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US Open Men's Final 2025: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz

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Replies: 178
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 22:51
Isn't it $6m to the winner of the King's Slam!
By:
edy
When: 07 Sep 25 22:52
Yes
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 22:52

Sep 7, 2025 -- 10:51PM, edy wrote:


At least Canada and Cincy are only three weeks combined. Not four weeks like IW&Miami and Madrid&Rome.


In theory this makes it sound better, in practice it might be even worse in terms of getting players to play, because it's the IW/Miami schedule condensed to 3 weeks.

By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 22:53
The schedule this year is madness where R1 of Cincy is like same day as Canada Finals, who on earth is going to want to play like 12 matches in about 15 days that close to USO? No-one.
By:
edy
When: 07 Sep 25 22:54
I think it's mostly conditions that work against Canada and Cincy. IW and Miami are nice and chill. Maybe a bit too windy at times, but mostly comfortable. Especially Cincy is almost always uncomfortable conditions.
By:
edy
When: 07 Sep 25 22:55
Players didn't really like and play full-throttle in Cincy in prior years either.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 07 Sep 25 22:56
you mean the tanked because they had a wedding to attend?
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 22:57
Yes, but that was before Ben Navarro's super new upgrades making it all nice for the players. Cincy was seen as one of the worst Master 1000s for facilities in the past, no longer the case.
By:
edy
When: 07 Sep 25 22:57
The magic of a paintjob and some flowers.
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:01
$260m gets you some real nice paint.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 07 Sep 25 23:02

Sep 7, 2025 -- 10:44PM, n88uk wrote:


Lol I forgot about the no minors crap in the Australian markets :)


If a minor reaches the final, then all bets on this market will be voided. This market will be suspended at the point it is known that a minor will be in the final.

yeah this is so muggy. So if I bet Sabalenka to win the whole event and she wins the event by beating Hannah Klugman in the final, my Sabalenka bet is voided Laugh

By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:03
It's 17 and under right minor, not 18.
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:03
I still remember this year when all the markets at AO involving minors were suspended for ages and we weren't sure if they'd settle them (but they did in the end).
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 07 Sep 25 23:03
For the purposes of this market, a minor is anyone under the age of 18 at the beginning of the first match of the Main Draw of the tournament.
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:04
I'm not really aware of many 17 year olds likely to do anything, there's a few 18, I had to check on Jovic, but she turns 18 in December.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 07 Sep 25 23:04
anyway, there's a proper market so we don't need to get involved with this muggy market.
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:05
This year you had Andreeva about 5th fav outright and a minor :).
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 07 Sep 25 23:06
yeah, no threats amongst the 2008 born and younger for the upcoming AO.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 07 Sep 25 23:07
unless Mirra draws Emerson Jones and Emerson gets such confidence from beating Mirra that she goes all the way to the final.
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:08
As far as I can see they highest ranked player who will be under 18 at AO is Emerson Jones who will get a WC, beyond that, I can't see anyone qualifying, not even sure the others will even be ranked high enough to make qualifying.
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:09
Same for men, so there's only going to be 1 minor in the entire draw unless Australia have any others to give WC's to.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 07 Sep 25 23:13
They might give Sonobe something given it's the Pacific Slam.
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:21
Medvedev might win another match at a slam then.
By:
edy
When: 07 Sep 25 23:23
Don't think Sonobe can compete in the men.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 07 Sep 25 23:23
Excited
By:
mesmerised
When: 07 Sep 25 23:27
Speaking of Medvedev, when Sinner was close to being bageled, it reminded me of the last time he was bagled, and it was to MedHead back in 2021 at the tour finals, near 4 years, had to look up the last time GOATcaraz was bageled, that was against Tsitsipas Aug 2021

think it's safe to say we've seen the last time both will ever have been bageled.

