Chicago lead the series 2-1. The hawks fell apart in game 3 unable to equal chicagos workrate and effort. The bulls point guard derrick rose who is the leagues youngest mvp hit a career high 44 points. Unless the hawks can stop him its game over. Probably the way they will try to stop him is by professional fouls and getting physical. i can see them getting frustrated in this game so am going for a chicago win.
So the game starts in 15 minutes and is typical of the last minute betting I find myself in. Not really enough time to check out all the stats and form. I want to bet on lakers but they are currently 3-0 down in the series and no team in nba history has ever recovered to win from that position. I see the mavericks finising the lakers here and taking the series 4-0.
People often say its not worth betting on an event if its at low odds because the strike rate needed to be profitable is to high. However for me although I look for quality bets I also am happy to bet at low odds seemingly not offering any value.
I aim to reach a point where my betting skills are such that I can just sit down and rattle off a quick sequence of 50-100 winning bets or more any time at any odds and in any event. For me its not about odds its about picking winning bets because if you start from a small bank and your strike rate and betting is that good you will be in proft.
£2.00 placed on odds 1.2 in 30 bets you will have over £474 going allin
£10 placed on odds 1.2 in 30 bets you will have over £2300 going allin
the secret therefore is to reach a point where you can complete a sequence like this as if it was the easiest thing in the world. Then to go further and maybe complete 50 or 100 bets.
When you get good at picking winners the odds dont matter.
Mixed bag of results yesterday with bolton and tottenham losing. Anyway at least swansea won. A quick last minute bet tonight on barcelona to beat espanyol. Another bet on fc porto to beat pacos. Another bet now on the sporting lisboa v vitoria match. Sporting have won 5 out of the last 6 meetings between the two. Away from home also vitoria have not won in 6.
Good to see barelona beat espanyol 2-0 now just waiting for the other results to come good.
sporting win
fc porto win
Oh and im not aftertiming in case your wondering why the blog post time is after the match has finished. Its because I keep editing my post as I find further bets through the night. Otherwise I would have loads of threads for every single bet.
Been trying a few challenges lately but today back to a sensible approach to betting. A few football bets today starting with Tottenham. There is a massive difference in class and blackpool away from home are not that strong so i predict a tottenham win here. Bolton at home to sunderland I predict a bolton win. Sunderland are one of the worst teams in the league over the last 10 games. Bolton have lost their last 2 but won their last 5 home games. sunderland are full of injuries and have no strikers winning only 1 of their last 11 games. Swansea v sheff utd. I predict a swansea win. Sheff utd are relegated to the 1st division and swansea are in a playoff place with a premiership spot up for grabs. Utd have nothing to play for and swansea all to play for. Swansea have won their last 2.
Ive tried many systems over the years with some success and some not. This blog will be just a way for me to keep a track of my bets and trades and anything else I want to share. I trade mainly football, horse racing and tennis.