speed and complexity of these markets .
Menelaus is right in emphasising that this is not the time for semi-professionals to be in the mkt. Far too dangerous a risk to be completely wiped out.
Report Randle October 29, 2011 6:39 PM BST
I think it was a sucker's rally

beneath the surface the deterioration continues
Report jackdaw3 October 31, 2011 9:13 PM GMT
Froghair where ya been?
Report PierreLaRogue November 3, 2011 2:17 AM GMT
Yet again i am proved correct by the markets, and melenanus is shown up to be the burger flipper he is, lunatic rally , a rally that went beyond any sane thinking, how you going to spin it now burger flipper? you're a moron of epic proportions, the markets have dropped 5-10% since i posted this you clown.
Report Mrben November 3, 2011 2:26 AM GMT

pieere- can you believe that melly moron is STILL trying to justify his lunatic posts? What a ****.

The next buck that turkey makes will be the one the salvation army gives him.
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