Tennis
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would like to ask for genuine advice on a bet , I have an acca that will pay £4k if Madison Keys win the final set tomorrow
She started at 1/10 and looked like winnings in straight sets. I have been offered £2700 !!!
Who thinks I should cash out , seems stingy to me she is 3/10 to win now
She started at 1/10 and looked like winnings in straight sets. I have been offered £2700 !!!
Who thinks I should cash out , seems stingy to me she is 3/10 to win now
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Replies: 11
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depends how much the money means to you
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a fresh madison keys tho should win the final set
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if ur asking purely from a mathematical standpoint then yeh its not good value to cashout
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what was your initial stake for the acca?
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£500 stake , 3 horses, 10 tennis, would hate to come away with nothing , but annoying to lose £1300 for a 1-10 shot, but she should win,
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right. firstly, I think Keys will win the 3rd tomorrow pretty comfortably.
However, this isn't guaranteed. So let's do a little stake preservation plus a little bit on top. Keys is currently 1.31 to lay on the exchange. Lay Keys for £1,000, £310 liability. If Keys wins tomorrow, you win your 4k acca minus £310 = £3,690 If Keys loses tomorrow, you win your lay so will have 1k minus commission profit from that. That covers your initial £500 stake and on top of that it's still about £450 profit. good luck whatever you decide to do. |
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Another option of course is to lay Keys for 3k at 1.31, £930 liability. If Keys wins, you return 4k mins £930 = £3,070. If Keys loses, your lay wins and returns 3k minus comms so around £2,850
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just saw keys won, nice
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hope things worked out well for you here. Keys won as expected
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I'm old fashioned , a bet is a bet and havent really used CASH OUT, so happy days got the full £4k, but thanks for advice and well wishes
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well yes, I would have just let a bet like that run. but you were asking for advice!! glad it all turned out well
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