Tommy Robredo vs Kevin Anderson

why he shouldnt be? kev was 1.8 pre match and serving .breaking oppportunity for robredo end of the set

there is no such thing

yeah

only numbers

this 3rd set will be a mental battle

0-0 Robredo favourite
15-15 Anderson favourite

u should really watch "pi"

great film

never know why the receiving player gets the benefit of the doubt in terms of odds in that situation.

so called momentum is human nature part of statistic battle

because he can break,and will win the set

Apr 14, 2013 -- 5:28PM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:

never know why the receiving player gets the benefit of the doubt in terms of odds in that situation.

why dont you take advantage of it? since you disagree with it and you believe odds should go in a certain way, exploit the error and make £££

has enough silly debates on here today. Go check the stats they disprove the theory you refer to.

same as you saing that before tiebreak in for example 3rd set player should be pre match odds like 1.1 for example

and you making crucial mistake. player who is 1.1 pre match is not winning 90 of the 100 points in the match ,does he?

andersons UE's may pave the way to him losing today. unless he reduces these silly errors where there is no need to make them he will find it difficult to win

Wow big money on Robredo here.

30 ticks a point

andersen lucky that poor judgement never cost him

he makes up for it with big forehands on every other shot

again. silyl silly silly errors. sort it out!

omfg

Apr 14, 2013 -- 5:27PM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:

0-0 Robredo favourite15-15 Anderson favourite

15-15 is a slightly more advantageous situation for the receiver than 0-0. 

(I'm assuming the game to which you refer was Robredo's service game.)

whole green on robredo. not lucky recently anyways

why is it?

why is it not a slightly more advantageous situation for the server?

he would have been on 30-40 by now. could have easily broke this game

anderson is very very very nervous. expect him to crack in the late stages of the set if it stays this way with robredo pointing his nose out

Apr 14, 2013 -- 5:37PM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:

why is it not a slightly more advantageous situation for the server?

because in every game, the server has a higher chance of winning the game (due to the nature that he is serving, this is also backed up in statistics, rarely do players win more than 50% of return games)...being at 15-15 means that is being defied and the with concern to that game, the returner is doing better than he should, because it is 15-15, and not what it is expected to be (30-15) or (15-0)

I disagree with that theory. They are both a point closer to winning the game.

so therefore, the returner SO FAR has achieved 50% of the points in the game, not the usual return percetnage of games won (30% or so)

Apr 14, 2013 -- 5:37PM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:

why is it not a slightly more advantageous situation for the server?

The server is more likely to win any single point, so if the players are level on points at any point in a game then the receiver has outperformed the mean expectation of points won for them at that stage of the game.

20%-30%*

Apr 14, 2013 -- 5:42PM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:

I disagree with that theory. They are both a point closer to winning the game.

Yes, which favours the receiver. If games were first to 100 points, how many breaks would we see?

Apr 14, 2013 -- 5:42PM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:

I disagree with that theory. They are both a point closer to winning the game.

indeed, they are both closer to winnin the game, but the returner is not supposed to win the game as many times as the server, he is supposed to win 20%-30% of return games, sometimes even less...not 50%, by winning 1 of 2 points (15-15), he has won 50% of points while returning, going against the trend

Really surprised you don't see this SoA, when you pay so much attention to stats. Market movements always reflect it too.

returners are much more likely to break a server when it is duece, compared to when it is 0-0, even though they are both on equal points

robredo is very lucky with these 2nd serves

painting the lines

he set it up so well...then he does that

take the bp

NOW OR NEVER

all red, nice one Robredo.

always the bottler.

useless andersen

i think we can all agree that anderson is a rubbish pathetic bootleg version of tomas berdych

Im out of this crap. Onto something else to win it back now.

all my green on robby

stupid andersen should have won this match ages ago

Apr 14, 2013 -- 5:49PM, Footiefan111 wrote:

stupid andersen should have won this match ages ago

errors. he has beaten himself and i said it from the start. he has the skill to rape this tommy, but he also has the self destruction factor...self destruction it is for today. both of last games he should have broken to be fair

**** you boredo mug lucky mug

Apr 14, 2013 -- 5:50PM, RyanGiggs wrote:

**** you boredo mug lucky mug

it wasn't luck. robby is smart. he knows rallying will just make anderson commit the error. it worked

this could be MP

that's MP right there

mug

mug from 30-0 to 3040

he's finished. get on robby!!!!!!!!!

SoA terrible timing mate

this has to be one of the funniest chokes

kevin retarderson

i genuinely feel sorry for him because i like him, and he has the skill to win this and he actually should have won it but.... what a mug

stupid bastard misses the easiest shots andersen

robredo experience won't let this slip.GSM robby

free money guys. put your wife on 1.08...tweedy, put your husband love

how on earth anderson is in the final on clay jesus christ

Apr 14, 2013 -- 5:42PM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:

I disagree with that theory. They are both a point closer to winning the game.

yeas and therefore there is bigger chance for returner to break. if you had odds 1.1 on server, its not the case that returner wins only 10 % of the points   winning point stats are much closer then if only one point decides of the further score outcome there is more even chance to win for both players than say pre match. hope you understand

@ SoA's understanding of tennis trends/likelyhood of outcome/projects

projections*

stupid bastard that andersen

let's see what happens. i have a feeling it will go on

tell yo wot, im on fire today with predictions

I am gonna be ****g pissed off he loses to ****g Robredo to lose my an accy.

Apr 14, 2013 -- 5:56PM, AZ91 wrote:

free money guys. put your wife on 1.08...tweedy, put your husband love

He'll win. Anderson is a ****.

15-40 df

nice one

2 bp

LETS GO ANDY LETS GO

kev won't have the gumption to break here

idiot

has he forgotten how to break?

get in tommy

4 bp he missed

Apr 14, 2013 -- 6:02PM, smb360 wrote:

Apr 14, 2013 --  5:56PM, AZ91 wrote:free money guys. put your wife on 1.08...tweedy, put your husband love

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i think he should make the MUG list of ;[p

'anderson' is interchangeable with 'RyanGiggs'.

Apr 14, 2013 -- 6:05PM, AZ91 wrote:

i think he should make the MUG list of ;[p

He hasn't got the mugging pedigree yet.

dirty andersern

2013 - year of the old Tommys.

easy as predicted ,shame kvitova  went unlikely route today

Apr 14, 2013 -- 6:06PM, caramba wrote:

2013 - year of the old Tommys.

smb, this single performance has to account for a lump of mug credit

He will be on the radar but he's been lifeless all week tbh surprised he made the final, it's not the kind of situational mugging that earns you true fame

robredo celebration was hilarious

£40 double on Anderson and Man United.... AND IT'S GONE!!!

Apr 14, 2013 -- 6:06PM, ;[p wrote:

Apr 14, 2013 --  6:06PM, caramba wrote:2013 - year of the old Tommys.

Next:

THOMAS MUSTER

muster had his time 10/11 when he won two matches http://www.matchstat.com/index.php?ControllerName=Player&Id_Player=179&Name_...      lost only 24