You could clearly see tonight that Jannick was playing the man and not the ball, making early double faults, low 1st serve % and silly unforced errors he normally wouldn't make. He has psychological problems with Carlos, a bit like Federer did with Nadal for so long when their h2h ended up being very lopsided for a long while, something like 20-9 before Fed went of a winning run by getting him on a load of hard courts and then Rafa complaining he wasn't playing enough clay events anymore Laugh sneaky fed
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 07 Sep 25 23:29
Will the Djokovic diehards start to target Alcaraz soon as he will now be seen as the bigger threat to overtake their hero's slam count? They've been very mad at Sinner lately.
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:29
Sinner served very poorly, which is the reverse of what happened at Wimbledon where Alcaraz served very poorly, Sinner was under 50% 1st serves in for the match, very hard to beat Alcaraz with that number alone.
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:32
The Djoko diehards already switched once, they were initially on the Alcaraz is overhyped train. I'm old enough to remember PavyG claiming Rune would win more than Alcaraz and wondering why he didn't get the media attention Alcaraz did. They switched heavily after Sinner started owning Djokovic, his drugs ban, Alcaraz gifting Djokovic a few wins, and being the only realistic player to stop Sinner.

I suspect many will just become Alcaraz fans, because they're too far down the anti-Sinner path now, which is annoying because these people are annoying.
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:35
Really if your concern is Djoko's records as it will be from their pov, they need a 3rd guy badly. Cos so currently Alcaraz/Sinner are on 6/4. But it's easily conceivable that they could win about 90% of the slams over next 5 years, in fact if anything on the face of it it looks probable, and they will still be in their 20s in 5 years time.
By:
edy
When: 07 Sep 25 23:39
Caramba, is your flag Erika Andreeva pregnant?
By:
mesmerised
When: 07 Sep 25 23:40
Whilst Novak has done well to reach all 4 semi's this year, let's be honest, apart from Carlos in Oz, he's beaten a load of mugs, he was sub 1.4 to win the first four rounds at all 4 slams, it's more a damning indicment on the rest of the field even prime Zverev couldn't knock him out at Roland Garros.

It's literally mission impossible for him to beat Sinner or Alcaraz in the best of 5 now, let alone back to back, it's the modern day equivilent of doing that back to back against 2 of the big 3 in their prime, and how many times did that happen, can only remember Berdych doing at Wimbledon 2010 the losing to Nadal in the final, course we all know outside of slams about one of the greatest runs of all time, Nadalbandian 2007 Madrid Masters, even then, it's too hard to see Novak beaten them back to back in a masters at his age.
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:40
They're already setting records in terms of you've never had the same slam final played 3 times in a year. Honestly expect it to be at least 3 again next year, the only real thing stopping these finals seems to be injury. I'm not sure we've ever seen a gulf this wide between the top players and the rest and it's all happened so quickly relatively in a few years.
By:
n88uk
When: 07 Sep 25 23:41
That's the point though mes, the rest of the field are mugs. Djokovic has beaten a number of guys who are meant to be the next guys this year, Zverev, Fritz, these are the next best players.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 07 Sep 25 23:42

Sep 7, 2025 -- 11:39PM, edy wrote:


Caramba, is your flag Erika Andreeva pregnant?


Confused

By:
edy
When: 07 Sep 25 23:42
A young Djokovic beat #3 Murray, #2 Nadal and #1 Federer in QF, SF and F of 2007 Cincy.
By:
mesmerised
When: 07 Sep 25 23:42
yeah, the gulf is the biggest I've ever seen between the best and the rest, said early outside hope Fonseca may come into it, or he may be another hype job.
By:
edy
When: 07 Sep 25 23:43

Sep 7, 2025 -- 11:42PM, TheCarambaExperience wrote:


Sep  7, 2025 -- 11:39PM, edy wrote:Caramba, is your flag Erika Andreeva pregnant?


https://www.instagram.com/p/DOMDgosijpP/

By:
edy
When: 07 Sep 25 23:43
Sorry, was Canada 2007.
By:
mesmerised
When: 07 Sep 25 23:45
Novak doesn't count as he's a big 3 player, or became one
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