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Tennis

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Raonic v Kyrgios

sexycystever

02 Jul 14 05:14

Joined:

Date Joined: 21 Aug 11

| Topic/replies: 239 | Blogger: sexycystever's blog

Raonic is ~ 1.52 in the match.

Normally this means all other things equal his outright odds will drop by 20/1.52 =13.15....
so landing at 13 or 14, if he beats Kyrgios.
I'm using the idea that if you back Raonic for €10 the first round and reinvest winnings each round , that this is the same as backing outright 10€ at the start.
Obviously odds are influenced by if a favorite goes out or Raonic struggles in 5 sets or wins 6-0, 6-0, 6-0
Tons of variables.

My question is how can Raonic outright be the same odds as Krygios to win Wimbeldon outright? You could say they are equally likely to win it but then their match odds should be in the 1.85-2.15 range each.
Rather than 1.52 saying Raonic is gonna win 66% of the time.

I suspect both markets are mispriced but not going to put the house on it.

Pause • Switch to Standard View Raonic v Kyrgios

Report stu • July 2, 2014 7:37 AM BST

Krgios may be underpriced in the tournament market IMO, as he will struggle with stamina after his previous games now. I think Raonic should take care of him today, given relative freshness. They also played recently (this year) and was straight sets Raonic.

Report appformat • July 2, 2014 10:41 AM BST

Kyrgios wins today

Report betfairchat • July 2, 2014 11:02 AM BST

KYRGIOS for me first player to excite me long time yersterday never looked like loosing to Nadal when ahead and he is just as ferocious in serve and return and grass 11 straight victories for a teen with over 100aces at wimbledon. Stanima wont be an issue only if in the nadal victory zone still but he looks level headed to me. close yes but all on Kyrgios

Report bb66 • July 2, 2014 11:10 AM BST

market giving Kyrgios a much better chance of doing a Becker-like run if he survives today than Raonic beating Fed/Wawa and Djoker/Murray. Same was 2012 after Rosol bt Nadull, was a dog vs Kohli (2.5 iirc) and much lower outright (more than half the odds); Kohli won

Report therhino • July 2, 2014 11:17 AM BST

Reminds of when the Scud made a name for himself beating Sampras at the Oz Open. Lost his next match to Mark Woodforde. Will be hard for the kid to back up after that but gee have we discovered a talent. And, he's an Ozzie

Report bb66 • July 2, 2014 11:20 AM BST

BigMac giving him a chance to do a Becker

Report betfairchat • July 2, 2014 11:34 AM BST

no one off this kid will be a big star

Report stu • July 2, 2014 12:02 PM BST

will be a big star - but a 5-setter followed by that brutal match v Nadal, got to take some toll facing the Raonic serving.

Report stu • July 2, 2014 12:03 PM BST

if he'd had another day off may have had more chance.

Report stu • July 2, 2014 12:20 PM BST

Price crashing in on Raonic - wondering if some know Kyrgios is feeling the effects

Report appformat • July 2, 2014 12:50 PM BST

yes Kyrgios now 3.7, after being 2.9 earlier today....
someone knows something..

Report Platini • July 2, 2014 1:20 PM BST

I expect he can and should beat Raonic today, and maybe he'll have a chance v an ageing Fed in the semi, but that's as good as it gets. He ain't no Becker.

Becker would not have scraped past Gasquet in 5 sets.

Murray would eat that serve for breakfast, then p1ss all over his game.

Report therhino • July 2, 2014 1:55 PM BST

Murray has bigger fish to fry right now

Report therhino • July 2, 2014 1:55 PM BST

He will be Scottish again in an hour or so at this rate

Report Platini • July 2, 2014 1:57 PM BST

no surprises there, he always gets into a battle before the semis

Report SecondComing • July 2, 2014 2:46 PM BST

Jul 2, 2014 -- 7:20AM, Platini wrote:

I expect he can and should beat Raonic today, and maybe he'll have a chance v an ageing Fed in the semi, but that's as good as it gets. He ain't no Becker.Becker would not have scraped past Gasquet in 5 sets.Murray would eat that serve for breakfast, then p1ss all over his game.

are you taking the piss? how much you had to drink?

his serve was what won him the match against Nadal, if I had to choose which player I don't want returning my serve.. it wouldn't be Andy ****g Murray