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should the big Geek really be that short??
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Replies: 72
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Come on Lu, take first set
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Come on LU!
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best feeling in the world to see john, sam, and/or mardy to lose
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WOWSER
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YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS! Now you can win 3-1 Sam. Got on him over 21 games so could do with him winning now lol
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Querry in a bad Match up here could see from the start, Lu has quickly found how to play against him, Sam will struggle to get back into this now, I'm going heavy on Lu now while odds are still good
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The american retard gave away 4 minibreaks in a row on his serve...
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cant see querrey getting back into this
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he's showing no signs of ruling out his errors
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Lu holding really rather easily aswell, Querry lacks return game to break much and his serve won't save him against a quick oppo who is returning well. Sam to be dumped out here
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Dont forget to lay lu in time if he goes 2 sets up. he is a massive choker as well.
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Querry shoukd take this 3-1 now in all likelihood. sloppy first set and inconceivably bad tie break, wont be repeated in this set i wouldnt think. 1.6 a tasty price
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sam is a better player]
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Lu will just take this to tiebreak and get it into rallies, dare i say 3-0 here
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the american crowds are hillarious
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thing like the wimibledon crowds
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nothing*
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"he's got 4 break points Querrey here"
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lets say, for arguments sake, Sam takes this set. what will his price go to?
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1,18 - 1,2 because he is big favorite + momentum but it will be wrong of course too low.
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ok ok
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i did a very stupid thing
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depends how emphatically he takes it. probably 1.18-1.2
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This is a massive lumpers market, you can feel it on every point sam makes.
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i went in with a big pot at 1.16 when he was 4-3 up at the tie break expecting him to teak it
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meanwhile dushevina annhiliating burnett, juciy odds on the russian still
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With double break it will be 1,15 easely.
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he looks strong this set
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your best solution is to reduce your red partially around 1,2, and backing around 1,25. This way you can reduce your red. Supposed both hold all the way of course. keep some green in case sam double breaks.
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yeah i've considered that. cheers mate
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i think there's a term for that. is it 'scalping' ?
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Yep, but "out-red sclaping". Very very difficult to achieve because of the psyholigical pressure. And if there is another break in the wrong side, you can make things even worse than before.
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But you have no other choice here, because your natural trade range is too far from your entry point. you need set + break to get out of dangerr zone.
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yeah exactly. good points
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you see, lu's rubbish starts like that is the reason im never sure when to lay sam and then back him again
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I wanted to lay sam after he confirmed one of the many minibreaks but he never did, so i was sitting on useless green and didnt have the balls to take more at 1,55. too risky. Maybe I am going to spllit after this set.
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yeah, if you're on sam, i'd stay put for the mean time
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he had better take this set though
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