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MathewC
07 Jun 12 08:06
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Date Joined: 11 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 681 | Blogger: MathewC's blog
Straight up: I'm biased because I'm an Aussie but I honestly can't see Stosur losing this match. It was only a few weeks ago that Errani was beaten easily by the Aussie. 5-0 H2H with Errani only ever taken 1 set off Sam which was back in 2010 on a hard court.

Good trading possibilities in this match considering Stosur will choke serving out the sets like she did with Cibulkova however she will win in the end. My opinion: Stosur in 2.

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Replies: 894
By:
tester78
When: 07 Jun 12 09:18
5-0 H2H in this case is .... worthless... Errani was 0-2 with Ivanovic, 0-5 with Kuznetsova, 0-1 with Kerber.
Errani was terrible when she played with top20, until RG..., now she play very well and she find out that she can beat top players... confident Sara is dangerous Sara:)

but ofc, favourite is Sam, I wont participate with my $$$ with livebets.. in this game, I have longterm bet that Sara win RG + cover bet at Stosur in this game.., but I believe that odds 1.424-3.200 (Pinnacle), are not correct, original odds at Pinnacle were 1.571 but they must go lower because ppls are convinced about easy 2-0 Stosur win, we will see:)
By:
MathewC
When: 07 Jun 12 09:42
I don't think the H2H are worthless, I mean, which players situation would you rather be in: Stosurs because she's won all 5 meetings, or Errani's where she has never beaten Sam.

I'm not a tennis player but I think this would make the Italian nervous which I think would give Sam the edge.
By:
mattyj3nks86
When: 07 Jun 12 09:43
ive just backed sam @ 1.42 for £200
By:
MathewC
When: 07 Jun 12 09:46

Jun 7, 2012 -- 9:43AM, mattyj3nks86 wrote:


ive just backed sam @ 1.42 for £200


Solid bet, good luck. I was able to get her earlier today at $1.48. Starts in 3 hours and 14 minutes.

By:
Materazzi
When: 07 Jun 12 09:46
Only 200 eh? You cant fancy her that much then!
By:
tester78
When: 07 Jun 12 09:57
@MathewC - H2H 0-5 is double edge axe...
because yes, Sam is very confident... because she "know how", BUT Sara could learn from her loses, and change something...just a litle bit.. and surprise Sam..

But ofc, i dont know, it can be 6-1 6-1 for Sam, i dont see into their heads.. imho lower than 1.6 is not fair price.

I cant wish good luck for all backers Sam, because I have Sara as winner tournament :P
By:
MathewC
When: 07 Jun 12 10:02
You're hoping 6th times the charm :P
By:
good value losers
When: 07 Jun 12 10:04
forecast not good, could be a stop/start affair. that might probably favour errani.
By:
djyt
When: 07 Jun 12 10:27
this italian joke cost me already 1200$ in this tourney, i am begging for a bagel for her here Laugh but will keep my money far away from this match. Laugh go sammy!!!
By:
endort
When: 07 Jun 12 11:50
I dont think the match will even start today. Heavy predicted for the whole afternoon :( why is it taking them will 2017 to get a roof on the courtS!!
By:
Mystery_Man007
When: 07 Jun 12 11:53
no doubt in my mind errani is the value here for sure!
By:
bb66
When: 07 Jun 12 11:56
having beaten a top 10 player for the 1st time in her career (though only Kerber #10) and playing SF in a GS might alter something in Erranis head, being on such a run as she is now will really give her new confidence.

