TOTGA

In "General Betting" somebody asked whether these odds stood up to scrutiny: http://www.infowars.com/articles/London_attack/probability_drill_attack_coinciding.htm Of course they don't. I answered as follows: "They say you can prove anything with statistics, but to be honest you can badly attempt to disprove more through a poor understanding of probabilities... "Coincidence" and in particular "amazing coincidence" is normally better understood as a manifestation of confirmation bias. Our brains are hard-wired to spot patterns and to remark at as being unusual when patterns we weren't expecting emerge. We see patterns where there aren't any. We scream about patterns we "see" that are nonsense, because that's evolution and defence mechanisms at work. Confirmation bias explains...