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Erakovic vs. U. Radwanska

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Replies: 386
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 12 Jul 12 23:29
What I never get in WTA, is that the market thinks the winner of the second set is more likely to win the match than they were at the start.
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 12 Jul 12 23:29
Statistics show otherwise. Although maybe not where U Rad is concerned.
By:
addrian
When: 12 Jul 12 23:29
unless serena plays
By:
Bravely bold Sir Robin
When: 12 Jul 12 23:31

Jul 12, 2012 -- 11:29PM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:


What I never get in WTA, is that the market thinks the winner of the second set is more likely to win the match than they were at the start.


it happens too on atp

By:
addrian
When: 12 Jul 12 23:31
she better gave the serve here so she can start with a break..lol
By:
freddiek
When: 12 Jul 12 23:31
steam in to u-rad now
By:
mouse trap
When: 12 Jul 12 23:32
3-0 to 3-6. job well done Laugh
By:
addrian
When: 12 Jul 12 23:32
from 3-1 to 3-6..impressive
By:
Dirkules
When: 12 Jul 12 23:32
i would love to see a stat how many wta matches were lost after leading set and break
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 12 Jul 12 23:32
People think that it is because a player is getting into the match, or has got their game going etc. They ignore the fact that the other player may have relaxed during the second set.
By:
noovae1
When: 12 Jul 12 23:33
Srichaphan or Ancic? 12 Jul 12 23:29 
What I never get in WTA, is that the market thinks the winner of the second set is more likely to win the match than they were at the start.


It's simple math really, not magic Cry
By:
Vala
When: 12 Jul 12 23:33
Pile into Radwanska now, just a blip an is the better player
By:
mouse trap
When: 12 Jul 12 23:34
pile into anyone at your own peril.. Devil
By:
ciani
When: 12 Jul 12 23:34
pretty big blip losing 5 games in a row
By:
addrian
When: 12 Jul 12 23:34
erakovic played well from 1-3 if she keeps the level no chance for urad
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 12 Jul 12 23:35
Yes, in ATP too, but I think the stats for WTA have a larger favouritism for the first set winner.
By:
icfkev
When: 12 Jul 12 23:35
50/50 game
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 12 Jul 12 23:36
Had Erakovic won the first set and then U Rad the second, she would have been 1.5s/1.6s.
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 12 Jul 12 23:37
I hate these markets when people are falling over themselves to back the player who won the last point. Puts the odds way out.
By:
noovae1
When: 12 Jul 12 23:38
What I meant is, obviously URad should still be favorite just slightly above SP, not Erakovic, but yeah markets often like to go with the player who is currently winning games.
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 12 Jul 12 23:38
it is because they try to get the prices, but they disappear, so they lower their odds, etc. and it pushes the market too far.
By:
addrian
When: 12 Jul 12 23:38
4 great serves
By:
freddiek
When: 12 Jul 12 23:39
6 straight games
By:
mouse trap
When: 12 Jul 12 23:39
please, remind me, when was the last time URad won a game?
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 12 Jul 12 23:39
Indeed SoA but after numerous points of this the market can be way out and it can sting you. Doesn't suit my strategy.
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 12 Jul 12 23:40
I know, thats why I hate trading.
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 12 Jul 12 23:40
you can get left in a position in which you have to hope the odds reverse.
By:
noovae1
When: 12 Jul 12 23:40
As if this is over after a couple games, mit go like 3-0 3-5 7-5 would not be surprising
By:
freddiek
When: 12 Jul 12 23:41
u-rad must be injured
By:
Danyo
When: 12 Jul 12 23:41
bagel incoming
By:
ciani
When: 12 Jul 12 23:41
please just win a freaking game so i can cash out :)
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 12 Jul 12 23:41
Markets work in two ways I've found - momentum or correcting over-reactions. This market has both.
By:
DAVID HASSELHOFF
When: 12 Jul 12 23:41
i always like to be on the one who serves first in the final set, as you feel even if they get broken they are still in it
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 12 Jul 12 23:42
I thought she would break there.
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 12 Jul 12 23:42
in ATP sure David Hasselhoff. Not so sure in WTA.
By:
jerry maguire
When: 12 Jul 12 23:42
error acovic is back

big mental dagger this game now..

she will remind herself of loving the net
By:
noovae1
When: 12 Jul 12 23:43
UMugska show her what you are made of Cool
By:
jerry maguire
When: 12 Jul 12 23:43
error acovic is back

big mental dagger this game now..

she will remind herself of loving the net
By:
checkyes
When: 12 Jul 12 23:44
mmh got 2.8green on eracovic and 3.7k on radwanska.. maybe i could put some into eracovic.. seems sligtly better
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 12 Jul 12 23:44
two double faults!
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