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past
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Osty will be in the SF's at least trust.
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What if she's drawn into the group with her nemesis?
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Who are they though?
Pairings are: Halep/Muguruza Pliskova/Svitolina Venus/Wozniacki Ostapenko/Garcia First pair is tough, especially if Muguruza is fit, others just look Osty food. |
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Did you just say Ostapenko is a cannibal?
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More of a herbivore I would say the way she cannibalises fields.
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how many 3-setters for Ostapenko at the YEC?
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3.
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Are any remotely good players in Moscow btw?
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Does Sharapova still count as remotely good?
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Will she really jet from Tianjin on Sunday/Monday to play again early in Moscow?
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Osty just needs to draw Svitolina and Woz. She will pulverise these two. Though Svitolina could lead to 3 2-1 situ's, and Osty bound to have shit tiebreaks going 3 sets every match.
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Confirmed today she will play Moscow.
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I see
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Can anyone stop Sabalenka winning Tianjin?
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yes, Errani, Sharapova and Peng.
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Sabalenka vs Sharapova final will be cool.
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What about an Errani vs. Peng final?
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Errani won't beat big Aryna.
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I think Sabalenka has been solidly in the 1.6s this week against opponents ranked 80 and 200 alike.
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Maybe it's the Osty vibe. Osty is above 1.4 vs like any old mug. But will still be like sub 2.5 vs the best players in the world.
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Would you enjoy your time betting on Ostapenko at 1.1 against even the worst ol' mug?
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I'm guessing the prices aren't right though. Ostapenko is one of the most profitable players the last 52 weeks according to Matchstat.
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And unlike most players at the top of those things it's not on basis of winning a match as a 50s shot.
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How much mugging has Osty actually done realistically. If you started from Charleston, she had very few bad actual losses.
Lepchenko and Krunic and that's about it. She lost to Kris Plis too in Prague, but she'd played 3 matches in 2 days before this and it was a schedule screw job. Kasatkina x2 CoCo Muguruza Konta Venus Barty Halep So she's not losing as many matches as fav as you think. |
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7 matches lost as fav in 2017.
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She doesn't have bad losses. She just mugs around so much against basically any kind of opponent, but often comes through somehow in the end.
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The entire forum calls her Ostap3nko for a reason.
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Yet that might be what tricks the odds. Because on the numbers I would guess she is too big in these matches. Any time she starts winning matches she will be profitable even over the shortest periods, it's only if she's losing like every match is she not profitable.
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Whereas the likes of Pliskova and Muguruza have poor records vs the prices because they are priced up like 1.17 to beat a player Osty is like 1.5 against.
In fact Pliskova was like 1.2 vs Cirstea then Osty was 1.61 vs her the next round like 2 weeks ago. |
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Muguruza was 1.4x vs all of Ostapenko, Wozniacki, Kvitova in like the past 6 weeks.
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Pliskova was even 1.2 - 1.3 against Ostapenko before that now infamous match at the Australian Open. Can you believe it?
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There's no doubt Muguruza is good, especially when she's trying, but the market loves her so much since the summer that you're gonna struggle to make any money out of her when she's hardly the pinnacle of consistency at the same time.
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That was deserved at the time though Edy.
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In fact Pliskova was like 1.2 vs Cirstea then Osty was 1.61 vs her the next round like 2 weeks ago.
and ostapenko had brushed Cirstea away easily just a few weeks prior to that. |
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I thought she was shorter than that too.
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maybe she was. Just going by MS, which isn't always accurate.
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replace always with never
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Pliskova's prices just seem bad. She's been having bad losses for ages, and she's super short all the time.
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It's that serve she has.
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