Starting a little blog.
I've created a spreadsheet on excel that 'tries' to predict the number of goals in a game and the risk of a 0-0. From this I will be backing a goal on the Over 0.5 market, or laying the 0-0 (the same result on each) on selective games to see how far I can get.
My start bank is £10 and I started this last week, here is my record so far
No. Game Stake Odds New Balance Profit Result
1 Emmen vs Telstar £10.23 1.05 £10.72 £0.49 0-2
2 Fulham vs Chelsea £10.72 1.08 £11.54 £0.82 1-1
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf vs FSV Frankfurt £11.54 1.05 £12.09 £0.55 1-0
4 Mainz vs FC Koln £12.09 1.05 £12.66 £0.57 4-0
5 Rochdale vs Sheff United £12.66 1.06 £13.48 £0.82 2-5
6 Blackburn vs Liverpool £13.48 1.08 £14.51 £1.03 2-3
7 1860 Munich vs Duisburg £14.51 1.07 £15.54 £1.03 2-1
8 Wigan vs Man Utd £15.54 1.06 £16.42 £0.88 0-1
9 Young Lions vs Geylang United £16.42 1.05 £17.20 £0.78 0-2
10 Elfsborg vs Norrkoping £17.20 1.07
11 Ado Den Haag vs Groningen
Increased my bank my 70% so far and I have two games for this afternoon.
I will split my bank at £30 into two £15 banks and repeat, this way if I find a 0-0 it won't wipe me out completely- that is if I make it to £30!
So far 9 winning predictions
Over 1.5 would win on 7 out of the 9
Over 2.5 would win on 4 out of the 9
Over 3.5 would win on 3 out of the 9
Over 4.5 would win on 2 out of the 9
Over 5.5 would win on 1 out of the 9
Over 6.5 would win on 1 out of the 9