Querrey vs Lu

Come on Lu, take first set

Come on LU!

best feeling in the world to see john, sam, and/or mardy to lose

WOWSER

YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS! Now you can win 3-1 Sam. Got on him over 21 games so could do with him winning now lol

Querry in a bad Match up here could see from the start, Lu has quickly found how to play against him, Sam will struggle to get back into this now, I'm going heavy on Lu now while odds are still good

The american retard gave away 4 minibreaks in  a row on his serve...

cant see querrey getting back into this

he's showing no signs of ruling out his errors

Lu holding really rather easily aswell, Querry lacks return game to break much and his serve won't save him against a quick oppo who is returning well. Sam to be dumped out here

Dont forget to lay lu in time if he goes 2 sets up. he is a massive choker as well.

Querry shoukd take this 3-1 now in all likelihood. sloppy first set and inconceivably bad tie break, wont be repeated in this set i wouldnt think. 1.6 a tasty price

sam is a better player]

Lu will just take this to tiebreak and get it into rallies, dare i say 3-0 here

the american crowds are hillarious

thing like the wimibledon crowds

nothing*

"he's got 4 break points Querrey here"

lmfao

lets say, for arguments sake, Sam takes this set. what will his price go to?

1,18 - 1,2 because he is big favorite + momentum but it will be wrong of course too low.

ok ok

i did a very stupid thing

depends how emphatically he takes it. probably 1.18-1.2

This is a massive lumpers market, you can feel it on every point sam makes.

i went in with a big pot at 1.16 when he was 4-3 up at the tie break expecting him to teak it

meanwhile dushevina annhiliating burnett, juciy odds on the russian still

With double break it will be 1,15 easely.

he looks strong this set

your best solution is to reduce your red partially around 1,2, and backing around 1,25. This way you can reduce your red. Supposed both hold all the way of course. keep some green in case sam double breaks.

yeah i've considered that. cheers mate

i think there's a term for that. is it 'scalping' ?

Yep, but "out-red sclaping". Very very difficult to achieve because of the psyholigical pressure. And if there is another break in the wrong side, you can make things even worse than before.

But you have no other choice here, because your natural trade range is too far from your entry point. you need set + break to get out of dangerr zone.

yeah exactly. good points

you see, lu's rubbish starts like that is the reason im never sure when to lay sam and then back him again

I wanted to lay sam after he confirmed one of the many minibreaks but he never did, so i was sitting on useless green and didnt have the balls to take more at 1,55. too risky. Maybe I am going to spllit after this set.

yeah, if you're on sam, i'd stay put for the mean time

he had better take this set though

sams return game really isn't the best. what's wrong with him?

Querrey should be at least 1.40 with set a piece...i dont know what makes the lumpers so confident Sam is a good player but he aint no superstar...he aint playing a nobody btw Lu is a very experienced hard court player with quite some success on this surface

Set looks secured, his serve working enough to finnish the job.

Agree nando, thats why I laid him from start 1,15 was ridiculous. Its mainly because Sam showed some form lately with some nice victories.

he is an american hard court player AZ91, none of them have amazing return games, main emphasis in how they play is around the traditional serve and volley style.

agreed wankenstein

very good point

COME ON SAM

AZ91 28 Aug 12 20:36 Joined: 02 Apr 11 | Topic/replies: 424 | Blogger: AZ91's blog
sams return game really isn't the best. what's wrong with him?


I think he just kept energy and focusing on own serve, because he knew that break was enough. and it was probably the best strategy. He will certainly start attacking again now.

i see, interesting. cheers

now or never!

come on sam

You quite often see Isner do that when he is a break ahead too - if he doesn't win one of the first two points in a return game he frequently tanks the rest of it and waits for his serve.

that isn't allowed is it. i've seen davydenko recieve warnings for that

It depends how you go about it.

yeah true

what's your opinion on this smb360

surely that must crush Lu mentally

that double fault

looks like 1.6 was indeed good value.

1,04 is a lay. Lu could tank the set now and fight back in 4th. 1,04 very very dangerous to back.

yep 1.6 was a gift.

has anybody noticed SP dolgopolov is 1.28

why so high?

I dont think jesse levine is a match for dolgopolov

what do you guys think

he might knick a set, but i don't think he'll take 2 let alone 3

Because the dog is a fixer and you never know which dog will show up. Lost too much in the past, dont touch him anymore at any prize. Except to lay him for a few quid 1,01 when he's serving for the macth.

im always cautious with Dolgo. hes very "enigmatic". levine is a home player too and dolgo is frequently accused of fixing. last year at this same stage v cipolla was just hilarious, he was leading by 2 sets and a break, priced at 1.01 and then contrived to lose the 3rd and 4th sets and win from a break down in the 5th. huge fix. so my advice, for what its worth (which may be zero), would be avoid lumping on him at the SP and wait to see how the first set at least pans out.

ok, thanks guys. I'm happy with todays profits anyway. goodnight and good luck to both of you

Ty, good night to you.

Lu loves a bit of 5-set drama

but not today