As to h2h, who would have thought horseface could beat Sammy 2 years ago going into it with a 1-4 h2h, the only win coming from their 1st match 5 years earlier?
By:
good value losers
When: 07 Jun 12 12:00
endort     07 Jun 12 11:50 
why is it taking them will 2017 to get a roof on the courtS!!


they have covers

from the look of the radar i'd guess an hour's delay, then on/off for the rest of the day

http://www.weathercast.co.uk/radar/france.html
By:
endort
When: 07 Jun 12 12:02
They are re-developing roland garros to include roofs so they can continue in rain. I just dont get how it takes 5 years to do that??
I hop your right and they resume after an hour. The doubles match has to finish first I think??
By:
good value losers
When: 07 Jun 12 12:07
well i'm old fashioned and think an outdoors event should be an outdoors event, and if it rains then tough, deal with it.
By:
nicky27
When: 07 Jun 12 12:14
agreed GVL , rain breaks can add to the excitement of a contest , however , I feel for the fans/gamblers  and understand their frustration when there's no play cos of the rain
By:
Mystery_Man007
When: 07 Jun 12 12:38
errani playing some fantastic tennis, sammy lucky to beat cibuluka only because cibu made Ue after UE. Errani doesnt make any UE
By:
Mystery_Man007
When: 07 Jun 12 12:38
bottom line - what time is this match likely to start?
By:
nicky27
When: 07 Jun 12 12:40
not sure MM,

isn't it daft that the RG organisers don't start the matches earlier than scheduled when there is rain forecast that threatens to delay the match until tomorrow???
By:
bb66
When: 07 Jun 12 12:43
spectators and TV schedules don't allow an earlier start - and even I as a betting man rely on schedules and do not wait the whole day if it might start earlier
By:
Mystery_Man007
When: 07 Jun 12 12:45
thing with clay, unlesss the rain is heavy then it can continue. So is it light rain or heavy rain?
By:
Mystery_Man007
When: 07 Jun 12 12:47
also forecast shows raining moving away from paris around 2pm so we should be okay
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 07 Jun 12 12:49
It will be very windy, so we'll see which of them deals best with that. I would think Stosur. How it will affect Sharapova and Kvitova is anyone's guess, there could be balls flying everywhere.
By:
kiwipirate
When: 07 Jun 12 12:50
Gusts up to 45 mph across Paris and suburbs.
This also means it is going to be less inside RG
By:
always_losing
When: 07 Jun 12 12:52
Will not start before 2Pm according to RG website.
By:
arsenal79overs_
When: 07 Jun 12 12:54
i was on stosur in previous matches... but i think this is gonna be close, im starting with a lay of stosur
By:
good value losers
When: 07 Jun 12 12:59
always_losing     07 Jun 12 12:52 
Will not start before 2Pm according to RG website.


Cry
By:
Mystery_Man007
When: 07 Jun 12 13:12
the rain and hard conditions suit errani to a tee, hence the price drift. Ball will stick in the clay and perfect for errani to move stosur from side to side
By:
itfc87
When: 07 Jun 12 13:25
Tipping down at RG right now
By:
MathewC
When: 07 Jun 12 13:30
Still raining... No play before 3pm at the earliest... - that's from the RG Twitter account.
By:
itfc87
When: 07 Jun 12 13:32
3pm French time?
By:
good value losers
When: 07 Jun 12 13:32
this band of rain should pass over fairly shortly. but then they have to clear the covers, set everything up etc by which time the next shower will probably arrive Laugh

http://www.weathercast.co.uk/radar/france.html
By:
MathewC
When: 07 Jun 12 13:32
I'm assuming 3PM French time. It's 2:32PM in France at the moment.
By:
good value losers
When: 07 Jun 12 13:33
well i doubt they'll tweet in uk time Grin
By:
Dirkules
When: 07 Jun 12 13:36
currently heavy rain in paris....i bet there will be no play in 25 minutes....maybe even the next 2 hours
By:
owning
When: 07 Jun 12 13:39
just ended work, going for dinner, would be perfect if the match starts in about 2 hours
By:
itfc87
When: 07 Jun 12 13:39
Yep absolutely soaking - no matches for at least 2 hours I'd say
By:
henok
When: 07 Jun 12 13:40
dinnerConfused
By:
Bravely bold Sir Robin
When: 07 Jun 12 13:53

Jun 7, 2012 -- 1:39PM, owning wrote:


just ended work, going for dinner, would be perfect if the match starts in about 2 hours


Where do you live? Thailand?

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