TimeformBlog

Neil Munro discusses a few more horses whose in-running price movements we should take note of.


One of the reasons that we all love horse racing is because it divides opinion. We all think we are right and that forms the basis of how the exchange model works on Betfair. I believe that a horse will win and someone else opposes that view. Simples, as they say. But this does lead to controversy at times and we have seen it recently with plenty of debate over how Get Me Out Of Here has been ridden. For me, everyone is allowed an opinion but I only trust one person, and that person is me. What I see with my own eyes is what I care about, not what I read or hear.

Get Me Out Of Here - Anyone who remembers Jonjo O'Neill's six year old gelding chasing Menorah all the way to the line in the Supreme Novices Hurdle earlier this year will have been surprised by what they have seen on his two runs this season. And that includes me. His seasonal reappearance at Ascot was the first time he had experienced going right handed but that didn't seem to trouble him, he just didn't see out his comeback run fully to the line. Connections then sent him to Cheltenham and we saw the same in-running pattern as he travelled well enough. But when asked the question, he faded very quickly. The jury has to be out on Get Me Out Of Here until we know whether it is early season fitness or maybe a breathing issue that is stopping him from seeing the race out to the finish. For me, he is worth monitoring closely but I will be backing him for small stakes pre-race and then looking to lay out the stake and more at lower odds during the race.

Tara Royal - This is a reminder, as I spoke about the strong travelling gelding earlier in the year. Tara Royal has been consistent in how he runs his races, whether jumping hurdles or over the bigger obstacles, in that he always seems to travel supremely well, but for whatever reason he doesn't always finish off his races. In eight defeats under rules he has traded odds-on in the run five times including touching 1.51, 1.36, 1.11 and 1.10. He's your classic case of a horse worth backing pre-race and worth laying in-running.

Sonny Mullen - Kim Bailey isn't quite the force of old but he is still one of those trainers whose yard I like to keep an eye on and Sonny Mullen has come on to the in-running radar. The six year old looks to me like the type of horse who will enjoy extreme trips and loves a bit of cut in the ground. Sounds like a proper old fashioned National Hunt horse doesn't he? He does tend to appear one-paced at times, which means over extreme distances you have a chance to get a bigger price in the run. But he has also traded low at times in defeat so for me he is also worth putting in a lay offer at around 3.50 (if price allows) to get my stake back.

Autumn Blades - Another horse that I have spoken about before but I make no apology in giving you all a reminder about this real character of the all-weather circuit. Yes he has won three times on turf, including a surprise win in May over a mile at Chester when returning 25/1, but overall his record is superior on the artificial surfaces with six wins. Despite him being "quirky". I know he likes to be held up and then has to be delivered late but sometimes he doesn't put it all in at the business end. This is backed up by his in-running CV where he has nine trades at odds-on in defeat and traded higher in the run when winning in eight of his nine wins.


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