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bb66
04 Jan 13 20:25
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Date Joined: 19 Jul 05
| Topic/replies: 12,724 | Blogger: bb66's blog
didn't see Davy play today, but making him fav for tomorrow surprises may, can some1 enlighten me?

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Replies: 145
By:
mac9999
When: 04 Jan 13 20:29
outplayed ferrer from start to finish
By:
mac9999
When: 04 Jan 13 20:29
outplayed ferrer from start to finish
By:
Vasek
When: 04 Jan 13 21:10
I saw him against Youzhny and today, was impressed with him, but the price is ridiculous and I think the amount of money there laying Davydenko 1.58-1.60 is telling the story.
By:
Supernando2010
When: 04 Jan 13 21:24
I agree this is all getting nearly too confident on Davydenko. To the point of danger.
By:
AZ91
When: 04 Jan 13 21:28
Gasquet is a slow bast*rd who doesn’t really run for much. his fitness is in question for me. who better to play to those weaknesses than donkey? jackass has amazing pace and great accuracy on shots as demonstrated today he had ferrer on the ropes. Unless Gasquet makes an early impression, I think Davy is just too explosive for him to handle
By:
The Bhoys
When: 04 Jan 13 21:34
only seen 2nd set today but he destroyed ferrer
By:
AZ91
When: 04 Jan 13 21:43
Ferrers game plan is forcing the opponent to make errors, ferrer doesn't lose to opponents smacking winners (with the exception of nadal feds and novak), his downfall was simply davydenkos power, pace and ability to accurately place his shots, someone with those strengths would crush anybody, even possibly the "big 4". Gasquet is too slow, and he creates too many sloppy UE's to keep up with the groundstrokes davy will execute (considering he hits the ball as cleanly and accurately as he did today and yesterday).
By:
Vasek
When: 04 Jan 13 21:43
AZ91 - good point, Gasquet can be sort of lazy and today he was way too passive, which was caused by Brands' good, aggressive play from big part. He will need to run even more and work harder. On the other hand, he came up with the goods when he needed to, which certainly boosts his self-belief.

I would expect Davydenko to be more around 1.70 than 1.60. At these prices I see value in Gasquet even if he may not win. It should be a lot closer. Not tempted for a pre-match trade as the majority of punters will back Davydenko based on his great play against Ferrer.
By:
AZ91
When: 04 Jan 13 21:45
Thanks Vasek, yeah, you've made a fair point too. My advice to anybody is to watch the first 2 service games of every player, to get a feel of their mentality and see who looks in better shape and who's on better form on the day to take lead.
By:
AZ91
When: 04 Jan 13 21:47
they have a very tight history. 3-2, and in no particular order of dominance either, it's not like either is on a run of wins against the other.
By:
fowler1
When: 04 Jan 13 22:00
Davy is yet to lose serve this week!! If he plays like today Gasquet has no chance
By:
StevoDevo
When: 04 Jan 13 22:01
I didn't see much of Davy last year but have seen his last two matches and he is striking the ball extremely well.

I've watched the Gasquet matches also, not nearly as impressive, very passive at times but looked ok when he did attack.

Gasquet, especially on his backhand likes to be given time to take his long swings and he is going to struggle with preparation if Davy continues his early ball, inside the base-line strokes.

May have to watch a couple of games before getting involved.
By:
;[p
When: 04 Jan 13 22:09
THE BIG QUESTION IS





what is the difference between price money winner gets to loser
By:
nofx
When: 04 Jan 13 22:24
not triple to runner up shirley?
By:
Vasek
When: 04 Jan 13 22:43
It all comes down to how accurate Davydenko can be tomorrow, that's the key attribute (now I discovered America, I know Laugh ) As StevoDevo pointed out, he can fire it back at the opponent taking the ball early after the bounce and if this works, then it's probable Gasquet will lose. Each day is different, though, and I'll watch the opening games to see if I get involved or not. However, if Gasquet goes up to 2.70 pre-match, then I'll back him before it starts.

