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Date Joined: 20 Jun 05
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The Perfect Soccer Betting System
Current Bank: $1030,29 (+ 420,35%)
Start Bank: $198,00

Mr. Kelly's Bank: $112,39 (+ 461,95%)
Mr.Kelly's Start Bank: $20,00


A milestone day yesterday. 2 bets, 2 wins and a profit of $60,74 (+6,4%), driving my bank into 4 digits for the first time. A new all-time high, and I'm currently riding a hot streak of 11 straight winners.
Couldn't be better...all I need now is some Florida sunshine!

My lays yesterday were:
Runner    Stake    Odds    Liability    Result
Juarla    $25,20    1,94    $23,69            $25,20
Magical Star    $35,54    1,52    $18,48    $35,54


Mr. Kelly is also smiling. He went 5/6 yesterday, a profit of $32,11 (+39,9%) hitting an all-time high of $114,37 before falling back to $112,39. (Notice also that Mr.Kelly's percentage cumulative profit of 461,95% growth has now passed my growth percentage of 420,35% for the first time.)

Again, who was the winner? I won $60,74 and Mr. Kelly won $32,11, but in percentage of bankroll, Mr.Kelly won 39,9% to 6,5%. Which is more important? To a Kelly Staker it is clear -- Mr.Kelly crushed me. All that really matters in the long-term is the percentage of bank growth, and you can clearly see the advantage that a full-Kelly staker enjoys over a half-Kelly staker.
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In my case, for example, the difference between using level-stakes, half-Kelly and full-Kelly stakes has been dramatic:

Bets: 175
Wins: 119
Losses: 56
Points Profit at Level Stakes: + 37,85

Hypothetical Level Stakes Profit (using $4 stakes) : $151,40
Actual half-Kelly stakes profit: $461,89
Hypothetical full-Kelly stakes profit: $923,78

There you go, ladies and gentlemen, the figures are clear. OK, you will do just fine at level stakes...$151 profit is great, better than a loss, some would say...but wait, look at how far you would be behind TheSnapper (half-Kelly stakes) at $461 and Mr.Kelly (full Kelly stakes) $923,78... for THE VERY SAME BETS!

So, if you are struggling in your betting, you need to look again at 2 things: 1) your edge and 2) your stakes, because, as the song goes..."Nothing else matters...", 

Money for nothing, my friends...




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