Tennis
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I'm going to tell you my picks for Dussledorf, and you should tell me yours.
Match 1 - Juan Monaco vs Tobias Kamke
Clay record
Monaco: 14 wins, 8 losses.
Kamke: 4 wins, 6 losses.
Last 25 matches:
Monaco: Winning .50 of serves, winning .56 of returns.
Kamke: Winning .48 of serves. winning .33 of returns.
Head to head:
Monaco: 3 wins (2 of which were on clay during the last 12 months)
Kamke: 0 wins
They've never gone to 3 sets
This is pretty clear-cut because Kamke is just not of the same class. Monaco was 1.33, when I got him, implying .75 winning chances. I put him in the .85->.9 range, here. Even the motivation, I feel, is there for Monaco. Although he is a noted clay-court player, and the French will be his best slam, he should feel that he has a better chance here, with the barely talented field now that Tipsarevic and Kohlschreiber have pulled out. I wouldn't buy him for any less than 1.20 though.
How do you guys feel about this match?
I will make my next pick before Pella-Troicki starts.
Match 1 - Juan Monaco vs Tobias Kamke
Clay record
Monaco: 14 wins, 8 losses.
Kamke: 4 wins, 6 losses.
Last 25 matches:
Monaco: Winning .50 of serves, winning .56 of returns.
Kamke: Winning .48 of serves. winning .33 of returns.
Head to head:
Monaco: 3 wins (2 of which were on clay during the last 12 months)
Kamke: 0 wins
They've never gone to 3 sets
This is pretty clear-cut because Kamke is just not of the same class. Monaco was 1.33, when I got him, implying .75 winning chances. I put him in the .85->.9 range, here. Even the motivation, I feel, is there for Monaco. Although he is a noted clay-court player, and the French will be his best slam, he should feel that he has a better chance here, with the barely talented field now that Tipsarevic and Kohlschreiber have pulled out. I wouldn't buy him for any less than 1.20 though.
How do you guys feel about this match?
I will make my next pick before Pella-Troicki starts.
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Replies: 124
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I agree with you, Monaco the favourite here, Kamke should not stand a chance.
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i feel that i wanna lay monaco
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yeah, im not betting on it yet
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Go Kamke!
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come on, 15-40!
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The second serves hurt Monaco yesterday, although he was able to come through. Hopefully that DF right now isn't cause for concern.
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damn, wasted chance
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1. nadal
2. ferrer 3. almagro 4. robredo 5. monaco 6. federer 7. davydenko by wins on clay in career |
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looks like monaco is not tanking today :)
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by number
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kamke is trying hard but have no chances today
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I like that as a stat but it has potential to be a misleading performance indicator. I wonder if Robredo and Davydenko are enjoying their spots in there due to their extra few years in the league.
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and fed also
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Monaco having his worst game of the match so far.
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Kamke re
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but he will be broken back soon
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good price on pella
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did kamke killed anyone with this ball abuse?
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i heard screams: 'man down, man down! call ambulance!'
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kamke break
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Pella vs Troicki
This one is going to be a poor, unpredictable match. Last 10 matches: Pella: Winning .60 of serves, Winning .24 of returns. Troicki: Winning .60 of serves, winning .31 of returns. 2013 Clay record: 4 wins, 7 losses (Average opponent rank: 127) 7 wins, 5 losses. (Average opponent rank: 50) Ok, so I'm in two minds about this one. Firstly, the big gap in their rankings and the rankings of their average opponents makes me feel like leaning towards Troicki. 1.55 gives him a .66 chance of winning, and maybe he's a .7. Maybe not. Very unclear. On the other hand, dear lord, look at those return rates. With those in mind, my other idea is to Back Pella at his current 2.86, and effectively predict a tiebreaker, laying him when he gets to maybe 2.30. I'll go with the former! Backing Troicki at 1.53! |
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What do you guys think about this match?
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Troicki is a mug, but so is Pella. My money is on Troicki
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probably 3 sets
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pella for me
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im waiting the first 4 games
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then i decide
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Please tell me I don't have to sit through the doubles to get to this game.
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you don't have to sit through the doubles to get to this game.
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:D
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http://www.atpworldtour.com/scores/schedule.aspx?year=2013&eventid=6710
As a viewer, I'd really like for the singles to all be on center court 1 and the doubles to all be on center court two. But I guess it makes sense from their point of view to split the crowds. |
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Really torn about whether to enjoy the Troicki game or do research for Hajek-Sijling. About forty minutes until the coin toss over there.
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Serve points won after 3 games:
Pella - .22 Troicki - .20 |
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crazy point by Pellafella
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what do you think of querrey vs vaseline?
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I'm not too sure about that one. My gut tells me Querrey might have a rough time. His record on clay recently has been poor right? But that is without looking at any stats or watching the match, so I'm not to be trusted.
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Back here, not looking auspicious for Troicki. Too many UEs, too many second serves. It's like he hasn't even turned up today. The only way I'm winning this bet is if a) he lifts his form b) I get very very lucky
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he just gave away 3bps at 0-40
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