;[p - not sure and didn't bother searching for it as I think motivation is the same for both players.
By:
xcggf
When: 05 Jan 13 09:13
Davy was outstanding yesterday... if he keep playing in the same level Gas has no chance IMO.
By:
xcggf
When: 05 Jan 13 09:18
and he was keepin all week wo lose a serve game. i see huge value on him
By:
swebih
When: 05 Jan 13 09:41
huge value Shocked
By:
Marin1977
When: 05 Jan 13 11:47
Silly price is silly. Davy can easily have a bad day and lose without much fight. When he was at his peak he was practically unplayable but not these days.
By:
maravilla
When: 05 Jan 13 11:59
If Davy plays like he did yesterday then Gas has no chance...Simple as that!
By:
swebih
When: 05 Jan 13 12:03
agree with Marin,no value
By:
jin_kazz
When: 05 Jan 13 12:04
gasquet, in 3 sets i think
By:
Marin1977
When: 05 Jan 13 13:44

Jan 5, 2013 -- 11:59AM, maravilla wrote:


If Davy plays like he did yesterday then Gas has no chance...Simple as that!


IF

By:
bunneh
When: 05 Jan 13 14:00
Laugh
By:
;[p
When: 05 Jan 13 14:04
iasked about price money because maybe match fixing will be preferable way to earn on this match with gasgay odds
By:
;[p
When: 05 Jan 13 14:04
for kolya
By:
BorisThe Blade
When: 05 Jan 13 14:08
If they both play the way they have been playing this week Gasquet will get annihilated. He stays way behind the baseline, gives the initiative to the opponents, and was bossed around and lucky to win against both Zemlja and Brands. Davy is a confidence type of player. When he is on, often goes all the way. When he is off, crumbles in the first few rounds. His record in finals (21-6 ATP only, 25-6 with challengers) is better than anyone's, including Fed, Nad, Djok. I actually think that 1.65-1.70 represents a good value for Davy given the circumstances and I will be backing him without trading out. Obviously, I will be watching them in-play and can change my mind if they are not playing as I expected, but for now I feel pretty confident in Davy's win.
By:
jin_kazz
When: 05 Jan 13 14:13
davy looked a bit tired at some moment in the 2nd set but then he began to play fast again

if gasquet can exhaust him then he wins

nothing can be taken for with gasman. he's a top player and he can up his level in the final. without this he'll lose even worth then ferrer
By:
tweedy
When: 05 Jan 13 14:17
For what it's worth - I think Davydenko has decided the whole thing is his.  I know he's been a little 'unreliable' at times - but I think he's really enjoyed this last week and I don't see him playing silly fools (even for money on bets)today.  He's there for the kudos of winning the first of the new year.  I'm backing him
By:
wasu
When: 05 Jan 13 14:20
what is the change that Davydenko will play the same level as yesterday?

I think pretty good change. considering he has been playing quite the seem level all week.

he has quite good results in doha (see past results). it seems the court perfectly matches with his game style..

good atp final records of davydenko

davydenko would be my bet..
By:
;[p
When: 05 Jan 13 14:25
in case of davy h2 h is very important.it shows if the opponent can cope with dav rushing shots where he usualy gains advantage.

value on gasgay to me
By:
Dr Kim
When: 05 Jan 13 14:43
Davydenko for me, i know he is a tough cookie to judge but he played amazing yesterday. Would like higher odds but i'll take 1.68
By:
StevoDevo
When: 05 Jan 13 14:47
Gasquet has withdrawn from Sydney:

Tsonga, meanwhile, was to be top seed in Sydney but suffered a hamstring injury while representing France in the Hopman Cup on Friday night.

The 2008 Australian Open runner-up was to have been replaced as No.1 seed by Gasquet before the world No.10 too pulled out citing personal reasons.

What's this all about then Ricccchard?
By:
;[p
When: 05 Jan 13 14:50
he playing here how could play in sydney then. no time to adapt and long journey. thats why he pulled out

no more than that
By:
Vasek
When: 05 Jan 13 15:08
Commentator just mentioning Gasquet's superstitions, that's a good point too. He could get easily distracted if the umpire gives him time violation warning.
By:
doridoru
When: 05 Jan 13 15:24
GASQUET = TACTICAL SPASTIC
By:
mouse trap
When: 05 Jan 13 15:26
Great tennis from Davy
By:
Vasek
When: 05 Jan 13 15:31
Well, I was wrong Laugh Glad I didn't back Gasquet eventually... and not going now as it seems like one-way traffic. Davydenko superb and Gasquet defending like crazy.
By:
StevoDevo
When: 05 Jan 13 15:31
Davy's taken the ball early again. This looks ominous.

C'mon Davy!
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